$MRVL 0.30 Weak

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 3410 eng

  UPDATED FIB LEVELS FOR POPULAR STOCKS AI Utilities • $IREN $51 • $NBIS $177 • $CIFR $17 • $CRWV $100 AI Power • $EOSE $7 • $BE $237 • $NVTS $22 • $VRT $282 AI Hardware • $NVDA $192 • $TSM $408 • $ASML $1,618 • $MU $730 AI Applications • $PLTR $129 • $NOW $109 • $CRWD $598 • $SNOW $181 AI Connectivity • $AVGO $377 • $ALAB $305 • $CRDO $195 • $MRVL $236 Space • $RKLB $106 • $ASTS $89 • $PL $31 • $BKSY $32 Quantum • $IONQ $52 • $RGTI $15 • $QBTS $20 • $INFQ $13 Drones • $ONDS $10 • $AVAV $175 • $KTOS $52 • $UMAC $24 Nuclear • $OKLO $50 • $UUUU $12 • $GEV $906 • $LEU $151 Photonics • $AAOI $164 • $LITE $698 • $COHR $283 • $AEHR $76 CPU Bottleneck • $AMD $383 • $INTC $91 • $ARM $299 • $AMKR $57 Physical AI • $TSLA $382 • $AMZN $230 • $GOOGL $357 • $ISRG $394

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 1956 eng

  SEMICONDUCTOR STOCKS BY PEG RATIO PEG < 1 usually means mispriced growth PEG > 2 starts to push into the danger zone Here’s how they stack up: • $ALAB ~2.9x • $ARM ~2.4x • $INTC ~2.2x • $LRCX ~2.2x • $KLAC ~2.0x • $AMAT ~1.7x • $ASML ~1.7x • $ANET ~1.7x • $TSM ~1.2x • $LITE ~1.1x • $COHR ~1.0x • $CRDO ~0.9x • $NVDA ~0.8x • $AMD ~0.7x • $AAOI ~0.7x • $MRVL ~0.6x • $ON ~0.6x • $AVGO ~0.6x • $SNDK ~0.4x • $MU ~0.4x

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• @amitisinvesting neutral 1617 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. Nvidia $NVDA added roughly $453B in market cap in a single day, the largest one-day market-cap gain ever recorded in the U.S., as Wall Street rushed to reset targets after Q2 earnings. Raymond James raised its price target to $515 from $352 and reiterated Strong Buy, citing Nvidia’s FY28 outlook for approximately 70% revenue growth and saying $1T in annual sales by FY29 now looks possible. The firm highlighted architectural evolutions like NVL racks at 1:1 and agentic Vera CPU racks as growth accelerators, while also expecting non-hyperscale revenue to outgrow hyperscaler revenue. Other target hikes included JPMorgan to $320 from $280, Mizuho to $315 from $300, Melius to $425 from $400, Goldman Sachs to $300 from $285, Bernstein to $400 from $315, Citi to $315 from $300, and Stifel to $315 from $282. 2. Marvell $MRVL reported Q2’27 revenue of $2.7B, roughly in line with estimates of $2.71B and up 37% YoY. Adjusted EPS came in at $0.94 versus $0.92 expected, up 40% YoY, while Data Center revenue reached $2.2B, up 46% YoY. Marvell guided Q3 revenue to $3.15B +/- 5%, ahead of the $3.03B estimate, and adjusted EPS to $1.10 +/- $0.05 versus $1.07 expected. The bigger update was the long-term outlook: management now expects FY27 revenue to grow roughly 45% YoY to about $12B, with Data Center up around 60%, and FY28 revenue to reach roughly $18B, up about 50% YoY, with Data Center growing more than 60% and custom chip revenue more than doubling. Marvell also said revenue tied to the Google warrant agreement through FY28 is already included in its prior custom revenue target, while AI-related bookings remain “exceptionally robust.” 3. Wolfe Research named Google $GOOGL a top pick for 2027, reiterated an Outperform rating, and set a $460 price target while raising estimates. The firm now sees $595B of revenue, up 10% versus its prior estimate, and EPS of $15.89, up 6% versus prior. Wolfe estimates Google could generate more than $105B in TPU revenue next year at roughly 30% margins, producing about $32B of TPU operating income. The firm also sees cumulative TPU-related revenue reaching $300B through FY28, Google’s power capacity scaling to 21 GW next year and 28 GW in 2028, and GCP eventually contributing up to 40% of Alphabet’s total operating income. 4. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 7.4M contracts, $TSLA with 1.6M contracts, $AAPL with 875K contracts, $MSTR with 840K contracts, $MU with 751K contracts, $SPCX with 743K contracts, $PLTR with 740K contracts, $AMZN with 668K contracts, $INTC with 660K contracts, and $PCG with 633K contracts. 5. The White House is weighing a new round of semiconductor tariffs that could extend beyond chips to products like servers, laptops, and gaming consoles, according to Politico. One proposal would link tariff-free import allowances to how much companies commit to U.S. chip manufacturing, while a phase-in period is also under discussion. No final tariff rate or framework has been set. Tech companies are warning that broader duties could raise AI data center costs and pressure chip designers like Nvidia $NVDA and AMD $AMD, which still rely heavily on overseas manufacturing. 6. BofA initiated coverage on Amkor $AMKR with a Buy rating and $70 price target, calling it an underappreciated beneficiary of rising semiconductor packaging complexity, AI/HPC advanced packaging demand, improving utilization, and U.S. supply-chain regionalization. Advanced Products made up 82% of Q2’26 revenue, with BofA seeing opportunities across 2.5D, HDFO-RDL, HDFO-bridge, co-packaged optics, and test. The firm expects computing to become Amkor’s largest end market by 2028, supported by programs including Nvidia’s Vera CPU, Microsoft’s Cobalt CPU, and AMD’s Venice server CPU. BofA also highlighted the planned Arizona facility, with Phase 1 expected to be fully committed, Apple and Nvidia identified as key customers, a 10-year TSMC agreement, and an expected $1.5B Nvidia prepayment in 2027. The firm forecasts EPS rising from $1.51 in 2025 to $3.41 in 2028, a 31% CAGR, and bases its $70 target on 21x 2028E EPS. 7. Meta $META could spend up to $10B a year on Anthropic AI, according to NYT. Meta has reportedly become one of Anthropic’s largest customers and is still spending hundreds of millions of dollars per month on its tools. The company has used Anthropic models to help power and test its upcoming personal AI agent, Hatch, even as it builds competing products internally. Meanwhile, employees are increasingly shifting to Meta’s Muse Code, while its new frontier model, Watermelon, has reportedly been delayed until at least October. 8. IREN $IREN reported Q4 FY26 revenue of $137.2M, roughly in line with estimates, while adjusted EBITDA came in at $19.2M versus $41.1M expected. AI Cloud revenue rose to $70.5M in Q4 from $33.6M, while FY26 AI Cloud revenue reached $128.8M, up roughly 8x YoY. Full-year revenue was $707.0M, below the $740M estimate, and net loss was $702.6M, including $638.8M of impairments tied largely to decommissioning Bitcoin mining hardware as sites are converted for AI Cloud growth. The bigger story is the AI infrastructure pipeline: IREN says operating ARR is $1B today, contracted ARR for 2026 capacity is $4B, 2026 capacity is largely sold out, and capacity delivery is expected to reach 0.3 GW in 2026 and 0.8 GW in 2027. The company also secured $2.8B of new GPU financing, has $14B of cash and committed financing, and says recent 3-year contract pricing has increased 125%, with active discussions around $25M of revenue per IT MW. 9. Hedge funds bought the most global energy stocks in nearly 4 years last week, marking their 12th weekly purchase over the last 13 weeks. As a result, hedge funds are now the most overweight energy relative to global stocks since June 2024. That is a sharp reversal from February 2026, when they were the most underweight energy since 2021. The only period with materially higher energy exposure relative to global equities was during the 2022 energy bull market. 10. U.S. corporate profits surged 22.8% YoY in Q2 2026 to a record $4.8T, the largest annual increase since Q4 2021. Excluding the pandemic recovery and the post-2008 Financial Crisis rebound, this was the strongest YoY profit growth in 21 years. Since Q2 2020, corporate profits have climbed $2.7T, or 131%. As a percentage of GDP, corporate profits jumped 1.0 percentage point in Q2 to 14.9%, an all-time high. 11. Citadel Securities posted a record Q2, with trading revenue reaching $7.3B, more than 3x YoY, and net income rising more than 250% YoY to $3.3B. The firm now handles more than one-third of U.S. retail stock trades, with high-touch equities helping drive the quarter’s results. Citadel Securities was also profitable in July and expects to remain profitable in August. 12. Trump praised Micron $MU after the company announced a $10B investment in new U.S. research labs focused on AI and advanced computing. He said the new investment comes on top of Micron’s previous $250B U.S. commitment and will help create tens of thousands of American jobs. Trump framed the announcement as part of a broader push to bring critical technologies back to the U.S., saying companies are investing trillions under his administration because America is the best place to build, invent, and grow. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @amitisinvesting neutral 1612 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. FOMC decision week began with a clear AI rotation: long software, short semis. Nvidia $NVDA, Marvell $MRVL, Sandisk $SNDK, AMD $AMD, Nebius $NBIS, Micron $MU, CoreWeave $CRWV, and Intel $INTC were down 3%-7%, while Palantir $PLTR, Atlassian $TEAM, CrowdStrike $CRWD, ServiceNow $NOW, Adobe $ADBE, and Intuit $INTU were up 2%-5%. The move reflected a market trying to reprice the AI trade after the weekend’s safety debate around Dario’s essay. Semis and neoclouds sold off because their bull case is tied directly to continued AI capex growth which the market interpreted as slowing down if the pace of frontier model development slows down. At the same time, Trump rejected the calls to slow down as he posted that AI needs a “STRONG AND SMART” president rather than guardrails, said the U.S. was leading China in AI, and separately said Iran wanted to make a deal and that the US was open to engaging. Oil crossed $105 and the US 10-year treasury yield crossed 5%. The Fed will make their decision for a rate hike on Wednesday. 2. Palantir $PLTR, Nvidia $NVDA, and Booz Allen Hamilton are reportedly restricting Anthropic’s Fable model for sensitive work over concerns about its data-retention policies, according to The Information. Some enterprise customers are demanding irrevocable zero-data-retention guarantees before putting proprietary information into the model. Anthropic reportedly introduced rolling 30-day usage logs for safety monitoring in June, while its planned option for eligible customers to store logs themselves can still be revoked. Palantir is withholding Fable from its platform until it receives irrevocable zero-data-retention guarantees, Nvidia is limiting Fable to less-sensitive work while using Nemotron for sensitive internal projects, and Booz Allen is excluding Fable from work involving its proprietary cybersecurity software. 3. Trump called Jensen Huang during the All-In Summit and was put on speaker phone, where he defended the AI data center buildout and pushed back on recent concerns. “I'm telling you it's all a hoax. The data centers are great. They make people wealthy. They make states wealthy. AI is bigger than the internet. These people are playing right into the hands of China. We're not going to let that happen,” Trump said. Jensen responded, “You're right, we're not going to let that happen sir.” Jensen also said the fears from over the weekend were made up and that the companies involved have the control they need to navigate the concerns. 4. OpenAI has acquired Glass Imaging, an AI camera startup founded by former Apple engineers, for more than $300M. Glass is working to bring DSLR-like image quality to smartphones, and the deal comes as OpenAI and Jony Ive continue developing new consumer hardware. OpenAI’s exact plans for Glass remain unclear, but the acquisition is notable given Glass was valued at roughly $100M just last year. 5. Truist initiated Nebius $NBIS at Buy with a $355 price target, calling it a scaling AI-native hyperscaler still early in its infrastructure buildout. The firm believes consensus 2027E ARR estimates are conservative given recent pricing of $20M-$25M/MW for 1-3 year deals and $40M-$50M/MW for shorter-duration contracts. Truist sees a major opportunity ahead, estimating a $2.1T annual revenue opportunity at the cloud layer by 2030E, with scarcity and contract economics supporting upside to pricing and revenue. The firm also sees multiple paths for Nebius to reach 20%-30% adjusted EBIT margins over the medium term. 6. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 3.2M contracts, $TSLA with 2.4M contracts, $AAPL with 1.6M contracts, $MU with 1.1M contracts, $AMZN with 957K contracts, $META with 906K contracts, $MSFT with 874K contracts, $INTC with 835K contracts, $GOOGL with 734K contracts, and $SPCX with 688K contracts. 7. U.S. consumers aged 40-49 now account for 26.8% of new consumer bankruptcies, their highest share since Q3 2015 and the largest of any age group. The 50-59 group represents another 23.1%, bringing Americans aged 40-59 to 49.9% of all new consumer bankruptcies, the highest share since Q1 2017. For perspective, that figure peaked at 54.3% in Q4 2011 after the 2008 Financial Crisis. Consumers aged 70+ now make up 21.5% of new bankruptcies, their highest share since Q2 2017, while Americans aged 18-29 account for just 5.9%, the lowest since Q2 2014. 8. JPMorgan upgraded IREN $IREN to Overweight and raised its price target to $65 from $46, saying the company is emerging as a top-tier neocloud provider. JPM cited IREN’s NVIDIA partnership, stronger customer momentum, and rising AI infrastructure pricing, noting neocloud contracts have moved from roughly $10-$15/W to $15-$20/W+, while customer prepayments of 25%-50% are helping fund GPU purchases. IREN has raised its year-end 2026 ARR target to as much as $4B, with roughly $1B of operating ARR today. JPM also highlighted IREN’s Microsoft buildout, recent deal with an unnamed frontier AI lab. Looking into 2027, JPM believes IREN’s planned ~0.5 GW expansion could command materially higher pricing, with deals above $15/W creating significant upside to the outlook. 9. Global semiconductor revenue hit a record $425B in Q2 2026, up 31.4% QoQ, according to Omdia. Memory accounted for more than half of total revenue, driven by AI demand and rising DRAM, NAND, and NOR pricing. Even excluding memory, semiconductor revenue grew more than 10% QoQ, well above the historical Q2 average of just over 3%. The industry generated $752B in revenue in the first half of 2026 alone, and Omdia expects Q3 revenue to surpass $500B, pushing the first nine months of 2026 above $1.25T. 10. Apple $AAPL has begun rolling out its new Siri AI in beta with iOS 27, adding personal context across messages, emails, and photos, plus onscreen awareness and systemwide app actions. The new Siri can find information across a user’s device, understand what is on screen, draft emails, add calendar events, and take actions across supported apps. Apple says the new Apple Intelligence architecture uses its own foundation models built in collaboration with Google Gemini, with processing split between on-device models and Private Cloud Compute. 11. U.S. diesel prices have officially risen to a record $6.20/gallon, up 78% over the last 9 months. In California, diesel has surged to a record $8.14/gallon, with some areas approaching $9.00/gallon. The spike comes as the U.S. enters peak diesel-demand season while supply remains historically tight. Jet fuel is also surging, now at $4.35/gallon, up 61% over the last 10 weeks, with prices rising another 10% in the past week as U.S. oil pushes above $100/barrel. Airline fares were already up 23% YoY in August, and if fuel stays elevated, September CPI could show fares rising as much as 30%. 12. The Clarity Act $BTC $ETH moved back into focus after Senate Republicans released a “final” draft ahead of Tuesday’s cloture vote, saying the text includes 126 Democratic-requested changes after more than a year of talks. The bill still needs 60 votes to advance, with Republicans holding 53 seats. Key updates include new ethics language requiring covered officials and spouses to divest certain crypto interests or place them in a qualified blind trust, a role for state attorneys general in enforcement, and a Treasury “circuit breaker” that could restrict stablecoin rewards if payment stablecoins trigger major deposit flight from community banks. The U.S. Senate is scheduled to hold a key preliminary cloture vote on the Clarity Act on Tuesday afternoon, September 15, 2026, at approximately 2:15 PM ET. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 1611 eng

  HOW SEMICONDUCTORS ARE PRICED ON 2027 EARNINGS • $INTC 53x • $ALAB 47x • $ANET 39x • $AMD 36x • $MRVL 36x • $ASML 28x • $KLAC 26x • $LRCX 25x • $AMAT 24x • $COHR 23x • $LITE 23x • $AAOI 23x • $TSM 20x • $CRDO 18x • $AVGO 18x • $ON 15x • $NVDA 14x • $SNDK 7x • $MU 6x • $SKHY 4x

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• @amitisinvesting neutral 1548 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. The Nasdaq $QQQ fell as much as 5.3% intraday, marking one of the sharpest intraday drawdowns we’ve seen in years. The last time we came close to that kind of move was just last Friday, and before that, you had to go back to April 2025. Goldman noted that today’s NDX intraday move was the largest in the last three years. However, buyers stepped in aggressively off the lows, and $QQQ finished down 1%. This is the second trading session within 3 days of historic intra-day drawdowns across tech. 2. President Trump today said Iran shot down a U.S. Apache helicopter while it was patrolling over the Strait of Hormuz, with two pilots involved and both reportedly safe and uninjured. He framed the incident as a direct attack on the United States and said the U.S. must respond, raising the risk of escalation in one of the world’s most important oil-shipping corridors. 3. China is preparing a roughly $295B, five-year plan to build a nationwide AI data center network, with much of the infrastructure expected to be operated by state-backed firms. Beijing is also aiming to source 80%+ of key technology domestically, leaning on local suppliers like Huawei, which could further limit opportunities for U.S. chipmakers like $NVDA and $AMD in China’s AI infrastructure buildout. 4. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 3.4M contracts, $TSLA with 2.7M contracts, $AAPL with 1.7M contracts, $MU with 731K contracts, $AMZN with 721K contracts, $MSFT with 716K contracts, $INTC with 629K contracts, $MRVL with 524K contracts, $NOK with 494K contracts, and $PLTR with 493K contracts. Nvidia led options activity with more than 3.4M contracts traded, followed by Tesla at 2.7M and Apple at 1.7M. 5. Anthropic launched Claude Fable 5, its first broadly available Mythos-class model and its most capable general-use Claude model to date. The company also introduced Claude Mythos 5, which runs on the same underlying model but offers fewer restrictions for trusted-access users. Anthropic said Mythos-class traffic will now be retained for 30 days to support safety monitoring. 6. U.S. tech dispersion is getting extreme. Over the past three months, the top 20% of tech stocks have beaten the bottom 20% by roughly 120 percentage points, the second-largest gap on record. The only higher reading came during the Dot-Com Bubble, when the spread peaked around 135 percentage points. This gap has quadrupled over the last year, widening even faster than the 1999–2000 surge. The strongest tech names are up about 110% over the last three months, close to February 2000 levels, while the weakest 20% are down roughly 10%. 7. Robinhood $HOOD reported strong May 2026 monthly metrics, with growth across customers, assets, trading volumes, and interest-earning assets. Funded customers rose to 27.7M, up 110K M/M and 1.76M Y/Y. Total platform assets hit $377B, up 9% M/M and 48% Y/Y. On activity, equity notional volume was $315B, up 27% M/M and 75% Y/Y, while options contracts traded reached 231M, up 3% M/M and 29% Y/Y. Crypto notional volume was $12.2B, up 3% M/M and 4% Y/Y, and event contracts traded surged to 3.9B, up 22% M/M, showing continued momentum in Robinhood’s newer prediction/event contract business. 8. The Social Security retirement trust fund in the US is now projected to run out in 2032, just six years from now, according to the latest trustees report from the Social Security Administration. If Congress does not act before then, only about 78% of scheduled retirement benefits will be payable, meaning roughly one in every four dollars of promised benefits would effectively disappear. Social Security has never missed a payment in its history, but the funding timeline has not improved, putting more pressure on lawmakers to address the shortfall before 2032. 9. Baird reiterated an Outperform rating on $PLTR Palantir with a $200 price target after attending AIPCon 10, saying investors still underappreciate several parts of the story. The firm highlighted Palantir’s expanding partner ecosystem, especially with Accenture, Deloitte, Bain, and Nvidia, which could broaden its reach across major enterprise and regulated-industry customers. Baird also pointed to AI Forward Deployed Engineers as a major productivity unlock, arguing they could help Palantir scale with limited headcount growth. The report emphasized that Palantir’s moat is more than just its codebase, citing nearly two decades of field experience, customer feedback loops, and deep deployment expertise. Baird also said Palantir’s outcome-focused approach is fundamentally different from AI labs and traditional consulting firms, and flagged AI-powered security as a growing opportunity. 10. SpaceX $SPCX told investors it is targeting its first orbital AI compute demonstrations by late 2027, ahead of the “as early as 2028” timeline referenced in its IPO filing, per Reuters. Executives said the early deployments would be demonstrator systems designed to prove the concept before a broader commercial rollout. The first AI satellites are expected to use Nvidia $NVDA chips, with compute power comparable to an Nvidia GB300 rack. SpaceX has also requested approval to launch up to 1 million space-based data-center satellites. Its IPO priced at $135/share, targeting a $1.75T valuation, with trading expected to begin Friday on Nasdaq under $SPCX. 11. Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas told CNBC the company still plans to go public in 2028, regardless of how other major AI IPOs like Anthropic, OpenAI, or SpaceX perform in the market. He described SpaceX as a potential “leading indicator” for the coming wave of AI mega-IPOs, while also saying AI spending is starting to shift away from “mindless spending” and toward more cost-efficient models that can deliver the same results at lower prices. 12. In May, 43.6% of Americans said they were financially worse off than a year ago, the highest reading since January 2023. It was also the third straight monthly increase, marking the longest streak of worsening financial sentiment since 2022. For context, this measure peaked at 51.3% in June 2022, while before the pandemic it never topped 20% during the 2017–2019 period. Looking ahead, 36% of U.S. consumers expect to be financially worse off over the next year, the second-highest reading since October 2022 and roughly double the average seen from 2015 to 2019. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 1430 eng

  UPDATED FIB LEVELS FOR POPULAR STOCKS AI Utilities • $IREN $31 • $NBIS $160 • $CIFR $17 • $CRWV $67 AI Power • $EOSE $3 • $BE $192 • $NVTS $8 • $VRT $245 AI Connectivity • $AVGO $368 • $ALAB $251 • $CRDO $183 • $MRVL $168 AI Hardware • $NVDA $190 • $TSM $377 • $ASML $1,713 • $MU $672 AI Applications • $PLTR $131 • $NOW $101 • $CRWD $196 • $SNOW $259 Physical AI • $TSLA $369 • $AMZN $245 • $GOOGL $335 • $VPG $84 Space • $RKLB $56 • $ASTS $47 • $PL $20 • $RDW $8 Quantum • $IONQ $26 • $RGTI $13 • $QBTS $16 • $INFQ $8 Drones • $ONDS $6 • $AVAV $99 • $KTOS $42 • $MRCY $92 Nuclear • $OKLO $33 • $UUUU $8 • $GEV $906 • $LEU $132 Photonics • $AAOI $87 • $LITE $636 • $COHR $311 • $AEHR $66 CPU Bottleneck • $AMD $467 • $INTC $88 • $ARM $242 • $AMKR $57

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• @StockSavvyShay bullish 1405 eng

  AI suppliers are on pace to generate massive profits over the next three years: • $NVDA ~$1.1T • Samsung ~$807B • SK Hynix ~$611B • $MU ~$356B • $TSM ~$354B • $AVGO ~$342B • $AMD ~$74B • $ASML ~$63B • $AMAT ~$42B • $QCOM ~$41B • $INTC ~$31B • $MRVL ~$21B

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