$AVGO 0.16 Weak

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• @amitisinvesting neutral 3429 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. Google $GOOGL is developing a new AI chip that could run Gemini models 6x to 10x more efficiently than its latest TPUs, per The Information. The chip, internally called “Frozen v2,” would bake parts of Gemini’s architecture directly into silicon, reducing data movement and simplifying inference decisions. Google is targeting deployment as early as 2028 to help ease its AI compute shortage, though the design would trade flexibility for major gains in speed and power efficiency. 2. Microsoft $MSFT is expanding its partnership with AMD $AMD and will deploy AMD’s Helios rack-scale systems on Azure for frontier AI inference. The platform combines MI455X GPUs, Venice CPUs, Pensando networking, and ROCm software, with shipments to Microsoft beginning in the second half of 2026. Azure will also add new AMD-powered virtual machines for agentic AI, data pipelines, and semiconductor design, marking a broader adoption of AMD’s full AI infrastructure stack. 3. AUM in U.S. leveraged semiconductor ETFs has fallen $63B from the June peak to $100B, the lowest level since late April. That marks a 39% decline, the largest drawdown since April 2025, when assets more than halved from their August high. The semiconductor unwind accounts for 63% of the broader $100B drop in AUM across all U.S. leveraged ETFs over the same period. The selloff follows a massive ramp, with assets in these funds nearly tripling between late March and the June peak. Even after the pullback, leveraged semiconductor ETF assets are still up 400% from January 2023 levels. 4. Archer $ACHR and Anduril unveiled Thunder, an autonomous attack VTOL aircraft, with first flight planned for 2027. The runway-independent hybrid-electric aircraft is designed to operate autonomously alongside crewed attack and assault aircraft. The dual-use platform features tiltrotors and modular payloads for both defense and commercial missions. Full-scale surrogate flights have already been completed, and Archer plans to announce its first commercial customers later this week. 5. Chinese AI models are taking record share among U.S. firms on OpenRouter. The proportion of tokens used by American companies running through Chinese models has climbed to roughly 58%, a record high. OpenRouter lets developers access and compare models from multiple providers, making it a useful real-world signal of AI model adoption. Chinese model usage has tripled since mid-January, overtaking U.S. peers on the platform for the first time in March and briefly hitting 63% in early July. At the start of 2025, Chinese models were under 10% of usage, while U.S. models were around 80%. DeepSeek has become the most popular choice among American firms in recent months. 6. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 3.1M contracts, $TSLA with 2.4M contracts, $AAPL with 1.8M contracts, $MU with 951K contracts, $MSFT with 884K contracts, $AMZN with 691K contracts, $INTC with 640K contracts, $SPCX with 606K contracts, $AMD with 506K contracts, and $GOOGL with 492K contracts. 7. BofA reiterated its Buy rating on CoreWeave $CRWV with a $140 price target. Analyst Tal Liani raised FY26 capex estimates to $34B from $29B, saying capex remains a key indicator of buildout progress and hardware pricing. BofA expects Q2 operating margin of 2.4%, slightly below the Street at 2.8%, but sees margins improving through the rest of the year as active power drives revenue recognition. By Q4, BofA expects operating margin to reach 14.6%, up from 1.0% in Q1, showing strong operating leverage. The firm also pushed back on competition concerns from SpaceX and Meta, arguing AI compute demand still far exceeds supply, making access to capacity the real bottleneck rather than provider choice. 8. IREN $IREN raised its 2026 AI Cloud ARR target to over $4B, up from its prior target of $3.7B. The company announced new AI cloud contracts representing $2.8B in total contract value, with approximately 85% of the updated ARR target now under contract. Goldman Sachs estimates the newly announced contracts represent an additional roughly $1B in contracted revenue with an average term of around 3 years. IREN also said recent agreements include customer prepayments covering about 45% of GPU capex, with customer contracts having a weighted average term of approximately 4 years. 9. UBS says Micron $MU could repurchase more than 40% of its shares by the end of 2028. The firm expects Micron to generate over $40B in free cash flow through 2028, and once its buyback restriction expires on December 9, 2026, UBS says the company could potentially use that cash to buy back more than 40% of its shares at the current price. Morgan Stanley said that memory stocks are trading at attractive prices but their best risk to reward names in the semi space are $NVDA Nvidia and $AVGO Broadcom. 10. Bloom Energy $BE shares are trading lower after New Mexico regulators rejected permits for a gas pipeline planned to supply Oracle’s Project Jupiter data center for the second time. The decision could delay the campus, which is expected to use up to 2.5GW of Bloom Energy’s gas-powered fuel cells. Energy Transfer may now pursue an alternative pipeline route. 11. Intel $INTC plans additional layoffs in its data center group as part of a broader effort to become a more focused and efficient company, CNBC reports. Intel said the unit is realigning roles and skills for long-term success, though the number of affected employees was not disclosed. 12. Trump signed three proclamations under Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930 imposing additional 50% tariffs on certain Canadian goods in response to what the White House calls Canada’s discriminatory treatment of U.S. products. The tariffs cover different categories of Canadian imports, including products ranging from wine to hockey sticks to cement, and apply even if goods originate under USMCA. Exemptions include energy, potash, goods already subject to Section 232 tariffs, fish, critical minerals, and certain other products. The tariffs take effect 30 days after signing. WALL STREET IS THE GREATST SHOW ON EARTH,

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 3410 eng

  UPDATED FIB LEVELS FOR POPULAR STOCKS AI Utilities • $IREN $51 • $NBIS $177 • $CIFR $17 • $CRWV $100 AI Power • $EOSE $7 • $BE $237 • $NVTS $22 • $VRT $282 AI Hardware • $NVDA $192 • $TSM $408 • $ASML $1,618 • $MU $730 AI Applications • $PLTR $129 • $NOW $109 • $CRWD $598 • $SNOW $181 AI Connectivity • $AVGO $377 • $ALAB $305 • $CRDO $195 • $MRVL $236 Space • $RKLB $106 • $ASTS $89 • $PL $31 • $BKSY $32 Quantum • $IONQ $52 • $RGTI $15 • $QBTS $20 • $INFQ $13 Drones • $ONDS $10 • $AVAV $175 • $KTOS $52 • $UMAC $24 Nuclear • $OKLO $50 • $UUUU $12 • $GEV $906 • $LEU $151 Photonics • $AAOI $164 • $LITE $698 • $COHR $283 • $AEHR $76 CPU Bottleneck • $AMD $383 • $INTC $91 • $ARM $299 • $AMKR $57 Physical AI • $TSLA $382 • $AMZN $230 • $GOOGL $357 • $ISRG $394

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• @amitisinvesting bullish 2529 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. SpaceX $SPCX will be added to the Nasdaq 100 tomorrow before the market opens, creating forced buying from mutual funds and ETFs that track the index and collectively manage roughly $800B in AUM. SpaceX’s initial weighting will be about 1%, based on free-float market cap, which excludes insider and restricted shares. That weighting could grow over time as lockups lift, the public float expands, and Nasdaq rebalances the index in September and December. 2. Samsung Electronics prelim Q2 operating profit surged 19x YoY to roughly $58.4B, beating $55.3B consensus, driven by booming AI memory demand. Revenue came in slightly below expectations at about $111.8B vs. $113.1B consensus, but still rose 129% YoY. On an operating income basis, Samsung is now arguably the most profitable company in the world, generating more operating profit than Nvidia $NVDA did last quarter. 3. Robinhood $HOOD CEO Vlad Tenev says demand for Trump Accounts has been “tremendous,” with 6M kids signing up pre-launch to express interest and millions of accounts already invested. The accounts are now officially active and open for contributions, allowing parents, grandparents, family, friends, and employers to collectively contribute up to $5,000 annually for eligible American children. SpaceX $SPCX president Gwynne Shotwell and her husband are donating $320M of company stock to help fund Trump Accounts for more than 2M American children. 4. Broadcom $AVGO and Apple $AAPL expanded their long-standing technology partnership through 2031. Under the new multi-year agreements, Broadcom will develop and supply a range of custom ASIC silicon products for multiple generations of Apple devices. 5. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $TSLA with 4.4M contracts, $NVDA with 2.3M contracts, $AAPL with 1.5M contracts, $AMZN with 790K contracts, $SPCX with 727K contracts, $META with 668K contracts, $MSFT with 637K contracts, $INTC with 566K contracts, $MU with 530K contracts, and $SOFI with 421K contracts. 6. TeraWulf $WULF signed a 20-year lease with Anthropic for its Justified Data campus in Kentucky, representing roughly $19B of contracted revenue over the initial term. The campus is expected to support about 401MW of critical IT load, with initial capacity coming online in H2 2027 and full capacity by early 2028. Separately, TeraWulf is selling its 50.1% stake in the Abernathy JV to a Fluidstack-led investor group, monetizing an approximately $450M investment. 7. Retail is levering up into options. 0DTE options now account for a record 48% of total retail options volume, more than tripling over the past five years. They also represented a record 30% of total U.S. options volume in May, well above the 2022 high of roughly 18% and the five-year average of about 21%. As short-dated trading keeps growing, the average options contract now expires in under 3 days. 8. JPMorgan says Meta $META potentially monetizing excess AI compute through a cloud business could be positive for returns on AI infrastructure, but the firm would rather see Meta use that capacity inside its own products. The report notes Meta could charge developers for access to models hosted on its infrastructure or rent raw compute to third parties, with JPM estimating 1GW of capacity could generate around $20B in annual revenue and several dollars of EPS. Still, JPM argues the bigger upside is Meta using its compute, 4B+ users, and AI products across Family of Apps to drive internal inference demand, which would support continued heavy capex rather than implying a slowdown. 9. Michael Saylor’s Strategy $MSTR sold 3,588 BTC over the last two weeks for roughly $216M as part of its new Bitcoin Monetization Program, which allows up to $1.25B of BTC sales. The latest sale included 2,225 BTC at an average price of $60,773, following the prior week’s sale of 1,363 BTC at $59,256. Strategy still holds 843,775 BTC, with an average acquisition cost of $75,476 per BTC. 10. AI giants OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google are handing out free compute credits worth hundreds of thousands of dollars to win startup customers, per WSJ. The battle for startups is intensifying as top AI labs offer discounts and credits to lock in the next generation of enterprise users. The strategy is simple: subsidize usage now, drive early adoption, and turn today’s startup customers into durable long-term revenue streams. 11. Deutsche Bank says U.S. public debt is the clearest macro risk to American dominance. Federal deficits have stayed around 5%–6% of GDP since 2022 despite the economy being near full employment, while debt held by the public is set to surpass 100% of GDP this year. Interest payments now exceed defense spending and are the fastest-growing budget item, with the CBO projecting a $1.9T FY2026 deficit and public debt rising to 120% of GDP by 2036. 12. Leopold Aschenbrenner’s next investment target filed for Nasdaq this Friday. SK Hynix $SKHY is raising $28B, with Situational Awareness indicating interest in up to $7B of shares. SK Hynix has roughly 59% of the global HBM market, about 70% of Nvidia’s $NVDA HBM4 allocation, Nvidia alone represents 27% of revenue, and its entire 2026 chip lineup is already sold out. SK Hynix will be going public on the Nasdaq via ADRs and will be one of the largest foreign memory companies, now worth $1T. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @Mr_Derivatives bullish 2467 eng

  Sometimes don’t overthink it: $MU $NVDA $META $AVGO https://t.co/rCMrvLD6AE

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• @amitisinvesting bullish 2296 eng

  WHY ARE THE SEMIS UP THIS MORNING? Well…a hyperscaler called $META just reminded the market how much they are willing to spend on capex: - Meta plans to double its AI computing capacity to 14GW in 2027 and begin manufacturing its in-house Iris AI chip in September, according to Reuters citing an internal memo. - The Iris chip, part of Meta’s MTIA program, is designed with $AVGO Broadcom and manufactured by $TSM TSMC, with the goal of reducing reliance on $NVDA Nvidia and $AMD GPUs. - Meta has also secured long-term supply agreements with Samsung (memory), $SNDK SanDisk (flash storage), and Sumitomo Electric (fiber-optic equipment). Once again, the market remembers how much Big Tech is willing to spend and how serious they are about creating their own custom silicon. Trump saying that Iran wants a deal last night + META getting ready to spend even more on capex is likely why the semis are starting to recover.

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 1956 eng

  SEMICONDUCTOR STOCKS BY PEG RATIO PEG < 1 usually means mispriced growth PEG > 2 starts to push into the danger zone Here’s how they stack up: • $ALAB ~2.9x • $ARM ~2.4x • $INTC ~2.2x • $LRCX ~2.2x • $KLAC ~2.0x • $AMAT ~1.7x • $ASML ~1.7x • $ANET ~1.7x • $TSM ~1.2x • $LITE ~1.1x • $COHR ~1.0x • $CRDO ~0.9x • $NVDA ~0.8x • $AMD ~0.7x • $AAOI ~0.7x • $MRVL ~0.6x • $ON ~0.6x • $AVGO ~0.6x • $SNDK ~0.4x • $MU ~0.4x

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• @amitisinvesting neutral 1714 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. $BTC Bitcoin’s selloff is worsening, with the price falling below $63,000 for the first time since February 24. The move has triggered a wave of forced selling across crypto markets, with more than $1.1 billion in leveraged crypto positions liquidated over the past 24 hours. 2. $AVGO reported strong Q2’26 results, with revenue of $22.19B, slightly above estimates, up 48% YoY, and adjusted EPS of $2.44, beating expectations and rising 54% YoY. Semiconductor Solutions revenue came in at $15.0B, up 79% YoY, while AI semiconductor revenue surged 143% YoY to $10.8B, though it came in below buyside expectations. For Q3, Broadcom guided revenue to roughly $29.4B, ahead of consensus but slightly below buyside expectations, with AI semiconductor revenue expected to reach about $16B. The company also delivered $10.26B in free cash flow, equal to 46% of revenue, and said growth is being driven by accelerating AI demand, custom AI accelerators, AI networking, and strong operating leverage. 3. $META is reportedly considering charging up to $199.99/month for Hatch, its planned consumer AI agent, according to The Information. Hatch is described as a consumer version of OpenClaw that lets users create software tools and automate tasks with plain-language prompts, including scheduling events, sending emails, building simple apps, and generating travel itineraries. Meta is also considering a premium Hatch Plus tier that would offer 5–10x more daily usage capacity than the free version. During development, Hatch has used Anthropic’s Claude models, but it is expected to run on Meta’s Muse Spark model at launch. 4. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 3.4M contracts, $TSLA with 3.4M contracts, $AAPL with 1.3M contracts, $AMZN with 1.1M contracts, $MSFT with 958K contracts, $META with 916K contracts, $NOK with 749K contracts, $INTC with 730K contracts, $GOOGL with 708K contracts, and $PLTR with 622K contracts. Nvidia and Tesla once again dominated options activity, each trading more than 3.4M contracts, while Apple and Amazon also saw elevated volume above 1M contracts. 5. $IREN signed a transmission connection agreement for an 800MW data center campus in Bundey, South Australia. The site includes four 330kV feeder exits, allowing it to support up to 800MW without requiring network upgrades, with energization expected to begin in 2028. The project marks IREN’s first announced Australian data center campus and would provide submarine fiber connectivity to key APAC markets, including Singapore, Indonesia, South Korea, and Japan. 6. $AAPL Apple's smart glasses roadmap has reportedly changed, according to supply chain analyst Ming-Chi Kuo. Apple’s display-equipped AR/XR glasses, which are expected to use optical waveguide technology, have reportedly been pushed back to 2029. Meanwhile, Apple’s display-less AI glasses, similar to Ray-Ban Meta, are still expected to ship in 2027. Kuo also says Apple is shifting resources away from the Vision Pro line and toward smart glasses that may have broader mass-market appeal. 7. $GOOGL plans to use roughly $30B of its $80B equity raise to cover tax obligations tied to employee equity awards, according to The Information. That would represent nearly 40% of the total raise, roughly double last year’s amount, and about 14% of expected operating cash flow. 8. $CRWD reported solid Q1’27 results, with revenue of $1.39B, up 26% YoY, and adjusted EPS of $1.10, both slightly ahead of expectations. ARR reached $5.51B, up 24% YoY, while net new ARR grew 32% YoY to $255.8M. CrowdStrike also announced a 4-for-1 stock split, with the record date set for June 25, 2026 and split-adjusted trading expected to begin on July 2, 2026. For the full year, the company guided revenue to $5.915B–$5.959B, ARR to roughly $6.53B–$6.56B, and adjusted EPS to $4.88–$4.96, while raising its net new ARR growth outlook to 27.7% at the midpoint. Management said CrowdStrike is becoming critical AI security infrastructure, highlighting record Q1 net new ARR, strong module adoption, and its AI-driven security products as signs of an AI inflection point. 9. SpaceX $SPCX is reportedly planning to price its IPO at $135 per share, with plans to sell 555.6 million shares and raise roughly $75 billion. At that price, the company would be valued at nearly $1.75 trillion, making it one of the largest IPOs in history. 10. US data center construction spending surged 28% YoY in April to a record annualized rate of $50.7B, surpassing public transportation construction spending of $49.9B for the first time in history. Since 2022, data center construction spending has exploded 357%, compared with just 16% growth in government transportation spending. As a result, data centers now represent 2.3% of all US construction spending, highlighting how AI infrastructure demand is reshaping the construction economy. 11. Ray Dalio says AI has the ingredients of a classic technology bubble, arguing that major technological shifts often create bubbles because it is impossible for investors and companies to perfectly predict the winners. He said companies face a difficult choice: spend aggressively to capture market share, or risk underspending and falling behind. Dalio added that bubbles eventually “prick” when investors or companies need to sell wealth/assets to raise cash, turning enthusiasm into forced selling pressure. 12. The S&P 500 closed the day red for the first time in 9 trading days. The last time the S&P $SPY closed green for 10 days in a row was 1995. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @amitisinvesting bullish 1583 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. U.S. Central Command forces have begun launching powerful strikes against Iranian targets in response to Iran’s attacks on three commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz. CENTCOM said the strikes are meant to impose heavy costs for targeting commercial shipping crewed by innocent civilians in an international waterway, calling Iran’s aggression unwarranted, dangerous, and a clear violation of the ceasefire. WTI Crude was up 5% today as the S&P fell 0.5%. $SMH, the semiconductor index, was down 4%. 2. Palantir $PLTR expanded its partnership with GNP Seguros, the largest insurance company in Mexico. GNP will use Palantir to detect claims fraud, improve underwriting precision, process claims more effectively, and expand access to high-quality insurance coverage across Mexico. Another sign Palantir’s international expansion continues. 3. The U.S. is revoking a general license that authorized the sale of Iranian oil, according to a U.S. official. The move comes after attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, with the official calling Iran’s actions in the strategic waterway “wholly unacceptable” and warning they will be met with consequences. 4. DeepSeek has reportedly increased hiring of chip-design engineers in recent months as it works on a new chip designed for inference. This adds to a growing trend that keeps pressuring the Nvidia $NVDA narrative: Google $GOOGL and Amazon $AMZN are building major internal chip businesses, Cerebras and Broadcom $AVGO are partnering with OpenAI on chips, Anthropic is reportedly looking to secure custom silicon supply, and now DeepSeek may be moving in the same direction. 5. Netflix $NFLX signed video licensing deals with PMX, BuzzFeed Studios, Condé Nast, Hearst, People Inc., and Tastemade, per Variety. Starting Aug. 3, Netflix will carry publisher videos ranging from 2 minutes to 20+ minutes across the U.S., Canada, U.K., Ireland, Australia, and New Zealand. 6. Penguin Solutions $PENG beat Q3 FY26 expectations with revenue of $478.7M vs. $421.4M estimated and adjusted EPS of $0.84 vs. $0.56 estimated. Net sales hit a quarterly record, up 48% YoY, driven by Integrated Memory revenue more than doubling to $275.1M. The company also raised FY26 guidance, now seeing non-GAAP EPS of $2.60 ± $0.05 vs. $2.28 estimated and net sales growth of 22% ± 2%, up from prior guidance of 12% ± 5%. AI infrastructure momentum also continued, with 4 new customer logos, NVIDIA AI Factory Specialized Partner status, and an expanded ClusterWareAI platform. 7. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 2.3M contracts, $TSLA with 1.9M contracts, $AAPL with 875K contracts, $MU with 698K contracts, $INTC with 643K contracts, $SPCX with 588K contracts, $AMZN with 569K contracts, $META with 565K contracts, $PLTR with 515K contracts, and $MSFT with 508K contracts. 8. Amazon $AMZN launched an eight-part U.S. investment-grade bond sale expected to price today, per Bloomberg. The deal is reportedly around $25B and spans maturities from 2029 to 2066, with expected ratings of A1 from Moody’s, AA from S&P, and AA- from Fitch. 9. Meta $META is rolling out its first proprietary AI image-generation model, Muse Image, inside the Meta AI chatbot. The model will also be embedded across Meta’s apps, including Instagram and WhatsApp, allowing users to generate images from text prompts or edit existing pictures. Advertisers will soon get access as well, giving Meta its own image-creation technology instead of relying on third-party models. 10. Raymond James initiated coverage of SpaceX $SPCX with a Strong Buy rating and an $800 price target, implying a roughly $10.5T market cap. Analyst Brian Gesuale called SpaceX “one of the defining industrial infrastructure companies of the 21st century,” arguing that industrialized access to orbit and AI are creating the biggest infrastructure convergence since the Internet. Raymond James projects SpaceX can grow from $38.5B in revenue and $17.7B in EBITDA today to more than $837B in revenue and $696B in EBITDA by 2031. 11. Microsoft $MSFT is starting to use its own MAI models inside certain Excel and Outlook features, replacing OpenAI and Anthropic for some tasks, per Bloomberg. Tens of thousands of AI prompts in those apps are now reportedly being handled each week by Microsoft’s internal models, signaling the company is increasingly shifting parts of its AI stack in-house. 12. Morgan Stanley says the memory trade $MU $SNDK $WDC $STX may be hitting a peak rate of change, but not the end of the cycle. The firm says memory remains cyclical, with pricing, inventory, and earnings revision momentum potentially nearing a point where the market starts to move sideways or correct. Still, MS views any pullback as happening inside a broader structural bull market for AI capex. Near term, the key focus is earnings and hyperscaler commentary, especially around whether AI spend, token monetization, open-source competition, and “chipflation” impact guidance and margins. Morgan Stanley remains bullish longer term, citing 35%–40% earnings growth in 2027 and the ramp of agentic AI, but prefers areas where the money is actually being spent, favoring DRAM and legacy memory over NAND, while staying least positive on memory module makers. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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