$CRWV 0.49 Noisy

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• @amitisinvesting neutral 4401 eng

  NEW COMPANIES JUST ANNOUNCED TO JOIN THE NASDAQ 100 $QQQ: $NBIS $RKLB $CRWV $TER $ALAB

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• @StockSavvyShay bullish 3480 eng

  THE FUTURE IS ON SALE RIGHT NOW Drawdown from highs: • $OKLO −76% • $NVTS −63% • $CRWV −60% • $ASTS −58% • $IONQ −57% • $PL −57% • $AAOI −56% • $RKLB −55% • $IREN −54% • $ONDS −53% • $TE −51% • $OUST −42% • $ARM −42% • $BE −39% • $NBIS −38%

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• @amitisinvesting neutral 3429 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. Google $GOOGL is developing a new AI chip that could run Gemini models 6x to 10x more efficiently than its latest TPUs, per The Information. The chip, internally called “Frozen v2,” would bake parts of Gemini’s architecture directly into silicon, reducing data movement and simplifying inference decisions. Google is targeting deployment as early as 2028 to help ease its AI compute shortage, though the design would trade flexibility for major gains in speed and power efficiency. 2. Microsoft $MSFT is expanding its partnership with AMD $AMD and will deploy AMD’s Helios rack-scale systems on Azure for frontier AI inference. The platform combines MI455X GPUs, Venice CPUs, Pensando networking, and ROCm software, with shipments to Microsoft beginning in the second half of 2026. Azure will also add new AMD-powered virtual machines for agentic AI, data pipelines, and semiconductor design, marking a broader adoption of AMD’s full AI infrastructure stack. 3. AUM in U.S. leveraged semiconductor ETFs has fallen $63B from the June peak to $100B, the lowest level since late April. That marks a 39% decline, the largest drawdown since April 2025, when assets more than halved from their August high. The semiconductor unwind accounts for 63% of the broader $100B drop in AUM across all U.S. leveraged ETFs over the same period. The selloff follows a massive ramp, with assets in these funds nearly tripling between late March and the June peak. Even after the pullback, leveraged semiconductor ETF assets are still up 400% from January 2023 levels. 4. Archer $ACHR and Anduril unveiled Thunder, an autonomous attack VTOL aircraft, with first flight planned for 2027. The runway-independent hybrid-electric aircraft is designed to operate autonomously alongside crewed attack and assault aircraft. The dual-use platform features tiltrotors and modular payloads for both defense and commercial missions. Full-scale surrogate flights have already been completed, and Archer plans to announce its first commercial customers later this week. 5. Chinese AI models are taking record share among U.S. firms on OpenRouter. The proportion of tokens used by American companies running through Chinese models has climbed to roughly 58%, a record high. OpenRouter lets developers access and compare models from multiple providers, making it a useful real-world signal of AI model adoption. Chinese model usage has tripled since mid-January, overtaking U.S. peers on the platform for the first time in March and briefly hitting 63% in early July. At the start of 2025, Chinese models were under 10% of usage, while U.S. models were around 80%. DeepSeek has become the most popular choice among American firms in recent months. 6. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 3.1M contracts, $TSLA with 2.4M contracts, $AAPL with 1.8M contracts, $MU with 951K contracts, $MSFT with 884K contracts, $AMZN with 691K contracts, $INTC with 640K contracts, $SPCX with 606K contracts, $AMD with 506K contracts, and $GOOGL with 492K contracts. 7. BofA reiterated its Buy rating on CoreWeave $CRWV with a $140 price target. Analyst Tal Liani raised FY26 capex estimates to $34B from $29B, saying capex remains a key indicator of buildout progress and hardware pricing. BofA expects Q2 operating margin of 2.4%, slightly below the Street at 2.8%, but sees margins improving through the rest of the year as active power drives revenue recognition. By Q4, BofA expects operating margin to reach 14.6%, up from 1.0% in Q1, showing strong operating leverage. The firm also pushed back on competition concerns from SpaceX and Meta, arguing AI compute demand still far exceeds supply, making access to capacity the real bottleneck rather than provider choice. 8. IREN $IREN raised its 2026 AI Cloud ARR target to over $4B, up from its prior target of $3.7B. The company announced new AI cloud contracts representing $2.8B in total contract value, with approximately 85% of the updated ARR target now under contract. Goldman Sachs estimates the newly announced contracts represent an additional roughly $1B in contracted revenue with an average term of around 3 years. IREN also said recent agreements include customer prepayments covering about 45% of GPU capex, with customer contracts having a weighted average term of approximately 4 years. 9. UBS says Micron $MU could repurchase more than 40% of its shares by the end of 2028. The firm expects Micron to generate over $40B in free cash flow through 2028, and once its buyback restriction expires on December 9, 2026, UBS says the company could potentially use that cash to buy back more than 40% of its shares at the current price. Morgan Stanley said that memory stocks are trading at attractive prices but their best risk to reward names in the semi space are $NVDA Nvidia and $AVGO Broadcom. 10. Bloom Energy $BE shares are trading lower after New Mexico regulators rejected permits for a gas pipeline planned to supply Oracle’s Project Jupiter data center for the second time. The decision could delay the campus, which is expected to use up to 2.5GW of Bloom Energy’s gas-powered fuel cells. Energy Transfer may now pursue an alternative pipeline route. 11. Intel $INTC plans additional layoffs in its data center group as part of a broader effort to become a more focused and efficient company, CNBC reports. Intel said the unit is realigning roles and skills for long-term success, though the number of affected employees was not disclosed. 12. Trump signed three proclamations under Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930 imposing additional 50% tariffs on certain Canadian goods in response to what the White House calls Canada’s discriminatory treatment of U.S. products. The tariffs cover different categories of Canadian imports, including products ranging from wine to hockey sticks to cement, and apply even if goods originate under USMCA. Exemptions include energy, potash, goods already subject to Section 232 tariffs, fish, critical minerals, and certain other products. The tariffs take effect 30 days after signing. WALL STREET IS THE GREATST SHOW ON EARTH,

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 3410 eng

  UPDATED FIB LEVELS FOR POPULAR STOCKS AI Utilities • $IREN $51 • $NBIS $177 • $CIFR $17 • $CRWV $100 AI Power • $EOSE $7 • $BE $237 • $NVTS $22 • $VRT $282 AI Hardware • $NVDA $192 • $TSM $408 • $ASML $1,618 • $MU $730 AI Applications • $PLTR $129 • $NOW $109 • $CRWD $598 • $SNOW $181 AI Connectivity • $AVGO $377 • $ALAB $305 • $CRDO $195 • $MRVL $236 Space • $RKLB $106 • $ASTS $89 • $PL $31 • $BKSY $32 Quantum • $IONQ $52 • $RGTI $15 • $QBTS $20 • $INFQ $13 Drones • $ONDS $10 • $AVAV $175 • $KTOS $52 • $UMAC $24 Nuclear • $OKLO $50 • $UUUU $12 • $GEV $906 • $LEU $151 Photonics • $AAOI $164 • $LITE $698 • $COHR $283 • $AEHR $76 CPU Bottleneck • $AMD $383 • $INTC $91 • $ARM $299 • $AMKR $57 Physical AI • $TSLA $382 • $AMZN $230 • $GOOGL $357 • $ISRG $394

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• @amitisinvesting bullish 2687 eng

  Woah. Nvidia $NVDA just created a new line of business for themselves. So, all those neoclouds like $CRWV $NBIS $IREN $APLD $SPCX that have been getting deals with hyperscalers worth billions? It’s because demand for compute, according to Jensen, is growing at a level that is beyond imagination. So, companies need to secure more compute. But, many of these neoclouds are struggling to finance large GPU deployments, even after securing long-term compute demand. So…Nvidia is going to help them out and share in the upside. “This new model enables AI clouds to procure NVIDIA infrastructure for AI-native, enterprise and ISV customers through economic alignment with a revenue-sharing and credit-support model. Through the partnership, AI clouds will sell NVIDIA-powered cloud services, with NVIDIA earning both standard product revenue and a share of the cloud revenue on the supported capacity. This structure accelerates adoption of NVIDIA platforms among the high-growth, high-conviction AI native sector, and provides NVIDIA with a recurring, usage-linked earnings stream.” Looks like Nvidia is going to make sure the best neoclouds don’t fail and this also shifts from a one-time GPU sale to a recurring, usage-based revenue stream…which just creates many more longer-term monetization opportunities.

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 2037 eng

  $NBIS, $ALAB, $RKLB and $CRWV officially join the Nasdaq 100 on Monday. https://t.co/IKrTln1SEN

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• @amitisinvesting neutral 2010 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. Meta $META is reportedly developing a cloud business called Meta Compute to sell access to excess AI capacity, per Bloomberg. The company is considering offering AI model access hosted on Meta infrastructure, similar to AWS Bedrock, raw AI compute capacity closer to CoreWeave, and developer access to Meta’s data centers, chips, and models. The market was split on its views today of the situationL if Meta has enough excess compute to sell, it suggests parts of the market may not be as compute-constrained as believed, which could pressure neoclouds like $CRWV $NBIS $IREN and raise questions about future capex intensity for semis. All the neoclouds were down 7-10% today. However, if Meta realizes AI compute and cloud services can become a major business line, it may end up spending even more to compete with $AMZN, $MSFT, and $GOOGL, turning “idle compute” into the start of a much larger Meta Cloud buildout. $META was up 8% today. 2. Palantir CEO Alex Karp was on CNBC today and criticized frontier AI labs for overselling models, raising IP/trust concerns, and pushing costly token usage without enough real enterprise outcomes. His main argument came down to one point: critical infrastructure and enterprises cannot just plug in LLMs and hope they work. He argued that models need an application layer, Palantir’s ontology, to make AI safe, auditable, and operational. His broader message was that frontier labs are selling tokens, while Palantir is on the fontlines working with businesses to implement AI in a way that transforms their enterprise vs trying to increase token spend. 3. Micron $MU is committing $250M to Trump Accounts as America marks its 250th year, aiming to give 1M American children a financial head start. For U.S. employees, Micron will match up to $1,000 per child, while children in its communities across seven states will receive $250 seed contributions. The initiative comes alongside Micron’s more than $200B U.S. manufacturing investment, expected to create 90,000+ jobs. Micron also expanded its strategic partnership with General Motors $GM, giving GM long-term supply of LPDRAM, NOR, and UFS NAND for AI-enabled in-cabin experiences and advanced driver assistance systems. The agreement is backed by Micron’s $2B modernization of its Manassas, Virginia fab, which began production this year. 4. Robinhood $HOOD announced a massive slate of product updates at its World Is Flat event: 1M+ funded customers outside the U.S., Robinhood Crypto launching in the UK and Canada, a license to expand brokerage services in Singapore, maker orders for U.S. crypto customers, Agentic Trading for crypto, and the launch of Robinhood Chain with AI-native token swaps, liquidity pool discovery, and support for tokenized real-world assets. Robinhood is also rolling out EU perpetual futures for commodities, ETFs, and FX with up to 10x leverage, Robinhood Cortex for Gold subscribers, and Robinhood Earn, allowing eligible U.S. customers to lend USDG onchain through self-custody and target an estimated 7% APY. 5. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $TSLA with 3.1M contracts, $NVDA with 2.9M contracts, $META with 1.5M contracts, $AAPL with 1.2M contracts, $MSFT with 1.1M contracts, $MU with 899K contracts, $AMZN with 897K contracts, $PLTR with 860K contracts, $SPCX with 828K contracts, and $INTC with 679K contracts. 6. Nasdaq $NDAQ said companies listing on its exchange raised $129.3B in the first half of 2026, marking the strongest first half for listings in U.S. exchange history. 7. Japanese retail investors are ramping up leveraged stock bets as risk appetite heats up globally. Margin buying on the Tokyo Stock Exchange has climbed to about $40B, with levels recently hitting the highest since 1994. Japan’s margin ratio has risen to 6–8, well above the 10-year average of around 4, while individual names like Kioxia and Fujikura are showing extreme leverage. The trend mirrors rising margin debt across the U.S., Taiwan, South Korea, and Japan, raising concerns that stretched positioning could amplify volatility if markets reverse. 8. U.S. employers announced 45,849 job cuts in June, down 53% from May and the lowest monthly total since December 2025, per Challenger. AI was the top cited layoff reason for the fourth straight month, tied to 14K cuts in June and 101,743 cuts YTD. Hiring plans were up 10% in the first half of the year, though June hiring plans fell 44% from May. 9. Retail investors accounted for just 6% of total Magnificent 7 $META $GOOGL $AAPL $AMZN $MSFT $TSLA $NVDA trading volume over the five trading days ending Friday, the lowest level in 4 years. Retail participation was lower than on roughly 85% of trading days since 2022, a sharp reversal from periods in 2023 and 2024 when retail made up more than 20% of Mag 7 volume and stayed above 15% for much of 2025. The 5-day average of retail Mag 7 trading volume has fallen to about 25M shares, the lowest in at least 18 months and down 79% from the April 2025 peak of roughly 120M shares. 10. BYD is on track to retake the global fully electric vehicle sales lead from Tesla $TSLA in Q2. BYD delivered 557,090 BEVs during the quarter, while Tesla is expected to report around 396,500 deliveries next week. BYD’s June sales across all vehicle types rose 5.5% to 403,472 units, with overseas markets accounting for 43% of sales. Tesla Korea also raised Model 3 and Model Y prices by up to $4,500 one day after passing the government’s EV subsidy evaluation. 11. Wells Fargo says it is bullish into Q3 and expects a strong summer rally before potential midterm-driven volatility in September. The firm says positioning has reset, early July seasonality turns positive, earnings season should be strong, tariff refunds could support profits, AI infrastructure dips remain buyable, and “Trump Accounts” could add up to $20B of price-insensitive inflows in Q3. Its 8 tactical ideas include $AEIS for AI infrastructure and data center growth, $ARGX for its Vyvgart Phase 3 myositis readout, $CMI for prime power demand and EPA 2027 upside, $KDP for improving beverage trends, $MSCI for data and quant investing demand, $PANW for cybersecurity consolidation and AI exposure, $PLNT for better comps, and $URI for rental rate inflection and non-res construction recovery. 12. Global gold-backed ETFs saw 38.3 tonnes of outflows last week, the largest weekly decline since September 2022. In dollar terms, withdrawals hit a record $4.7B, led by North America at 23.6 tonnes, followed by Asia and Europe. The largest U.S. gold ETF, $GLD, saw $2B in outflows alone, bringing June withdrawals to $3.2B and putting it on pace for its second-worst month since February 2021. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 1698 eng

  Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness exited its entire public-equities book through a single-buyer transaction just as its former holdings are ripping today: • $BE +26% • $NBIS +25% • $SHAZ +26% • $IREN +25% • $SNDK +20% • $CRWV +20% • $TE +14% • $AMD +13% https://t.co/zxiMPBq2b9

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