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• @wallstengine neutral 412 eng

  Peter Thiel’s Thiel Macro disclosed a $418.7M Q2 13F portfolio, with all 8 positions newly reported. $AMZN — $118.0M | 28.2% $VIST — $75.9M | 18.1% $VST — $59.1M | 14.1% $AEP — $42.2M | 10.1% $DTE — $40.3M | 9.6% $FE — $39.9M | 9.5% $CMS — $39.6M | 9.4% $XE — $3.7M | 0.9% Roughly 72% of the portfolio is now concentrated across energy and power names.

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• @amitisinvesting mixed 103 eng

  Some thoughts on 13F season disclosures that we got… First, the top 10 names that were bought in Q2 across the largest funds: $MSFT, $META, $V, $AMZN, $BRK.B, $SPGI, $GOOG, $DIS, $COF, $TMO It is obvious that the blue chip companies and Mag 7 names continue to be preferred by larger investors over the semiconductor names. Four of the top 10 stocks bought were Mag 7s. While the semiconductor names are getting a bid, they are getting it from the David Teppers, Brad Gerstners, and Chase Colemans of the world. The larger funds that aren’t as aggressive are just buying discounts on some of the highest quality businesses like Visa, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft. $UBER got some big buys. Ackman added to his position by 14%, Tepper added to his by 21%, and Terry Smith bought 8M shares. $GOOGL was the most heavily sold Mag 7. While it was in the top 10 most bought stocks, that was because of concentration vs number of funds. 26 larger funds reduced their position while only 4 added to it, but the ones who added did so heavily. Berkshire increased their stake by 45%. $SPCX had some heavy buyers but it seems like many of these funds had existing xAI positions, like Nvidia and AMD, and they didn’t sell in Q2 but they didn’t freshly buy on the open market. $MU and $SNDK were not super present across disclosures. Tepper sold 40% of his position. Brad Gerstner added 209K shares. $TSM, $AMZN, and $NVDA continued to be very strong large caps that either got a decent amount of buying or holds across portfolios with few sells. Peter Thiel disclosed a $418M portfolio with 72% of the names allocated to energy which might end up being the next bottleneck that gets significant buyers. His positions: $AMZN, $VIST, $VST, $AEP, $DTE, $FE, $CMS, and $XE. Overall, it seems like the bias has been around buying large caps with sustainable earnings growth over smaller growth stocks. Financials are not really showing up either, neither is healthcare, but the market is broadening to them. Tech continues to dominate. The S&P is at all time highs so obviously there is significant buying over selling but the question now is, at what point do many of these funds allocate outside of tech or do they continue to double down on the discount that blue chips and Mag 7s are seeing vs the semi names that had a hard July but still trade at much higher multiples vs the rest of the market. To be honest, $UBER is the most compelling to me from these disclosures. It has been stuck for literally 2 years, the FCF is growing massively, and the big guys are buying in heavily. Are there any names disclosed that you are starting to get interested in?

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