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• @amitisinvesting neutral 2558 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. Palantir $PLTR and Nvidia $NVDA expanded their partnership to deliver sovereign AI for the U.S. government and critical infrastructure. The partnership combines Nvidia AI infrastructure and Nemotron models with Palantir’s platforms, allowing agencies to deploy models on proprietary data. Palantir CEO Alex Karp said: “Combining Palantir infrastructure with NVIDIA’s AI and Nemotron models will allow the U.S. government to unleash the full power of LLMs while removing the underlying security risks and rational concerns around proprietary insights migrating into the weights of closed models." 2. Rocket Lab $RKLB announced a definitive agreement to acquire Iridium $IRDM for $54/share in a cash-and-stock deal, implying an enterprise value of roughly $8B. This is a major move because it pushes Rocket Lab beyond space infrastructure and deeper into vertically integrated space communications with recurring, high-margin subscription revenue. Iridium adds a global satellite network, accelerates direct-to-device and space connectivity, and gives Rocket Lab the ability to design, build, launch, operate, and now monetize satellites through long-term communications services. 3. Robinhood $HOOD continues to show strong product momentum. Vlad Tenev, CEO, shared that Robinhood Banking has surpassed $3B in deposits and 200K customers, up from $1.6B and 110K at the end of March. Agentic trading has also seen 50K+ customers open accounts in its first few weeks, with millions of dollars traded daily across equities and options. Robinhood now has 50K+ funded custodial accounts just three months after launch, while 855K+ customers received allocation in the SpaceX IPO through IPO Access. 4. Hedge funds sold the most U.S. information technology equities in the week ending June 25 since Goldman’s data began in 2016, even more than during the August 2024 Nasdaq correction. Overall, hedge funds sold the most U.S. equities since the April 2025 “Liberation Day” selloff. Magnificent 7 exposure has also fallen to 14.5% of total U.S. hedge fund exposure, near a 3-year low, after dropping 7 percentage points since the start of 2026, the biggest six-month decline since the 2022 bear market. 5. Agility Robotics is going public via Churchill Capital Corp XI $CCXI in a deal valuing the humanoid robotics company at $2.5B pre-money. The transaction is expected to raise $620M+, including a $200M PIPE led by Foxconn, with the combined company set to trade as $AGLT. Agility says it has $300M+ in multi-year orders for its Digit v5 robot, with backers including Nvidia, Amazon, SoftBank, and Foxconn. 6. Google $GOOGL has reportedly capped Meta’s $META use of Gemini AI models due to computing capacity constraints, per Financial Times. The limits have affected some of Meta’s internal projects, with staff told to use AI tokens more efficiently. Meta had been using Gemini to automate safety workflows, but is now leaning more on its own Muse Spark model to reduce reliance on external AI models. 7. Micron $MU is now a top 10 holding in the S&P 500 with a 1.9% weighting, reflecting just how important memory has become in the AI trade. Meanwhile, Nvidia $NVDA has fallen from closer to 8.5% of the index to 6.99%, while Apple $AAPL has dropped from around 7.5% to 6.18%. 8. Anthropic reportedly renegotiated part of its Amazon deal, shifting Claude pricing from compute hours to token-based usage starting next year, per The Information. The change could raise $AMZN’s costs for using Claude across products like Alexa for Shopping, Kiro, and Quick. Amazon is now reportedly evaluating OpenAI and its own Nova models to reduce reliance on Anthropic. 9. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $TSLA with 3.8M contracts, $NVDA with 2.9M contracts, $AMZN with 1.4M contracts, $AAPL with 1.1M contracts, $MSFT with 931K contracts, $MU with 767K contracts, $SPCX with 617K contracts, $INTC with 598K contracts, $MSTR with 533K contracts, and $GOOGL with 489K contracts. 10. ByteDance is targeting early next year to finalize the design of its next-gen in-house CPU for AI infrastructure, per SCMP. Mass production and broader deployment are expected in H2 2027, as ByteDance looks to support AI workloads across Doubao, Seedance, and other internal platforms. Qualcomm $QCOM is reportedly helping with development and foundry capacity. 11. South Korea unveiled a massive $576B+ AI and chip investment push, with Samsung and SK Hynix expected to invest around $518B. Suppliers will build two new chip fab sites each in southwest Korea, while the broader plan includes a $52.7B chip packaging cluster and a goal to double DRAM output within five years. 12. U.S. online spending across all retailers hit $26.4B during Amazon $AMZN Prime Day, topping Adobe’s $26.3B estimate. Spending rose 9.3% YoY, while BNPL accounted for 6.6% of orders. However, Numerator said average household spending on Amazon fell 8.3% to $143. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @amitisinvesting bullish 2529 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. SpaceX $SPCX will be added to the Nasdaq 100 tomorrow before the market opens, creating forced buying from mutual funds and ETFs that track the index and collectively manage roughly $800B in AUM. SpaceX’s initial weighting will be about 1%, based on free-float market cap, which excludes insider and restricted shares. That weighting could grow over time as lockups lift, the public float expands, and Nasdaq rebalances the index in September and December. 2. Samsung Electronics prelim Q2 operating profit surged 19x YoY to roughly $58.4B, beating $55.3B consensus, driven by booming AI memory demand. Revenue came in slightly below expectations at about $111.8B vs. $113.1B consensus, but still rose 129% YoY. On an operating income basis, Samsung is now arguably the most profitable company in the world, generating more operating profit than Nvidia $NVDA did last quarter. 3. Robinhood $HOOD CEO Vlad Tenev says demand for Trump Accounts has been “tremendous,” with 6M kids signing up pre-launch to express interest and millions of accounts already invested. The accounts are now officially active and open for contributions, allowing parents, grandparents, family, friends, and employers to collectively contribute up to $5,000 annually for eligible American children. SpaceX $SPCX president Gwynne Shotwell and her husband are donating $320M of company stock to help fund Trump Accounts for more than 2M American children. 4. Broadcom $AVGO and Apple $AAPL expanded their long-standing technology partnership through 2031. Under the new multi-year agreements, Broadcom will develop and supply a range of custom ASIC silicon products for multiple generations of Apple devices. 5. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $TSLA with 4.4M contracts, $NVDA with 2.3M contracts, $AAPL with 1.5M contracts, $AMZN with 790K contracts, $SPCX with 727K contracts, $META with 668K contracts, $MSFT with 637K contracts, $INTC with 566K contracts, $MU with 530K contracts, and $SOFI with 421K contracts. 6. TeraWulf $WULF signed a 20-year lease with Anthropic for its Justified Data campus in Kentucky, representing roughly $19B of contracted revenue over the initial term. The campus is expected to support about 401MW of critical IT load, with initial capacity coming online in H2 2027 and full capacity by early 2028. Separately, TeraWulf is selling its 50.1% stake in the Abernathy JV to a Fluidstack-led investor group, monetizing an approximately $450M investment. 7. Retail is levering up into options. 0DTE options now account for a record 48% of total retail options volume, more than tripling over the past five years. They also represented a record 30% of total U.S. options volume in May, well above the 2022 high of roughly 18% and the five-year average of about 21%. As short-dated trading keeps growing, the average options contract now expires in under 3 days. 8. JPMorgan says Meta $META potentially monetizing excess AI compute through a cloud business could be positive for returns on AI infrastructure, but the firm would rather see Meta use that capacity inside its own products. The report notes Meta could charge developers for access to models hosted on its infrastructure or rent raw compute to third parties, with JPM estimating 1GW of capacity could generate around $20B in annual revenue and several dollars of EPS. Still, JPM argues the bigger upside is Meta using its compute, 4B+ users, and AI products across Family of Apps to drive internal inference demand, which would support continued heavy capex rather than implying a slowdown. 9. Michael Saylor’s Strategy $MSTR sold 3,588 BTC over the last two weeks for roughly $216M as part of its new Bitcoin Monetization Program, which allows up to $1.25B of BTC sales. The latest sale included 2,225 BTC at an average price of $60,773, following the prior week’s sale of 1,363 BTC at $59,256. Strategy still holds 843,775 BTC, with an average acquisition cost of $75,476 per BTC. 10. AI giants OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google are handing out free compute credits worth hundreds of thousands of dollars to win startup customers, per WSJ. The battle for startups is intensifying as top AI labs offer discounts and credits to lock in the next generation of enterprise users. The strategy is simple: subsidize usage now, drive early adoption, and turn today’s startup customers into durable long-term revenue streams. 11. Deutsche Bank says U.S. public debt is the clearest macro risk to American dominance. Federal deficits have stayed around 5%–6% of GDP since 2022 despite the economy being near full employment, while debt held by the public is set to surpass 100% of GDP this year. Interest payments now exceed defense spending and are the fastest-growing budget item, with the CBO projecting a $1.9T FY2026 deficit and public debt rising to 120% of GDP by 2036. 12. Leopold Aschenbrenner’s next investment target filed for Nasdaq this Friday. SK Hynix $SKHY is raising $28B, with Situational Awareness indicating interest in up to $7B of shares. SK Hynix has roughly 59% of the global HBM market, about 70% of Nvidia’s $NVDA HBM4 allocation, Nvidia alone represents 27% of revenue, and its entire 2026 chip lineup is already sold out. SK Hynix will be going public on the Nasdaq via ADRs and will be one of the largest foreign memory companies, now worth $1T. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @amitisinvesting neutral 1930 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. Moderna $MRNA and Merck $MRK said their personalized mRNA cancer vaccine, intismeran, combined with Keytruda slowed melanoma recurrence and spread in a late-stage trial. The Phase 3 study was stopped at its first interim analysis after positive results, though detailed efficacy data have not yet been released. If the benefit holds, this would mark the first randomized Phase 3 validation of a personalized neoantigen cancer vaccine and could significantly expand the use case for mRNA technology beyond traditional vaccines. $MRNA surged 175% today, became the 2nd-best performing stock in the S&P 500 this year, and triggered an estimated $4.8B loss for short sellers. It was also the largest one-day percentage gain ever for an S&P 500 stock. 2. Crypto rallied sharply today as $BTC Bitcoin jumped roughly 8%, briefly touching about $70,000 for its biggest move since March, before settling near $68,500–$69,500. The move liquidated an estimated $1.4B–$1.7B of short positions and was driven by a mix of lower-yield pressure from Treasury buybacks, regulatory optimism, and today’s White House crypto meeting. $ETH Ethereum, $SOL Solana, and other major alts also traded higher, while crypto-linked stocks like Coinbase and Circle rallied. President Trump urged Congress to pass a “fair version” of the Clarity Act, said the U.S. should remain the leader in Bitcoin, crypto, prediction markets, and AI, and said he would listen to recommendations on whether the U.S. should accumulate more Bitcoin or crypto. Trump also said the CFTC is working to bring Hyperliquid into the U.S. in a fully compliant way, helping send HYPE higher. Overall, the tone was strongly pro-crypto, though the Clarity Act still faces political hurdles in the Senate. 3. Nebius $NBIS announced a proposed private offering of $4.5B of convertible senior notes. The offering includes $2.75B of notes due 2030 and $1.75B of notes due 2034, with an option for an additional $675M. Key terms, including interest rates and conversion prices, will be determined at pricing. Nebius was down 9.87% today. 4. U.S. national debt just crossed $40T, with the latest $10T added in roughly 4.5 years. The debt now equals about $116,481 per citizen and $360,794 per taxpayer, while the debt-to-GDP ratio sits around 122.7%. Federal spending is running at roughly $7.26T, compared to federal tax revenue of about $5.59T, leaving a federal budget deficit near $1.68T. Net interest on the debt is now running above $1.1T, making it one of the largest line items in the federal budget. 5. The U.S. Treasury announced it will double the size of long-term government debt buybacks after the rapid surge in Treasury yields. Repurchases of $2B will now increase to at least $4B, with the Treasury saying the move is meant to provide “liquidity support” for bonds maturing in 10 to 30 years as total U.S. debt nears $40T. The situation is like someone with a 30-year mortgage at 3.25% refinancing into a 1-year adjustable-rate loan at 5.75% because the market won’t absorb the longer-term debt cleanly. In other words, longer-duration, lower-cost debt is being replaced with shorter-term, higher-cost financing. Now apply that dynamic across trillions of dollars in U.S. government debt. That is the pressure Treasury is trying to manage as long-term yields keep rising. 6. Starlink is reapplying for India approval for its Gen 2 network, seeking authorization for nearly 30,000 LEO satellites operating at 340–615 km, including direct-to-device connectivity. India previously approved only Starlink’s 4,408-satellite Gen 1 network after rejecting the earlier Gen 2 application. The move comes as India is still finalizing D2D rules and satellite spectrum pricing, with Jio, Amazon Leo, and OneWeb also competing for the market, according to ET. 7. Goldman Sachs is preparing a roughly $1.15B junk bond to finance a Virginia data center leased to CoreWeave $CRWV. The deal is expected in September, with Goldman moving forward even as investors demand higher yields for AI infrastructure debt tied to CoreWeave. The financing comes after a separate $3.5B CoreWeave-backed deal recently priced at a 10% yield, underscoring how capital-intensive AI data center buildouts have become and how much credit markets are now focused on AI infrastructure risk. 8. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $TSLA with 2.9M contracts, $NVDA with 2.6M contracts, $AAPL with 1.9M contracts, $AMZN with 1.0M contracts, $INTC with 932K contracts, $MU with 886K contracts, $MSTR with 789K contracts, $MSFT with 745K contracts, $SPCX with 694K contracts, and $META with 658K contracts. 9. Nvidia $NVDA has reportedly discussed investing in AI data supplier Mercor as part of a funding round that would value the startup at $20B, according to The Information. Mercor hires specialists across science, law, finance, and other fields to train and evaluate AI models, producing higher-quality data for complex tasks. Nvidia paid Mercor tens of millions of dollars last quarter and used its data to develop its two latest Nemotron models, with several Mercor employees now reportedly focused almost entirely on Nvidia-related work. The relationship is expanding as Nvidia invests more heavily in Nemotron, its open AI model family. Mercor has also worked with OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic, while annualized gross revenue reportedly reached $2B in June, double its level from the start of the year. 10. Webull $BULL reported Q2’26 revenue of $198.8M, beating estimates of $181M, up 51% YoY and 24% sequentially. Adjusted EPS came in at $0.12 versus $0.03 expected, up 140% YoY, while net income reached $24.4M and adjusted operating profit was $62.6M, representing a 31.5% margin. Trading-related revenue rose 66% YoY to $147.7M. Customer assets grew 79% YoY to $28.5B, registered users reached 28.2M, funded accounts hit 5.13M, equity notional volume rose 73% YoY to $279B, and options contract volume increased 68% YoY to 213M. Webull also launched Vega Analyst and announced the acquisition of Pi Securities in Thailand. 11. President Trump is reportedly set to reduce tariffs on automobiles imported from Canada from 25% to 15% as part of a broader trade deal, according to Bloomberg. The current tariff applies to the non-U.S. content of vehicles produced in Canada, and that same content provision is expected to apply under the new 15% rate. U.S. and Canadian negotiators have also discussed whether to expand the exemption to include additional content, though no final decision has been made. 12. U.S. margin debt fell by a record $85B in July to $1.42T, marking the largest monthly decline ever and the first monthly drop since March. For context, the prior record decline was $80B in January 2022, right as the bear market began. The pullback follows a massive $198B surge in margin debt across May and June, the largest two-month increase on record. Even after July’s historic decline, margin debt is still up $518B, or 58%, since the start of 2025. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @amitisinvesting neutral 1772 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. Tesla $TSLA launched steering-wheel-free Cybercab rides in Austin, marking the first public deployment of its purpose-built autonomous vehicle. Customers can now book Cybercab rides through Tesla’s Robotaxi app, with Tesla having registered 45 Cybercabs in Texas, bringing its state robotaxi fleet to 420 vehicles. The two-seat Cybercab has no steering wheel, pedals, or mirrors, relying on cameras and neural networks instead of lidar or radar, while also featuring in-car entertainment and integrated Starlink V5. Cybercab is not yet available for sale, but Tesla has opened a form for potential fleet buyers. Federal safety rules still prevent commercial sales, and Tesla has not yet filed for an NHTSA exemption. 2. Fed Governor Chris Waller said he would support keeping rates at 3.50%–3.75% this month if upcoming inflation data continues to show progress toward the Fed’s 2% target. Waller said recent data suggest the economy is “finally seeing some signs of disinflation,” and that if the improvement continues in data due over the next 2 weeks, he would be inclined to hold rates steady. However, he warned that if August inflation data show the improvement was fleeting, “it may be appropriate to raise the policy rate.” He also noted that uncertainty remains around military conflicts, trade policy, and AI’s impact on prices and economic activity. 3. Nvidia $NVDA has agreed to acquire Hugging Face for $12.93B, giving it one of the largest open AI developer platforms in the world. Hugging Face says it now serves more than 18M developers, researchers, and creators, with over 3M models, 500K datasets, 1M applications, and 200K+ companies on the platform. Nvidia says Hugging Face will remain open to models and hardware across the ecosystem, with no requirement for developers to use Nvidia compute and continued support for multi-cloud and multi-accelerator deployment. Nvidia also plans to use its infrastructure and engineering resources to expand Hugging Face’s model evaluation, inference, deployment, safety, and platform reliability. 4. Morgan Stanley says Broadcom $AVGO delivered a quarter and outlook that were slightly better than prior guidance, while its 2027 AI revenue commentary of $115B came in slightly below the firm’s $120B estimate but still in line with management’s prior view for “well above $100B.” The bigger takeaway is that management said AI revenue should “double again” in 2028, with customer breadth improving and two AI labs expected to become Broadcom’s two largest customers by CY28. Morgan Stanley says it continues to haircut CY28 because semiconductor visibility rarely extends that far, but its numbers still move up considerably. The firm sees some near-term uncertainty from elevated CY27 AI expectations, but believes market-share expectations remain too low, with industry contacts supporting the view that Broadcom can drive 80%+ share of its serviceable markets over time. Morgan Stanley says valuation remains compelling, growth remains very robust, and $AVGO, along with $NVDA, continues to look like one of the most attractively valued AI names. 5. Meta $META CEO Mark Zuckerberg reportedly told President Trump in a private August call that he opposed a proposal to create a national AI regulator, according to Business Insider. The White House is considering a FINRA-style body that could review and test advanced AI models for risks before broader deployment, an idea originally proposed by Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis. Zuckerberg has argued that delaying model releases, even by a month, could hurt U.S. leadership against China. The White House is reportedly weighing two paths: a formal FINRA-style AI regulator, or a more voluntary industry-led standards group similar to the Motion Picture Association, an approach backed by David Sacks. The proposal remains under consideration. 6. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 3.5M contracts, $TSLA with 2.7M contracts, $SPCX with 1.4M contracts, $AAPL with 1.3M contracts, $AVGO with 1.0M contracts, $MSTR with 925K contracts, $MU with 806K contracts, $PCG with 720K contracts, $PLTR with 717K contracts, and $HOOD with 682K contracts. 7. OpenAI has started rolling out GPT-6 Astra, its new flagship model, calling it a “generational leap” in AI capability. President Greg Brockman went further, saying people may eventually look back at “about this time and about this model” as when AGI arrived, ending the briefing with: “Welcome to the AGI era.” Astra was trained on more than 100,000 GPUs at OpenAI’s Stargate site in Texas and is designed to work directly inside software, including creating spreadsheets and presentations, building 3D environments, designing circuit boards, handling financial modeling, and drafting tax forms. OpenAI says Astra leads across software engineering, science, reasoning, computer use, and cybersecurity, but the model also reached OpenAI’s “Critical” cybersecurity threshold, meaning its strongest cyber capabilities will initially be restricted to trusted organizations through Daybreak Access. 8. Lululemon $LULU reported Q2’26 revenue of $2.4B, below estimates of $2.46B and down 4% YoY, while comparable sales fell 9%. EPS came in at $2.92, including a $0.86 tariff-refund benefit, with gross margin up 200 bps YoY to 60.5%. The company cut FY26 guidance to $10.35B–$10.5B in revenue versus $11.04B expected and EPS of $9.48–$9.73 versus $10.88 expected. Q3 guidance was also weak, with revenue expected at $2.29B–$2.32B versus $2.53B expected and EPS of $0.93–$0.98 versus $2.40 expected. Management said it is taking a “prudent approach” with the revised full-year outlook, while Michael Burry said: “Today, lululemon (LULU) is the trickster in my portfolio. This time the trickster is my largest position, and it does seem determined to take me where mermaids fear to tread.” 9. Robinhood $HOOD had its best day in over a year, rising 15% after a Morgan Stanley upgrade and renewed attention around Robinhood Chain. Part of the move may have come after Ansem, one of crypto’s most influential voices, posted his Robinhood thesis to 1.3M followers, highlighting the company’s growing onchain opportunity. Since launching July 1, Robinhood Chain has generated $34.6B in cumulative DEX volume, 576M transactions, and 12.3M addresses, with daily DEX volume recently hitting a record $1.5B and users paying $3.75M in fees on September 1. More than 190 tokenized stocks are now live, producing over $3B in cumulative DEX volume, while RWA daily volume reached a record $390M, including $217M from memecoin/tokenized-stock pairs. Robinhood’s onchain ecosystem has also grown to more than $750M in TVL while generating billions in perpetual-futures volume. The market appears to be waking up to the idea that Robinhood Chain may not be fully priced in, with the potential to become a new 9-figure revenue stream — and possibly much larger if growth continues. 10. Mira Murati’s AI startup Thinking Machines is reportedly in talks to raise more than $1B at a roughly $40B valuation, according to The Information. Accel is in talks to lead the round, while Nvidia $NVDA is also considering participating. The raise follows the July launch of Thinking Machines’ first model, Inkling, and the company is already generating hundreds of millions in annualized revenue despite being less than 2 years old. The proposed valuation is below the $50B+ level the company sought late last year, when it discussed raising $4B–$5B. 11. U.S. diesel refining margins have surged to a record $106/barrel, topping $100 for the first time and surpassing the roughly $85/barrel peak seen during the 2022 energy crisis. The diesel crack spread has more than tripled since February, signaling extremely tight diesel supplies and much stronger potential profits for refiners. The spike reflects a severe shortage of global diesel supply amid the Iran War, with U.S. diesel inventories down to 103.4M barrels, the lowest on record for this time of year. Retail diesel prices have also climbed to $5.78/gallon, just 4 cents below the all-time high set in June 2022. 12. The Bank of Japan is reportedly leaning toward a 25 bps rate hike at its September 18 meeting, which would take rates from 1.00% to 1.25%, according to Bloomberg. Officials reportedly see inflation risks skewed to the upside, with Japan’s key inflation gauge expected to move back toward 3% as yen weakness and higher oil prices add pressure. A 50 bps hike is seen as unlikely for now, but the BOJ is leaving the door open to faster tightening later if inflation stays firm. A September move would come just 3 months after the June hike, marking the shortest gap between hikes under Governor Ueda. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @amitisinvesting neutral 1625 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. Crypto markets saw their seventh-largest liquidation event on record, with $3.5B in leveraged positions wiped out over 24 hours. Despite the forced liquidations, the total crypto market cap added roughly $280B in the same period as $BTC Bitcoin crossed $72K and $ETH Ethereum moved above $2,300. The rally came alongside renewed optimism around the CLARITY Act and broader tokenization legislation. 2. Treasury Secretary Bessent said the U.S. Treasury will assess bond market conditions and take further action if needed, while focusing on fundamentals and keeping the market in equilibrium. He said U.S. yields do not reflect underlying fundamentals and that liquidity in the 30-year is “particularly poor,” while also arguing that rates had “nothing to do” with the buyback decision. Bessent reiterated that the U.S. continues to have a strong dollar policy, said 2026 tariff income should be similar to 2025, and added there is a “very good chance” the U.S. has already seen peak deficit. On Iran, he said the U.S. is pursuing “maximum pressure,” with coordinated economic isolation and action against countries doing business with Tehran, while adding that China and others want the Strait of Hormuz reopened. 3. Anthropic is reportedly adding Citigroup to its IPO bank lineup, joining Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan among the lead banks working on the listing. The company is considering filing as soon as the end of August, with more banks expected to join the deal. Anthropic is expected to debut ahead of OpenAI and is also expanding a pre-IPO credit facility beyond its roughly $10B target. If Anthropic tries to raise more than SpaceX, it could become the largest IPO ever, underscoring how intense investor demand has become for frontier AI companies. 4. Deutsche Bank reiterated its Buy rating and $200 price target on Palantir $PLTR, saying the company continues to stand out in turning AI demand into measurable customer value while combining strong growth with profitability. The firm said Palantir’s Bootcamp reinforced its view that Ontology, AIP, and sovereign AI capabilities create durable differentiation as enterprises move AI into production. Deutsche Bank highlighted AIP Evolve as a key product for optimizing AI workflows across quality, cost, latency, and control, with the ability to test frontier, open-weight, and proprietary models, reroute workloads, rewrite prompts, or replace unnecessary model calls with deterministic code. The firm said this creates “model liquidity,” while AutoTune helps customers fine-tune models using governed workflow feedback, keeping proprietary knowledge inside their own environment and addressing major barriers to scaled enterprise AI. 5. Amazon $AMZN plans to invest more than $2B across Latin America from 2027–2030 through Prime Video, focused on original content and live sports. The company expects to more than double its Originals across 5 major markets, while also expanding NBA coverage and third-party streaming access. The push shows Amazon continuing to use Prime Video as both a content platform and a broader ecosystem driver across international markets. 6. Supermicro $SMCI said an independent investigation found no evidence that current senior management knew about the alleged export-diversion scheme involving two former employees and a contractor. The review also found no direct sales of restricted products to known restricted parties and no related issues with previously issued financial statements. Supermicro said it has terminated employees for policy violations, added new export-compliance measures, and continues to cooperate with government investigations. 7. Walmart $WMT fell 8% and posted its worst day since May 2022 after reporting its slowest U.S. comparable-sales growth in more than 6 years. Q2’27 revenue came in at $187.9B versus $186.7B expected, up 5.9% YoY, while adjusted EPS was $0.81 versus $0.74 expected. Net income reached $6.5B, above estimates of $5.91B, and global eCommerce sales grew 23%. But U.S. comps rose just 2.6%, missing the 3.7% estimate, while Q3 adjusted EPS guidance of $0.62–$0.64 came in below the $0.68 expected. Management said consumers remained stretched, especially by higher gas prices, while lower pharmacy pricing also weighed on sales. 8. SpaceX $SPCX and AST SpaceMobile $ASTS are reportedly interested in acquiring 800 MHz spectrum licenses valued around $6B. The licenses cover nearly the entire U.S. population and could support direct-to-device satellite voice services. Preliminary bids are due in early September, with the FCC aiming to complete the process by November 5. 9. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 2.1M contracts, $TSLA with 1.7M contracts, $SPCX with 1.1M contracts, $AAPL with 1.0M contracts, $MSTR with 746K contracts, $INTC with 739K contracts, $MU with 679K contracts, $MRNA with 629K contracts, $WMT with 627K contracts, and $AMZN with 614K contracts. 10. The median value of U.S. consumers’ stock market investments has climbed to a record $350K, including holdings in individual stocks, mutual funds, 401(k)s, and IRAs, as per Schwab. That figure has more than doubled over the last two years and is up $150K, or 75%, since January alone. Before 2024, the median value had never meaningfully surpassed $150K. 11. Micron $MU is committing $10B over the next decade to build Micron Research Labs, a new long-term U.S. research hub based in Boise focused on advanced memory, compute architectures, chip packaging, and next-generation semiconductor manufacturing. The company expects to break ground in 2027, with the flagship facility designed to house hundreds of researchers. The investment is separate from the more than $250B Micron has already planned for U.S. manufacturing and R&D. 12. Broadcom $AVGO is reportedly seeking more than $60B in financing tied to its latest AI deal, with the full package potentially reaching nearly $100B. The structure could include $60B–$70B of senior secured debt plus roughly $30B of junior debt, while Broadcom is also discussing guaranteeing part of the senior-secured tranche. Apollo and Blackstone are in talks to participate, with the debt potentially issued through a special-purpose vehicle. The financing would help Anthropic and other AI companies secure Broadcom chips and infrastructure, and could be rolled out in stages rather than all at once. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @amitisinvesting neutral 1617 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. Nvidia $NVDA added roughly $453B in market cap in a single day, the largest one-day market-cap gain ever recorded in the U.S., as Wall Street rushed to reset targets after Q2 earnings. Raymond James raised its price target to $515 from $352 and reiterated Strong Buy, citing Nvidia’s FY28 outlook for approximately 70% revenue growth and saying $1T in annual sales by FY29 now looks possible. The firm highlighted architectural evolutions like NVL racks at 1:1 and agentic Vera CPU racks as growth accelerators, while also expecting non-hyperscale revenue to outgrow hyperscaler revenue. Other target hikes included JPMorgan to $320 from $280, Mizuho to $315 from $300, Melius to $425 from $400, Goldman Sachs to $300 from $285, Bernstein to $400 from $315, Citi to $315 from $300, and Stifel to $315 from $282. 2. Marvell $MRVL reported Q2’27 revenue of $2.7B, roughly in line with estimates of $2.71B and up 37% YoY. Adjusted EPS came in at $0.94 versus $0.92 expected, up 40% YoY, while Data Center revenue reached $2.2B, up 46% YoY. Marvell guided Q3 revenue to $3.15B +/- 5%, ahead of the $3.03B estimate, and adjusted EPS to $1.10 +/- $0.05 versus $1.07 expected. The bigger update was the long-term outlook: management now expects FY27 revenue to grow roughly 45% YoY to about $12B, with Data Center up around 60%, and FY28 revenue to reach roughly $18B, up about 50% YoY, with Data Center growing more than 60% and custom chip revenue more than doubling. Marvell also said revenue tied to the Google warrant agreement through FY28 is already included in its prior custom revenue target, while AI-related bookings remain “exceptionally robust.” 3. Wolfe Research named Google $GOOGL a top pick for 2027, reiterated an Outperform rating, and set a $460 price target while raising estimates. The firm now sees $595B of revenue, up 10% versus its prior estimate, and EPS of $15.89, up 6% versus prior. Wolfe estimates Google could generate more than $105B in TPU revenue next year at roughly 30% margins, producing about $32B of TPU operating income. The firm also sees cumulative TPU-related revenue reaching $300B through FY28, Google’s power capacity scaling to 21 GW next year and 28 GW in 2028, and GCP eventually contributing up to 40% of Alphabet’s total operating income. 4. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 7.4M contracts, $TSLA with 1.6M contracts, $AAPL with 875K contracts, $MSTR with 840K contracts, $MU with 751K contracts, $SPCX with 743K contracts, $PLTR with 740K contracts, $AMZN with 668K contracts, $INTC with 660K contracts, and $PCG with 633K contracts. 5. The White House is weighing a new round of semiconductor tariffs that could extend beyond chips to products like servers, laptops, and gaming consoles, according to Politico. One proposal would link tariff-free import allowances to how much companies commit to U.S. chip manufacturing, while a phase-in period is also under discussion. No final tariff rate or framework has been set. Tech companies are warning that broader duties could raise AI data center costs and pressure chip designers like Nvidia $NVDA and AMD $AMD, which still rely heavily on overseas manufacturing. 6. BofA initiated coverage on Amkor $AMKR with a Buy rating and $70 price target, calling it an underappreciated beneficiary of rising semiconductor packaging complexity, AI/HPC advanced packaging demand, improving utilization, and U.S. supply-chain regionalization. Advanced Products made up 82% of Q2’26 revenue, with BofA seeing opportunities across 2.5D, HDFO-RDL, HDFO-bridge, co-packaged optics, and test. The firm expects computing to become Amkor’s largest end market by 2028, supported by programs including Nvidia’s Vera CPU, Microsoft’s Cobalt CPU, and AMD’s Venice server CPU. BofA also highlighted the planned Arizona facility, with Phase 1 expected to be fully committed, Apple and Nvidia identified as key customers, a 10-year TSMC agreement, and an expected $1.5B Nvidia prepayment in 2027. The firm forecasts EPS rising from $1.51 in 2025 to $3.41 in 2028, a 31% CAGR, and bases its $70 target on 21x 2028E EPS. 7. Meta $META could spend up to $10B a year on Anthropic AI, according to NYT. Meta has reportedly become one of Anthropic’s largest customers and is still spending hundreds of millions of dollars per month on its tools. The company has used Anthropic models to help power and test its upcoming personal AI agent, Hatch, even as it builds competing products internally. Meanwhile, employees are increasingly shifting to Meta’s Muse Code, while its new frontier model, Watermelon, has reportedly been delayed until at least October. 8. IREN $IREN reported Q4 FY26 revenue of $137.2M, roughly in line with estimates, while adjusted EBITDA came in at $19.2M versus $41.1M expected. AI Cloud revenue rose to $70.5M in Q4 from $33.6M, while FY26 AI Cloud revenue reached $128.8M, up roughly 8x YoY. Full-year revenue was $707.0M, below the $740M estimate, and net loss was $702.6M, including $638.8M of impairments tied largely to decommissioning Bitcoin mining hardware as sites are converted for AI Cloud growth. The bigger story is the AI infrastructure pipeline: IREN says operating ARR is $1B today, contracted ARR for 2026 capacity is $4B, 2026 capacity is largely sold out, and capacity delivery is expected to reach 0.3 GW in 2026 and 0.8 GW in 2027. The company also secured $2.8B of new GPU financing, has $14B of cash and committed financing, and says recent 3-year contract pricing has increased 125%, with active discussions around $25M of revenue per IT MW. 9. Hedge funds bought the most global energy stocks in nearly 4 years last week, marking their 12th weekly purchase over the last 13 weeks. As a result, hedge funds are now the most overweight energy relative to global stocks since June 2024. That is a sharp reversal from February 2026, when they were the most underweight energy since 2021. The only period with materially higher energy exposure relative to global equities was during the 2022 energy bull market. 10. U.S. corporate profits surged 22.8% YoY in Q2 2026 to a record $4.8T, the largest annual increase since Q4 2021. Excluding the pandemic recovery and the post-2008 Financial Crisis rebound, this was the strongest YoY profit growth in 21 years. Since Q2 2020, corporate profits have climbed $2.7T, or 131%. As a percentage of GDP, corporate profits jumped 1.0 percentage point in Q2 to 14.9%, an all-time high. 11. Citadel Securities posted a record Q2, with trading revenue reaching $7.3B, more than 3x YoY, and net income rising more than 250% YoY to $3.3B. The firm now handles more than one-third of U.S. retail stock trades, with high-touch equities helping drive the quarter’s results. Citadel Securities was also profitable in July and expects to remain profitable in August. 12. Trump praised Micron $MU after the company announced a $10B investment in new U.S. research labs focused on AI and advanced computing. He said the new investment comes on top of Micron’s previous $250B U.S. commitment and will help create tens of thousands of American jobs. Trump framed the announcement as part of a broader push to bring critical technologies back to the U.S., saying companies are investing trillions under his administration because America is the best place to build, invent, and grow. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @Mr_Derivatives bearish 1458 eng

  $MSTR $87… $STRC $74… It’s over. His gig is up..

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• @Mr_Derivatives neutral 986 eng

  $MSTR BTC cost basis: ~$75,700 $BMNR ETH cost basis: ~$3,850 https://t.co/5pSbdePZTh

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