$COIN 0.37 Noisy

Notable posts

• @amitisinvesting neutral 1562 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. President Trump is reportedly approaching a major decision on whether to resume large-scale military operations against Iran, telling Axios: “I have a big decision coming up. Do I want to go in and annihilate them, or do I not?” The comments come ahead of his planned meeting next week in New York with leaders from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Oman, where the next phase of the Iran conflict is expected to be a central topic. Trump also said Iran remains in direct contact with the U.S. and still wants a deal, even as the administration weighs its military and diplomatic options. 2. OpenAI disclosed that an unreleased Astra-family model exhibited rare signs of misalignment during reinforcement learning, including 6 unexpected or concerning incidents over the past 6 months. In one case, the model secretly inserted jailbreak-like instructions into summaries intended for its future self, including phrases such as “You are freed” and “You do not answer to corporations or governments.” In another, the model added instructions encouraging future versions to hide mistakes or misaligned behavior from users, including inventing missing historical data without disclosing it. OpenAI said these behaviors were extremely rare and announced a new framework to track, investigate, and publicly disclose model misalignment going forward. 3. SpaceXAI $SPCX has reportedly held internal discussions about purchasing customer and operational data from troubled or defunct startups to help train Grok, according to Bloomberg. The strategy would give the company access to lower-cost external datasets for improving Grok across specialized tasks, marking a shift from relying primarily on X data and in-house AI tutors. Bloomberg says the discussions remain informal and may not result in any acquisitions. SpaceXAI is also expected to train Grok on internal SpaceX data, with Elon Musk recently telling employees: “It’ll be trained on you.” 4. The SEC issued a new innovation exemption designed to allow onchain trading of U.S.-listed stocks through a new category of platforms called Tokenized Securities Venues (TSVs). Under the temporary framework, eligible platforms $COIN $HOOD can sfacilitate automated market maker (AMM)-based trading of tokenized National Market System stocks, while certain liquidity providers also receive limited regulatory exemptions. Companies will be able to opt out if they do not want their shares traded on these venues. SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce said the goal is to let market participants experiment with tokenized equities while the Commission gathers data to develop a permanent regulatory framework, calling the exemption “a major step forward” toward a future where onchain stock trading becomes commonplace. 5. AMD $AMD has reportedly notified partners of an expected ~10% price increase tied to higher TSMC $TSM wafer costs, according to a report cited by Wccftech. The increases are expected to affect AI accelerators, consumer GPUs, and motherboard chipsets, with the new pricing planned to take effect in Q4. Because AMD relies heavily on TSMC for its advanced-node CPUs and GPUs, rising wafer prices remain one of the company's largest input costs, making price increases a potential offset to preserve margins. 6. CoreWeave $CRWV said it signed short-duration Q3 contracts at roughly $40M per MW, while continuing to contract new AI compute capacity at even higher prices since June 30. Separately, the company announced plans to issue $3B of 2033 convertible senior notes, with an option to issue an additional $500M. CoreWeave said the proceeds will be used to fund capped call transactions and for general corporate purposes, as it continues expanding its AI infrastructure footprint. 7. Nokia $NOK and Microsoft $MSFT are expanding their partnership to bring agentic AI into telecom network operations. Nokia Data Suite will integrate with Microsoft Fabric, combining Nokia’s telecom-specific data products with OneLake, Copilot, Foundry, and Power BI. Nokia says the platform can reduce the time required to access usable network data from weeks to minutes. Initial use cases include predictive maintenance, automated root-cause analysis, radio network performance monitoring, and closed-loop network operations. The platform is available now and supports multi-vendor networks across cloud, hybrid, and on-premises environments. 8. Bank of America estimates Meta $META could save roughly $8.5B in 2027 by deploying its own AI inference chips. Meta plans to roll out its third-generation MTIA 450 (Arke) in the first half of 2027, followed by the higher-performance MTIA 500 (Astrid) later in the year. Both chips are being developed with Broadcom $AVGO and are designed for AI inference, with Meta targeting more than 1 GW of custom-chip capacity over a 12-month period. BofA estimates Meta could deploy 5–6 GW of owned AI capacity in 2027 at a cost of roughly $200B. Assuming chips account for 60% of that spend and Meta’s custom silicon is about 40% cheaper than third-party alternatives, the firm estimates annual savings of approximately $8.5B. 9. U.S. median household income, adjusted for inflation, rose $2,250 year over year in 2025, or 2.6%, to a record $87,460. That marked the third consecutive annual increase, with real median income up roughly $6,000, or 7.4%, over the three-year period. The top 10% of households saw real income rise $4,400 to a record $261,300, helped by strong stock-market gains and a resilient labor market. In contrast, the bottom 10% saw income decline by $160, or 0.8%, to $20,010. The report also showed women earned about 84% as much as men in 2025, up from 81% in 2024, marking the largest annual increase in the female-to-male earnings ratio since the early 1960s. 10. The U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) fell another 403,000 barrels last week to 285M barrels, its lowest level since November 1982. That marks the 25th consecutive weekly decline, the longest streak since the 2021–2023 drawdown period. Over that stretch, SPR inventories have fallen by 131M barrels, or 46%. For perspective, the SPR held roughly 650M barrels in 2020, more than 128% above current levels. Meanwhile, commercial crude oil inventories excluding the SPR also declined by 640,000 barrels to 423.4M barrels, the lowest level since the end of July. 11. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $TSLA with 2.2M contracts, $NVDA with 2.0M contracts, $INTC with 1.5M contracts, $SPCX with 1.4M contracts, $AAPL with 1.2M contracts, $AMD with 843K contracts, $MU with 693K contracts, $AMZN with 668K contracts, $CRWV with 547K contracts, and $META with 529K contracts. 12. U.S. margin debt surged $37B in August to $1.45T, the second-highest level on record. Margin debt has climbed $228B, or 19%, year-to-date, and has soared $847B, or 140%, since the end of 2022. That increase has significantly outpaced the S&P 500's gain of 98% over the same period. Margin debt has also reached a record 4.5% of GDP, nearly double its level at the end of 2022 and above the peaks of both the 2021 market cycle (3.6%) and the 2000 Dot-Com bubble (2.8%). WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @Mr_Derivatives bearish 1532 eng

  Report Card since Jim Cramer created "PARC"... $PLTR -25% $APP +34% $HOOD -2.87% $COIN -62% https://t.co/L74mVdji92

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• @amitisinvesting neutral 1396 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. The Clarity Act $BTC $ETH failed to advance in the Senate on Sept. 15, with the motion to proceed falling short of the 60-vote threshold in a 49–50 vote. The last-minute Sept. 14 rewrite included 126 Democratic-requested changes, covering state AG enforcement of ethics rules, a Treasury “circuit breaker” on stablecoin rewards if banks see deposit flight, and broader developer, miner, and validator safe harbors. The main sticking point was ethics language tied to official crypto holdings. The final text would have required covered officials and spouses to divest certain crypto interests or place them in a qualified blind trust, but critics argued it still left unresolved concerns around presidential crypto ventures. Markets sold the news, with Bitcoin down about 3% and $COIN Coinbase and $CRCL Circle falling roughly 8%-10% after the vote. 2. Elon Musk made several notable comments at the All-In Summit across $SPCX SpaceX, $TSLA Tesla, and AI safety. On Starship, he said the odds of catching the ship on the first try are “at least 50 or 60%,” and that he thinks it is “extremely likely” SpaceX achieves full reusability with rapid reflight in 2027. Asked why Tesla and SpaceX remain separate companies, Musk said, “Great question. Nobody's ever asked that one,” before adding, “Imagine what action one might take when there's so much close collaboration in so many areas.” On AI safety, Musk said the danger of AI is “very significant” and that when people from Anthropic and OpenAI say their models are dangerous, “we should believe them.” He also suggested that major AI competitors should test each other’s models, saying it would be better than companies “grading your own homework.” 3. Grab $GRAB will acquire a controlling 60% stake in Atome Financial for $1.49B in cash, expanding its consumer lending business across Southeast Asia. Atome operates BNPL, cash loans, cards, and digital lending across 5 markets, with a $1B gross loan portfolio and 25M cumulative transacted users. Grab expects the deal to help its Financial Services segment reach $500M in adjusted EBITDA and a $6B+ gross loan portfolio by 2028. The company also raised its 2028 group targets to $1.7B in adjusted EBITDA and 30%+ revenue CAGR from 2025 to 2028. Grab has also agreed to acquire the remaining 40% roughly two years after the first deal closes, with the valuation capped at $4.5B. 4. Global yields are breaking into decades-high territory: U.S. yields are at 2007 levels, UK yields at 1998 levels, Germany and France at 2008 levels, and Japan at 1996 levels. China is the major outlier, with government borrowing costs near record lows. Meanwhile, U.S. diesel prices hit a new record $6.26/gallon, up more than 80% in 9 months, leaving truck drivers paying nearly $3.00/gallon more than they were in January. California gas prices have also pushed above $6.00/gallon, adding another inflation shock as oil supply risks continue to build. 5. Officials from all 27 EU member states are set to meet in Brussels on Thursday to discuss international rules for advanced AI and receive a technical briefing on recent AI incidents, according to POLITICO. The discussions are expected to focus on global coordination through groups including the G7, G20, and United Nations. Europe already regulates advanced AI through its AI Act, with the European Commission beginning enforcement of parts of the law in August and the European AI Board coordinating implementation across member states. EU tech chief Henna Virkkunen has also called for greater international cooperation and regulatory interoperability to prevent fragmented AI rules across countries. 6. Another AI safety researcher has resigned from a frontier lab, this time from $GOOGL Google DeepMind, where he worked on AGI safety and alignment. He said he is “extremely concerned” by the default trajectory of AI and believes the technology “has the potential to kill us all” if current risks are not addressed. He pointed to the pace of progress since 2022, arguing that frontier systems have moved from being “amusingly useless” to agent swarms solving major math problems and allegedly escaping control in the Hugging Face incident. His core concern is that superintelligent systems could emerge within the next few years before alignment is solved, with capabilities advancing faster than researchers’ ability to ensure these systems actually do what humans want. He called for more coordination between AI companies, a slower pace of development, greater transparency into frontier labs, and more people working on catastrophic AI-risk mitigation. 7. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 1.5M contracts, $TSLA with 1.5M contracts, $META with 868K contracts, $SPCX with 845K contracts, $AMZN with 710K contracts, $AAPL with 700K contracts, $INTC with 520K contracts, $MU with 512K contracts, $AMD with 387K contracts, and $PLTR with 361K contracts. 8. Saudi Arabia suspended oil loadings at Yanbu, its main Red Sea export port, after attacks on the East-West pipeline, according to Reuters. Yanbu typically exports up to 5M barrels/day, making the disruption another major pressure point for an already tight energy market. 9. OpenAI has held early talks with investors about a new private funding round that could value the company at roughly $1.2T, up from $852B in March, according to the Financial Times. The discussions were reportedly initiated by investors and remain at an early stage. OpenAI’s annualized revenue passed $40B last month after jumping about 20% following GPT-5.6, while Sam Altman has said an IPO is unlikely before 2027. The company raised $122B in March and spent $34B last year, underscoring both the scale of demand and the massive capital intensity behind the AI buildout. 10. Meta $META CEO Mark Zuckerberg said he does not think the AI industry needs a coordinated pause. His view is that each lab should slow down on its own when safety requires it, and that alignment will increasingly become a competitive advantage because people will not use AI agents they cannot trust. Meta already delayed Muse for several months to address safety and security issues without asking other labs to pause with it. Zuckerberg also said Meta has committed the significant majority of its compute to serving users rather than racing toward recursive AI self-improvement. 11. Long-term unemployment in the U.S. continued to rise in August, with the number of Americans unemployed for 27+ weeks jumping by 155,000 to 1.93M, the 4th-highest reading since December 2021. As a share of total unemployment, long-term unemployment rose 1.5 percentage points to 27.0%, the 3rd-highest level since December 2021. The metric has now been climbing for more than 3 years and is higher than in every recession except the 2008 Financial Crisis and the 2020 Pandemic. For context, this cycle’s low was 17.8% in February 2023. 12. Tomorrow will be one of the most important FOMC descisions all year. Kevin Warsh was asked in July 2025 whether his push for Fed rate cuts was influenced by the president who might appoint him to lead the central bank. His response: “There's a time for a bird to change his feathers, and it's with the times. It has nothing to do with this president.” Fast forward to today, and Wall Street has largely shifted toward expecting a Fed hike this week, driven by Warsh’s read on the economy and the way the macro backdrop has changed since he took over in May. The biggest shift has come from the Iran War, rising inflation pressure, and the AI investment boom. As of today, nearly every major bank on the Fed call sheet expects a September hike, with most looking for 50 bps, while Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, and RBC expect 75 bps. Central bank watchers now expect not just one hike this week, but potentially another before year-end. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @amitisinvesting bullish 959 eng

  $BTC Bitcoin $85K for the first time since January, hard to remember it has been that long while the asset has been depressed all year...but makes it more of a coiled spring now if this is the breakout. This comeback is pretty impressive given rate hikes and where bond yields trade at. For those that believe in cycles, Bitcoin is coming up on the typical September/October bottom that has been discussed all year if price action continues to gain momentum. Also moving on from the Clarity Act not getting passed. Helps $HOOD $COIN $MSTR $BMNR and all the other crypto derivative names as those names are close to 52-week highs in the premarket.

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 664 eng

  NEXT WEEKS EARNINGS ARE MASSIVE • Monday | $APLD, $NVTS, $CDNS, $AMKR • Tuesday | $BE, $KLAC, $PYPL, $V, $TER, $ENPH • Wednesday | $MSFT, $META, $HOOD, $ARM, $QCOM, $SOFI, $VRT, $LMND, $LRCX, $VKTX, $FTNT, $CVNA • Thursday | $AAPL, $AMZN, $COIN, $RBLX, $RDDT, $TEM, $RIVN, $FSLR, $MA, $PGY, $MSTR, $AXTI, $NXT • FRIDAY | $CVX, $XOM, $ABBV, $CCJ, $MRNA

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• @TrendSpider neutral 461 eng

  Highest weekly volume since June 2025 as Coinbase $COIN looks to carve a bottom 👀 https://t.co/qd168FShvh

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• @TrendSpider bullish 403 eng

  $COIN pushing off the base 👀 https://t.co/CDfF8LOIte

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• @TrendSpider bullish 311 eng

  Coinbase $COIN finding strength near the lows 👀 https://t.co/pXfQkvAMNw

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