$HOOD 0.25 Weak
- Date
- Jul 31, 2026
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bullish 2721 eng
only got one share of $SPCX but still very grateful to Robinhood $HOOD for trying to give access to as many retail investors as possible largest IPO in history coming up today
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neutral 2558 eng
A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. Palantir $PLTR and Nvidia $NVDA expanded their partnership to deliver sovereign AI for the U.S. government and critical infrastructure. The partnership combines Nvidia AI infrastructure and Nemotron models with Palantir’s platforms, allowing agencies to deploy models on proprietary data. Palantir CEO Alex Karp said: “Combining Palantir infrastructure with NVIDIA’s AI and Nemotron models will allow the U.S. government to unleash the full power of LLMs while removing the underlying security risks and rational concerns around proprietary insights migrating into the weights of closed models." 2. Rocket Lab $RKLB announced a definitive agreement to acquire Iridium $IRDM for $54/share in a cash-and-stock deal, implying an enterprise value of roughly $8B. This is a major move because it pushes Rocket Lab beyond space infrastructure and deeper into vertically integrated space communications with recurring, high-margin subscription revenue. Iridium adds a global satellite network, accelerates direct-to-device and space connectivity, and gives Rocket Lab the ability to design, build, launch, operate, and now monetize satellites through long-term communications services. 3. Robinhood $HOOD continues to show strong product momentum. Vlad Tenev, CEO, shared that Robinhood Banking has surpassed $3B in deposits and 200K customers, up from $1.6B and 110K at the end of March. Agentic trading has also seen 50K+ customers open accounts in its first few weeks, with millions of dollars traded daily across equities and options. Robinhood now has 50K+ funded custodial accounts just three months after launch, while 855K+ customers received allocation in the SpaceX IPO through IPO Access. 4. Hedge funds sold the most U.S. information technology equities in the week ending June 25 since Goldman’s data began in 2016, even more than during the August 2024 Nasdaq correction. Overall, hedge funds sold the most U.S. equities since the April 2025 “Liberation Day” selloff. Magnificent 7 exposure has also fallen to 14.5% of total U.S. hedge fund exposure, near a 3-year low, after dropping 7 percentage points since the start of 2026, the biggest six-month decline since the 2022 bear market. 5. Agility Robotics is going public via Churchill Capital Corp XI $CCXI in a deal valuing the humanoid robotics company at $2.5B pre-money. The transaction is expected to raise $620M+, including a $200M PIPE led by Foxconn, with the combined company set to trade as $AGLT. Agility says it has $300M+ in multi-year orders for its Digit v5 robot, with backers including Nvidia, Amazon, SoftBank, and Foxconn. 6. Google $GOOGL has reportedly capped Meta’s $META use of Gemini AI models due to computing capacity constraints, per Financial Times. The limits have affected some of Meta’s internal projects, with staff told to use AI tokens more efficiently. Meta had been using Gemini to automate safety workflows, but is now leaning more on its own Muse Spark model to reduce reliance on external AI models. 7. Micron $MU is now a top 10 holding in the S&P 500 with a 1.9% weighting, reflecting just how important memory has become in the AI trade. Meanwhile, Nvidia $NVDA has fallen from closer to 8.5% of the index to 6.99%, while Apple $AAPL has dropped from around 7.5% to 6.18%. 8. Anthropic reportedly renegotiated part of its Amazon deal, shifting Claude pricing from compute hours to token-based usage starting next year, per The Information. The change could raise $AMZN’s costs for using Claude across products like Alexa for Shopping, Kiro, and Quick. Amazon is now reportedly evaluating OpenAI and its own Nova models to reduce reliance on Anthropic. 9. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $TSLA with 3.8M contracts, $NVDA with 2.9M contracts, $AMZN with 1.4M contracts, $AAPL with 1.1M contracts, $MSFT with 931K contracts, $MU with 767K contracts, $SPCX with 617K contracts, $INTC with 598K contracts, $MSTR with 533K contracts, and $GOOGL with 489K contracts. 10. ByteDance is targeting early next year to finalize the design of its next-gen in-house CPU for AI infrastructure, per SCMP. Mass production and broader deployment are expected in H2 2027, as ByteDance looks to support AI workloads across Doubao, Seedance, and other internal platforms. Qualcomm $QCOM is reportedly helping with development and foundry capacity. 11. South Korea unveiled a massive $576B+ AI and chip investment push, with Samsung and SK Hynix expected to invest around $518B. Suppliers will build two new chip fab sites each in southwest Korea, while the broader plan includes a $52.7B chip packaging cluster and a goal to double DRAM output within five years. 12. U.S. online spending across all retailers hit $26.4B during Amazon $AMZN Prime Day, topping Adobe’s $26.3B estimate. Spending rose 9.3% YoY, while BNPL accounted for 6.6% of orders. However, Numerator said average household spending on Amazon fell 8.3% to $143. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.
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bullish 2529 eng
A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. SpaceX $SPCX will be added to the Nasdaq 100 tomorrow before the market opens, creating forced buying from mutual funds and ETFs that track the index and collectively manage roughly $800B in AUM. SpaceX’s initial weighting will be about 1%, based on free-float market cap, which excludes insider and restricted shares. That weighting could grow over time as lockups lift, the public float expands, and Nasdaq rebalances the index in September and December. 2. Samsung Electronics prelim Q2 operating profit surged 19x YoY to roughly $58.4B, beating $55.3B consensus, driven by booming AI memory demand. Revenue came in slightly below expectations at about $111.8B vs. $113.1B consensus, but still rose 129% YoY. On an operating income basis, Samsung is now arguably the most profitable company in the world, generating more operating profit than Nvidia $NVDA did last quarter. 3. Robinhood $HOOD CEO Vlad Tenev says demand for Trump Accounts has been “tremendous,” with 6M kids signing up pre-launch to express interest and millions of accounts already invested. The accounts are now officially active and open for contributions, allowing parents, grandparents, family, friends, and employers to collectively contribute up to $5,000 annually for eligible American children. SpaceX $SPCX president Gwynne Shotwell and her husband are donating $320M of company stock to help fund Trump Accounts for more than 2M American children. 4. Broadcom $AVGO and Apple $AAPL expanded their long-standing technology partnership through 2031. Under the new multi-year agreements, Broadcom will develop and supply a range of custom ASIC silicon products for multiple generations of Apple devices. 5. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $TSLA with 4.4M contracts, $NVDA with 2.3M contracts, $AAPL with 1.5M contracts, $AMZN with 790K contracts, $SPCX with 727K contracts, $META with 668K contracts, $MSFT with 637K contracts, $INTC with 566K contracts, $MU with 530K contracts, and $SOFI with 421K contracts. 6. TeraWulf $WULF signed a 20-year lease with Anthropic for its Justified Data campus in Kentucky, representing roughly $19B of contracted revenue over the initial term. The campus is expected to support about 401MW of critical IT load, with initial capacity coming online in H2 2027 and full capacity by early 2028. Separately, TeraWulf is selling its 50.1% stake in the Abernathy JV to a Fluidstack-led investor group, monetizing an approximately $450M investment. 7. Retail is levering up into options. 0DTE options now account for a record 48% of total retail options volume, more than tripling over the past five years. They also represented a record 30% of total U.S. options volume in May, well above the 2022 high of roughly 18% and the five-year average of about 21%. As short-dated trading keeps growing, the average options contract now expires in under 3 days. 8. JPMorgan says Meta $META potentially monetizing excess AI compute through a cloud business could be positive for returns on AI infrastructure, but the firm would rather see Meta use that capacity inside its own products. The report notes Meta could charge developers for access to models hosted on its infrastructure or rent raw compute to third parties, with JPM estimating 1GW of capacity could generate around $20B in annual revenue and several dollars of EPS. Still, JPM argues the bigger upside is Meta using its compute, 4B+ users, and AI products across Family of Apps to drive internal inference demand, which would support continued heavy capex rather than implying a slowdown. 9. Michael Saylor’s Strategy $MSTR sold 3,588 BTC over the last two weeks for roughly $216M as part of its new Bitcoin Monetization Program, which allows up to $1.25B of BTC sales. The latest sale included 2,225 BTC at an average price of $60,773, following the prior week’s sale of 1,363 BTC at $59,256. Strategy still holds 843,775 BTC, with an average acquisition cost of $75,476 per BTC. 10. AI giants OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google are handing out free compute credits worth hundreds of thousands of dollars to win startup customers, per WSJ. The battle for startups is intensifying as top AI labs offer discounts and credits to lock in the next generation of enterprise users. The strategy is simple: subsidize usage now, drive early adoption, and turn today’s startup customers into durable long-term revenue streams. 11. Deutsche Bank says U.S. public debt is the clearest macro risk to American dominance. Federal deficits have stayed around 5%–6% of GDP since 2022 despite the economy being near full employment, while debt held by the public is set to surpass 100% of GDP this year. Interest payments now exceed defense spending and are the fastest-growing budget item, with the CBO projecting a $1.9T FY2026 deficit and public debt rising to 120% of GDP by 2036. 12. Leopold Aschenbrenner’s next investment target filed for Nasdaq this Friday. SK Hynix $SKHY is raising $28B, with Situational Awareness indicating interest in up to $7B of shares. SK Hynix has roughly 59% of the global HBM market, about 70% of Nvidia’s $NVDA HBM4 allocation, Nvidia alone represents 27% of revenue, and its entire 2026 chip lineup is already sold out. SK Hynix will be going public on the Nasdaq via ADRs and will be one of the largest foreign memory companies, now worth $1T. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.
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bullish 2142 eng
A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here’s a full recap: $NVDA CEO Jensen Huang pushed back on the recent stock market selloff, saying NVIDIA is still at the beginning of the AI supercycle and that market weakness should be viewed as a buying opportunity. He said investors “should be very happy” because they can now buy at a discount, adding that everyone should be excited about where AI is heading. Jensen also said it is a “foregone conclusion” that AI will become global infrastructure, similar to how the internet became core infrastructure for the world. 2. Google and $NVDA are reportedly exploring $INTC as a backup chip manufacturing partner as TSMC capacity remains constrained, according to The Information. Google has reportedly already placed an order with Intel to manufacture more than 3 million TPUs in 2028 after testing Intel’s advanced packaging technology. Nvidia has not placed an order yet, but is reportedly testing Intel’s tech for its 2028 Feynman-series processor, which is expected to combine four graphics chips into a single unit. For Intel, the near-term opportunity appears to be in advanced packaging, with SK Hynix also testing whether its HBM can work reliably with Intel’s packaging technology. 3. $AAPL unveiled “Siri AI” at WWDC 2026, transforming Siri into a more conversational AI assistant with current world knowledge, on-device context, screen awareness, and its own dedicated Siri app. A beta version is expected later this year, with Apple planning deeper integration across iPhone, Mac, Apple Watch, and Vision Pro. 4. Global investors are selling South Korean stocks at a record pace, with foreign investors offloading -$801 million of Kospi-listed shares on Monday after pulling -$10 billion from the market last week. Foreign investors have now sold South Korean equities in every trading session over the past month, bringing year-to-date outflows to -$75 billion, according to Goldman Sachs. Meanwhile, domestic retail and institutional investors have been on the other side of the trade, buying roughly +$69 billion over the same period. 5. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $TSLA with 3.6M contracts, $NVDA with 3.2M contracts, $AAPL with 2.1M contracts, $MSFT with 831K contracts, $AMZN with 710K contracts, $INTC with 696K contracts, $MU with 601K contracts, $GOOGL with 587K contracts, $META with 568K contracts, and $NOK with 444K contracts. Tesla led the market with more than 3.6M options contracts traded, followed by Nvidia at 3.2M and Apple at 2.1M. 6. Robinhood’s Top 10 most-held investments were updated for June, and the list stayed largely the same with one major change: $AMD replaced $NFLX, which had been in the top 10 for the past few months. AMD has surged 118% YTD, becoming a major retail winner for investors who backed Lisa Su and the company’s AI/chip comeback story. The other most-held names on $HOOD remain major retail favorites: $META, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $MSFT, $NVDA, $PLTR, $F, $MSFT, and $TSLA. 7. OpenAI said it has confidentially submitted an S-1 to the SEC, giving the company the option to go public, though no IPO timing has been decided yet. The company said it announced the filing because it expected the news to leak, but noted that it “may be a while” before any public listing because there are still things it wants to do that may be easier as a private company. OpenAI added that the decision involves a complicated set of tradeoffs, but filing now gives it flexibility to move toward an IPO sooner if that becomes the best path. 8. $AAPL Apple is teaming up with $GOOGL Google and $NVDA NVIDIA to bring more compute power to Apple Intelligence. At WWDC, Apple said it worked with Google and NVIDIA to bring its Private Cloud Compute approach to Google Cloud infrastructure, with Apple’s largest AI model, AFM Cloud Pro, set to run on Google Cloud. Apple said many Apple Intelligence requests will still be handled on-device, while more complex requests will be routed through its own Private Cloud Compute platform, including a new world knowledge service built inside that system. Apple also emphasized that it is not using Google Search as the foundation of the product and said it is now on the third generation of Apple Foundation Models. 9. Margin debt in China is surging to record levels, with stock market margin debt now reaching roughly $431 billion, more than doubling over the past two years. That total is now 22% above the 2015 Chinese stock market bubble peak of about $354 billion. At the same time, margin trading activity has also accelerated sharply, with volume on the Shanghai Stock Exchange averaging around $22 billion per day over the last two weeks, near record highs. Margin trading volume has now tripled over the past 12 months and is back in line with the levels seen during the 2015 peak. 10. $AMZN $GLW Amazon announced a multibillion-dollar agreement with Corning to supply optical fiber, cable, and connectivity solutions for Amazon’s U.S. data center infrastructure. The deal is expected to create 1,000 advanced manufacturing jobs at Corning’s North Carolina facilities and support hundreds of additional construction jobs. Amazon said the agreement will help strengthen the U.S. fiber optics supply chain as demand for AI data centers continues to accelerate. 11. SpaceX’s IPO is reportedly seeing overwhelming demand, with the offering said to be well oversubscribed and institutional orders expected to close Wednesday at 4pm ET, according to Bloomberg. At a reported $135 per share, SpaceX would raise roughly $75 billion at an estimated $1.8 trillion valuation, which could make it the largest IPO in history. The deal is expected to price on June 11 and begin trading on June 12 under the ticker $SPCX. 12. Retail investors piled into semis and AI names in May, with the largest single-stock net inflows led by $MU at +$6.5B, followed by $NVDA at +$5.9B, $TSLA at +$4.9B, $SNDK at +$3.5B, and $AMD at +$1.9B. The data shows retail buyers aggressively adding exposure to the AI/chip trade, with memory, GPUs, EVs, and semiconductor names dominating the month’s biggest inflow leaders. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.
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neutral 2010 eng
A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. Meta $META is reportedly developing a cloud business called Meta Compute to sell access to excess AI capacity, per Bloomberg. The company is considering offering AI model access hosted on Meta infrastructure, similar to AWS Bedrock, raw AI compute capacity closer to CoreWeave, and developer access to Meta’s data centers, chips, and models. The market was split on its views today of the situationL if Meta has enough excess compute to sell, it suggests parts of the market may not be as compute-constrained as believed, which could pressure neoclouds like $CRWV $NBIS $IREN and raise questions about future capex intensity for semis. All the neoclouds were down 7-10% today. However, if Meta realizes AI compute and cloud services can become a major business line, it may end up spending even more to compete with $AMZN, $MSFT, and $GOOGL, turning “idle compute” into the start of a much larger Meta Cloud buildout. $META was up 8% today. 2. Palantir CEO Alex Karp was on CNBC today and criticized frontier AI labs for overselling models, raising IP/trust concerns, and pushing costly token usage without enough real enterprise outcomes. His main argument came down to one point: critical infrastructure and enterprises cannot just plug in LLMs and hope they work. He argued that models need an application layer, Palantir’s ontology, to make AI safe, auditable, and operational. His broader message was that frontier labs are selling tokens, while Palantir is on the fontlines working with businesses to implement AI in a way that transforms their enterprise vs trying to increase token spend. 3. Micron $MU is committing $250M to Trump Accounts as America marks its 250th year, aiming to give 1M American children a financial head start. For U.S. employees, Micron will match up to $1,000 per child, while children in its communities across seven states will receive $250 seed contributions. The initiative comes alongside Micron’s more than $200B U.S. manufacturing investment, expected to create 90,000+ jobs. Micron also expanded its strategic partnership with General Motors $GM, giving GM long-term supply of LPDRAM, NOR, and UFS NAND for AI-enabled in-cabin experiences and advanced driver assistance systems. The agreement is backed by Micron’s $2B modernization of its Manassas, Virginia fab, which began production this year. 4. Robinhood $HOOD announced a massive slate of product updates at its World Is Flat event: 1M+ funded customers outside the U.S., Robinhood Crypto launching in the UK and Canada, a license to expand brokerage services in Singapore, maker orders for U.S. crypto customers, Agentic Trading for crypto, and the launch of Robinhood Chain with AI-native token swaps, liquidity pool discovery, and support for tokenized real-world assets. Robinhood is also rolling out EU perpetual futures for commodities, ETFs, and FX with up to 10x leverage, Robinhood Cortex for Gold subscribers, and Robinhood Earn, allowing eligible U.S. customers to lend USDG onchain through self-custody and target an estimated 7% APY. 5. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $TSLA with 3.1M contracts, $NVDA with 2.9M contracts, $META with 1.5M contracts, $AAPL with 1.2M contracts, $MSFT with 1.1M contracts, $MU with 899K contracts, $AMZN with 897K contracts, $PLTR with 860K contracts, $SPCX with 828K contracts, and $INTC with 679K contracts. 6. Nasdaq $NDAQ said companies listing on its exchange raised $129.3B in the first half of 2026, marking the strongest first half for listings in U.S. exchange history. 7. Japanese retail investors are ramping up leveraged stock bets as risk appetite heats up globally. Margin buying on the Tokyo Stock Exchange has climbed to about $40B, with levels recently hitting the highest since 1994. Japan’s margin ratio has risen to 6–8, well above the 10-year average of around 4, while individual names like Kioxia and Fujikura are showing extreme leverage. The trend mirrors rising margin debt across the U.S., Taiwan, South Korea, and Japan, raising concerns that stretched positioning could amplify volatility if markets reverse. 8. U.S. employers announced 45,849 job cuts in June, down 53% from May and the lowest monthly total since December 2025, per Challenger. AI was the top cited layoff reason for the fourth straight month, tied to 14K cuts in June and 101,743 cuts YTD. Hiring plans were up 10% in the first half of the year, though June hiring plans fell 44% from May. 9. Retail investors accounted for just 6% of total Magnificent 7 $META $GOOGL $AAPL $AMZN $MSFT $TSLA $NVDA trading volume over the five trading days ending Friday, the lowest level in 4 years. Retail participation was lower than on roughly 85% of trading days since 2022, a sharp reversal from periods in 2023 and 2024 when retail made up more than 20% of Mag 7 volume and stayed above 15% for much of 2025. The 5-day average of retail Mag 7 trading volume has fallen to about 25M shares, the lowest in at least 18 months and down 79% from the April 2025 peak of roughly 120M shares. 10. BYD is on track to retake the global fully electric vehicle sales lead from Tesla $TSLA in Q2. BYD delivered 557,090 BEVs during the quarter, while Tesla is expected to report around 396,500 deliveries next week. BYD’s June sales across all vehicle types rose 5.5% to 403,472 units, with overseas markets accounting for 43% of sales. Tesla Korea also raised Model 3 and Model Y prices by up to $4,500 one day after passing the government’s EV subsidy evaluation. 11. Wells Fargo says it is bullish into Q3 and expects a strong summer rally before potential midterm-driven volatility in September. The firm says positioning has reset, early July seasonality turns positive, earnings season should be strong, tariff refunds could support profits, AI infrastructure dips remain buyable, and “Trump Accounts” could add up to $20B of price-insensitive inflows in Q3. Its 8 tactical ideas include $AEIS for AI infrastructure and data center growth, $ARGX for its Vyvgart Phase 3 myositis readout, $CMI for prime power demand and EPA 2027 upside, $KDP for improving beverage trends, $MSCI for data and quant investing demand, $PANW for cybersecurity consolidation and AI exposure, $PLNT for better comps, and $URI for rental rate inflection and non-res construction recovery. 12. Global gold-backed ETFs saw 38.3 tonnes of outflows last week, the largest weekly decline since September 2022. In dollar terms, withdrawals hit a record $4.7B, led by North America at 23.6 tonnes, followed by Asia and Europe. The largest U.S. gold ETF, $GLD, saw $2B in outflows alone, bringing June withdrawals to $3.2B and putting it on pace for its second-worst month since February 2021. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.
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bullish 1705 eng
A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. Tomorrow’s FOMC meeting will be Kevin Warsh’s first as Fed Chair, and the market will be watching closely to see how he frames inflation, rates, and the path toward potential cuts. One major tailwind is that oil came down to $77 today, which helps ease inflation pressure and lowers the risk of another energy-driven CPI spike. If Warsh acknowledges that cooling oil prices are helping the inflation picture, it could give markets more confidence that the Fed has room to turn less restrictive over time. 2. The 2x SpaceX ETF had more than $3 billion in volume today versus about $1 billion yesterday. Nearly every product is already around $100 million or more in volume, while $SPCH led the pack with $1.3 billion traded, reportedly the highest Day Two volume ever recorded for an ETF, far above $IBIT’s roughly $500 million. SpaceX also officially announced plans to acquire Cursor parent company Anysphere for $60 billion. Ahead of the $SPCX IPO, Gwynne Shotwell described the relationship as a close AI collaboration, saying both companies were evaluating each other’s models and that Cursor’s training data was “excellent,” while SpaceX brings major compute capacity. 3. Wells Fargo raised its year-end 2026 $SPX S&P 500 target to 7,950, citing several supportive market factors. The firm pointed to a reset in investor sentiment following the Nasdaq 100 selloff, an improving setup for CTA buying, easing macro risk after the peace deal, continued supportive liquidity, and a higher 2026 EPS forecast of $340. 4. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $TSLA with 2.0M contracts, $NVDA with 1.8M contracts, $SPCX with 1.7M contracts, $AAPL with 881K contracts, $INTC with 648K contracts, $NFLX with 573K contracts, $MU with 559K contracts, $AMZN with 511K contracts, $MSFT with 486K contracts, and $SOFI with 477K contracts. Tesla led the market with more than 2.0M options contracts traded, followed by Nvidia at 1.8M and SpaceX at 1.7M. 5. $AAPL Apple reportedly plans to launch camera-equipped AirPods in late 2027, according to Bloomberg. The cameras are not expected to be used for taking photos or videos, but instead to help Siri understand the user’s surroundings and provide more visual context. The new AirPods could debut around the same time as Apple’s second-generation foldable iPhone and its 20th-anniversary iPhone. 6. Microsoft $MSFT is reportedly moving Copilot Cowork to a usage-based pricing model and may introduce a Microsoft-hosted DeepSeek model as a lower-cost AI option for enterprise customers, according to Bloomberg. The cheaper model is expected to roll out in the coming weeks as Microsoft looks to give businesses more flexible and affordable AI tools. 7. Foreign investors sold another $801 million worth of Kospi-listed shares on Monday, adding to the $10 billion in outflows seen last week. According to Goldman Sachs, foreign investors have now sold South Korean stocks every trading session over the past month, bringing year-to-date net sales to roughly $75 billion. Meanwhile, domestic retail and institutional investors have absorbed much of the selling, buying about $69 billion over the same period. 8. The Financial Times reports that the Trump administration is considering a deal framework that could include sanctions relief and a $300 billion private-sector reconstruction fund for Iran if Tehran agrees to a final nuclear agreement and maintains peace. The fund would reportedly depend on Iran’s compliance and be financed by companies rather than governments, with potential interest from businesses in Europe, Asia, and the U.S. because of Iran’s large population and energy resources. If accurate, the proposal would effectively act like an economic rebuilding package for Iran while also opening the door for U.S. and global companies to enter the Iranian market if sanctions are lifted. 9. Robinhood $HOOD plans to cut about 10% of its workforce, or roughly 290 roles, as the company looks to operate more efficiently and flatten management layers. CEO Vlad Tenev said Robinhood’s business “has never been stronger,” but emphasized that the company cannot operate as a heavily layered organization and needs to remain a lean, hyper-focused team. 10. SoFi CEO Anthony Noto purchased 13,888 shares of $SOFI at $18.06 per share, spending roughly $250,000 on the open-market buy. Following the purchase, Noto now owns 11,960,507 shares of SoFi, worth about $211.8 million. 11. Snap $SNAP launched standalone consumer AR glasses priced at $2,195, but the stock was down 10% on the day. The glasses do not require a phone, puck, or tether and feature a 51° field of view with transparent LCoS displays, up to four hours of mixed use plus four extra charges from the case, electrochromic lenses that tint outdoors, and a built-in AI assistant that can see what the user is looking at. Snap has spent 11 years and more than $3 billion trying to make AR glasses a mainstream product. 12. Amazon $AMZN plans to invest several billion dollars to build a new data center campus in Montgomery County, Missouri, creating more than 400 full-time data center jobs, thousands of construction roles, and funding upgrades to local road and water infrastructure. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.
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bullish 1662 eng
$HOOD I have covered Robinhood for the past 3 years, and it is fair to say that something really different has happened in the past 2 weeks since their Crypto event in the UK. Why? Well... Just over one week after launch of the Robinhood Chain: - 17M+ transactions - Nearly 350K total addresses - Nearly $250M in protocol TVL - More than $1B in DEX trading volume And three days ago, Robinhood Chain flipped Hyperliquid in 24-hour DEX volume, according to DefiLlama: Robinhood Chain: $433.19M Hyperliquid: $296.23M The implications for $HOOD are significant and really cannot be ignored by the market. Robinhood is evolving from a brokerage that earns from customer trading activity into a vertically integrated financial ecosystem with its own blockchain, exchange infrastructure, tokenized assets and on-chain liquidity. This along with the Trump accounts is why I think the stock has finally decoupled from $BTC and is now trading at 80% above its lows in May. Bitcoin could go up or down, the market has moved on with pegging HOOD's stock to random BTC fluctuations, because HOOD is so, so much more important than what happens with any individual coin. If Robinhood Chain continues gaining adoption, Robinhood could capture economics from: - Blockchain transaction fees - DEX trading and liquidity activity - Tokenized stocks and real-world assets (something Vlad really wants to push heavily as he sees the entire world is moving on chain) - Stablecoin payments and settlement - Third-party applications built on its network - Increased customer deposits and engagement The bigger opportunity is that Robinhood may no longer need to simply route transactions through financial infrastructure owned by other companies. It could increasingly own the infrastructure itself...which has always been the bull case for them in crypto. It's not just about making fees off people trading coins, but owning the entire stack when it comes to the broader crypto ecosystem. That gives Robinhood more control over the customer experience, potentially stronger margins and several new recurring revenue streams. It is still early, and some of the initial volume may be driven by launch incentives, but Robinhood Chain is already showing that the company could become far more than a retail brokerage. The main assets being traded on it right now are meme coins, which some people may think are a joke, but to me this is showing the willingness of so many native crypto investors to accept Robinhood Chain as a legitimate platform to be able to trade on and eventually, millions of other assets with real world utility will come on chain. $HOOD is building toward becoming a global, crypto-native financial platform and that level of innovation and speed is what has helped the stock recover this year but is also getting the street excited for the future, diversified streams of revenue which will continue to compound earnings over the coming years. LFG.
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bullish 1589 eng
A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. The Fed held rates steady, as expected, but the decision came with 3 dissents in favor of a 25 bps hike from Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan. Fed Chair Warsh said the move should not be viewed as a “pause,” arguing that markets have already made their judgment and the Fed now has 7–8 weeks of incoming data to assess. He said the June core CPI print did not materially change the decision, with the broader inflation trend now mattering more. Warsh also said the Fed is doing well on the employment mandate, though the AI-driven capex surge makes it harder to judge aggregate supply and demand. 2. Meta $META reported Q2 2026 revenue of $60.8B, up 28% YoY, with advertising revenue rising 27% YoY to $59.4B. EPS fell 13% YoY to $6.18, while Reality Labs posted an operating loss of $4.62B. Daily active people increased 3% YoY to 3.60B, and Meta guided Q3 revenue to $61B–$64B. The stock is under pressure as investors focus on the EPS miss and continued AI infrastructure spending, with FY26 capex now expected at $130B–$145B. CEO Mark Zuckerberg said AI is already accelerating Meta’s core business, powering new products, and opening up new enterprise opportunities. 3. Robinhood $HOOD delivered an exceptional Q2 2026, with revenue up 32% YoY to $1.31B, net income up 48% YoY to $573M, and adjusted EBITDA up 35% YoY to $741M. Transaction-based revenue grew 44% YoY to $776M, while total platform assets rose 32% YoY to $369B. Net deposits hit an all-time high of $21.7B, with $3B already in Robinhood Banking. Gold subscribers increased 39% YoY to 4.8M, with a record 17% attach rate, while ARPU rose 24% YoY to $187. Robinhood also bought back 4.4M shares in the quarter, lowered expense guidance, now has 13 business lines doing $100M+ ARR, and its Gold Card has reached 1M holders with $17B of annualized spend. 4. Retail investors sold a net $243M of single stocks yesterday, marking the largest one-day outflow since the COVID crash, according to Vanda Research. 5. Microsoft $MSFT reported Q2 2026 revenue of $90.0B, adjusted EPS of $4.74, and operating income of $40.6B. Azure and other cloud revenue grew 43% YoY, while Microsoft Cloud revenue reached $59.3B and Intelligent Cloud revenue came in at $39.3B. Capex was $35.8B, reflecting continued AI infrastructure investment. CEO Satya Nadella said Azure revenue surpassed $100B for the first time this year, while Microsoft 365 Copilot reached more than 30M paid seats, showing growing enterprise adoption of Microsoft’s AI stack. 6. OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar and board chair Bret Taylor reportedly addressed employees in an internal meeting on Wednesday, with Friar telling staff that July annualized recurring revenue was already higher than the entire Q2 level. The update appears aimed at reassuring employees that OpenAI’s business remains healthy as competition intensifies from Anthropic and a growing wave of open-source AI players. 7. SpaceX $SPCX is reportedly weighing acquisitions or a bid in the FCC’s July 2027 Upper C-band auction to secure terrestrial spectrum, per Semafor. The company is looking for airwaves that perform better in cities and dense areas, which could help Starlink compete more directly with $T AT&T, $VZ Verizon, and $TMUS T-Mobile. SpaceX has already bought $17B of EchoStar spectrum licenses, though its latest spectrum strategy remains fluid. 8. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 3.8M contracts, $TSLA with 2.3M contracts, $AAPL with 1.7M contracts, $MU with 1.2M contracts, $INTC with 905K contracts, $SOFI with 802K contracts, $AMD with 654K contracts, $AMZN with 631K contracts, $SPCX with 615K contracts, and $GOOGL with 582K contracts. 9. JPMorgan says Korea’s equity market has gone through an intense deleveraging phase since mid-June, with the KOSPI now down nearly 40% from its June 22 peak. The firm says the selloff was amplified by leveraged ETF flows and hedge fund positioning unwind, but now believes the leveraged ETF unwind is complete and hedge funds are roughly 90% done deleveraging. While some residual selling may continue and investors remain cautious ahead of the FOMC and hyperscaler earnings, JPMorgan says Korea’s positioning setup now looks attractive on balance, supported by cheap valuations and earnings momentum. 10. U.S. senators are warning Apple $AAPL against using Chinese memory chips from CXMT or YMTC, even for devices sold only in China. Lawmakers led by Jim Banks and Chuck Schumer urged Apple to abandon the talks, noting both chipmakers are on a Pentagon list of Chinese military companies, while YMTC is also on the Commerce Department’s Entity List. Senators warned that Apple qualifying the chips could pave the way for broader use later, and asked Apple to commit by August 21 not to use them while disclosing any technical information already shared. The pressure comes as the global memory market remains tight, with potential read-throughs for $MU, $SNDK, and $SKHY. 11. Meta $META is not giving specific 2027 CapEx guidance, saying infrastructure planning remains highly dynamic as it builds for maximum capacity in 2026 and 2027, while keeping room to expand in 2028 and beyond. On AI, Meta said it is optimistic about meaningful growth across its AI businesses and expects to share more soon. The company also said it has received multiple offers to monetize its compute at a meaningful premium to cost, but believes selling intelligence will carry significantly higher margins than selling compute directly. 12. Korea’s government announced an emergency market meeting after the recent equity-market selloff, with the finance ministry also launching a 24-hour market monitoring system. The measures include new restrictions on leveraged ETF trading and caps on retail exposure to these products. Korean stocks have bounced on the news as policymakers move to stabilize markets. I know it's very ugly out there. We all are going through it. It is the greatest show on earth for the reason: you just don't know what's going to happen next. Earnings are amazing so the selloff feels more structural and rooted in deleveraging/bad sentiment around AI vs the entire AI trade itself not being real or having strong fundamentals. Some valuations really got aggressive and the unwind has taken everything down along with the war being a really ugly headwind for the entire market. Stay strong, make sure you aren't too levered, and remember that the broader markets have seen worse and will persist through this. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.
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Signal history
| Date | Score | Signal | Mentions | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | 0.47 | Noisy | 1 | — |
| 2026-06-09 | 0.73 | Rising Signal | 5 | #5 |
| 2026-06-10 | 0.54 | Developing | 5 | — |
| 2026-06-11 | 0.47 | Noisy | 2 | — |
| 2026-06-12 | 0.43 | Noisy | 2 | — |
| 2026-06-13 | 0.34 | Weak | 1 | — |
| 2026-06-15 | 0.55 | Developing | 4 | — |
| 2026-06-16 | 0.63 | Developing | 4 | — |
| 2026-06-17 | 0.71 | Rising Signal | 8 | #5 |
| 2026-06-18 | 0.45 | Noisy | 2 | — |
| 2026-06-19 | 0.60 | Developing | 1 | — |
| 2026-06-20 | 0.46 | Noisy | 1 | — |
| 2026-06-21 | 0.50 | Developing | 2 | — |
| 2026-06-22 | 0.59 | Developing | 5 | — |
| 2026-06-23 | 0.43 | Noisy | 1 | — |
| 2026-06-24 | 0.41 | Noisy | 1 | — |
| 2026-06-27 | 0.34 | Weak | 1 | — |
| 2026-06-29 | 0.37 | Noisy | 2 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 0.55 | Developing | 1 | — |
| 2026-07-01 | 0.48 | Noisy | 1 | — |
| 2026-07-02 | 0.69 | Rising Signal | 11 | #3 |
| 2026-07-03 | 0.41 | Noisy | 1 | — |
| 2026-07-04 | 0.54 | Developing | 2 | — |
| 2026-07-05 | 0.46 | Noisy | 1 | — |
| 2026-07-06 | 0.34 | Weak | 2 | — |
| 2026-07-07 | 0.56 | Developing | 4 | — |
| 2026-07-08 | 0.49 | Noisy | 4 | — |
| 2026-07-09 | 0.48 | Noisy | 5 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | 0.43 | Noisy | 4 | — |
| 2026-07-11 | 0.49 | Noisy | 2 | — |
| 2026-07-12 | 0.62 | Developing | 2 | #4 |
| 2026-07-13 | 0.55 | Developing | 3 | — |
| 2026-07-14 | 0.33 | Weak | 2 | — |
| 2026-07-16 | 0.16 | Weak | 1 | — |
| 2026-07-17 | 0.21 | Weak | 1 | — |
| 2026-07-18 | 0.37 | Noisy | 1 | — |
| 2026-07-20 | 0.59 | Developing | 1 | — |
| 2026-07-21 | 0.33 | Weak | 2 | — |
| 2026-07-25 | 0.37 | Noisy | 2 | — |
| 2026-07-26 | 0.51 | Developing | 1 | — |
| 2026-07-30 | 0.45 | Noisy | 4 | — |
| 2026-07-31 | 0.25 | Weak | 1 | — |