$NBIS 0.36 Noisy

Notable posts

• @amitisinvesting neutral 4401 eng

  NEW COMPANIES JUST ANNOUNCED TO JOIN THE NASDAQ 100 $QQQ: $NBIS $RKLB $CRWV $TER $ALAB

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• @StockSavvyShay bullish 3480 eng

  THE FUTURE IS ON SALE RIGHT NOW Drawdown from highs: • $OKLO −76% • $NVTS −63% • $CRWV −60% • $ASTS −58% • $IONQ −57% • $PL −57% • $AAOI −56% • $RKLB −55% • $IREN −54% • $ONDS −53% • $TE −51% • $OUST −42% • $ARM −42% • $BE −39% • $NBIS −38%

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 3410 eng

  UPDATED FIB LEVELS FOR POPULAR STOCKS AI Utilities • $IREN $51 • $NBIS $177 • $CIFR $17 • $CRWV $100 AI Power • $EOSE $7 • $BE $237 • $NVTS $22 • $VRT $282 AI Hardware • $NVDA $192 • $TSM $408 • $ASML $1,618 • $MU $730 AI Applications • $PLTR $129 • $NOW $109 • $CRWD $598 • $SNOW $181 AI Connectivity • $AVGO $377 • $ALAB $305 • $CRDO $195 • $MRVL $236 Space • $RKLB $106 • $ASTS $89 • $PL $31 • $BKSY $32 Quantum • $IONQ $52 • $RGTI $15 • $QBTS $20 • $INFQ $13 Drones • $ONDS $10 • $AVAV $175 • $KTOS $52 • $UMAC $24 Nuclear • $OKLO $50 • $UUUU $12 • $GEV $906 • $LEU $151 Photonics • $AAOI $164 • $LITE $698 • $COHR $283 • $AEHR $76 CPU Bottleneck • $AMD $383 • $INTC $91 • $ARM $299 • $AMKR $57 Physical AI • $TSLA $382 • $AMZN $230 • $GOOGL $357 • $ISRG $394

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• @amitisinvesting bullish 2828 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. Alphabet $GOOGL delivered a massive Q2 2026, with revenue up 24% YoY to $119.8B and operating income rising 30% YoY to $40.8B. Search revenue grew 17% YoY to $63.3B, while Google Cloud had its fastest growth quarter ever, surging 82% YoY to $24.8B and producing $8.8B of operating income. Net income jumped 298% YoY to $112.1B. On the AI side, the Gemini app reached 950M monthly active users, and Gemini models are now processing 22B API tokens per minute. The one major drag was free cash flow, which turned negative at -$5.8B, marking Google’s first negative FCF quarter in years. Still, this was the company’s strongest revenue acceleration in 3 years, driven by explosive cloud growth and rising AI usage. 2. AMD $AMD and Anthropic have reportedly signed an AI server deal worth tens of billions of dollars, per WSJ. Under the agreement, Anthropic would buy up to 2GW of AMD’s latest-generation Instinct MI450 chips beginning in the first half of 2027. AMD also plans to invest up to $5B in Anthropic as deployment milestones are reached, and is reportedly discussing a potential financial backstop for Anthropic’s future data center leases. The deal marks another major push by AMD to deepen its AI infrastructure footprint and compete more directly with Nvidia. 3. President Trump said the U.S. will respond to any Iranian attack on ships in the Strait of Hormuz by bombing and destroying one Iranian bridge or power plant each time it happens. Trump said the policy applies “from this point forward” and could include infrastructure located near or inside Tehran. 4. Tesla $TSLA reported a mixed Q2, with revenue beating at $28.24B vs $26.32B expected, up 26% YoY, but profitability coming in weaker as adjusted EPS was $0.33 vs $0.51 expected, gross margin was 16.8% vs 19.4% expected, and operating margin fell to 1.4% vs 5.4% expected. Automotive revenue grew 23% YoY to $20.52B, deliveries rose 25% YoY to 480,126, production increased 10% YoY to 451,758, and free cash flow was -$1.09B, better than the -$3.25B estimate. Tesla ended the quarter with $43.52B in cash and investments, while GAAP net income was $1.11B, helped by a $1.01B unrealized gain on its SpaceX investment. The bigger story was AI and autonomy: Cybercab production began at Gigafactory Texas, Robotaxi is now operating across seven major U.S. metros, active FSD subscriptions reached 1.48M, up 56% YoY, and more than 55% of new North American deliveries included an FSD subscription. Tesla also said Optimus production lines are being installed for expected production in 2026. 5. Nvidia $NVDA CEO Jensen Huang pushed back on fears around Kimi K3, DeepSeek, and China’s open-source AI models, saying U.S. companies should be allowed to use them because developers can download, fine-tune, and guardrail the models themselves. Huang said Chinese open-source models are “excellent” and argued the market misunderstood DeepSeek the first time and is now misunderstanding Kimi. His broader point is that strong open models should expand overall AI usage, not hurt closed models, and that more AI usage ultimately means more Nvidia systems, more data centers, and more demand for accelerated compute. 6. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 5.1M contracts, $AAPL with 1.2M contracts, $TSLA with 844K contracts, $AMZN with 828K contracts, $MU with 803K contracts, $SMCI with 746K contracts, $SPCX with 745K contracts, $MSFT with 722K contracts, $INTC with 548K contracts, and $PLTR with 540K contracts. 7. Google $GOOGL raised its FY26 capex outlook to $195B–$205B, up from $180B–$190B, as the company pulls forward capacity to keep up with stronger demand. Google said only a small portion of revenue from existing TPU system sales agreements is expected to be recognized in 2026, with most of it flowing through in 2027. Because of supply constraints, Google also plans to lean more on third-party capacity in Q3 as a temporary bridge, which could create some modest near-term margin pressure. 8. ServiceNow $NOW delivered a strong Q2, beating on revenue, EPS, cRPO, and operating margin while raising its FY26 outlook. Total revenue came in at $3.99B vs $3.92B expected, up 24% YoY, with subscription revenue up 24.5% YoY to $3.88B. Adjusted EPS was $0.90 vs $0.86 expected, and cRPO reached $13.2B, up 21% YoY and ahead of estimates. The company raised FY26 subscription revenue guidance to $15.76B–$15.78B, while guiding for 81% subscription gross margin, 31.5% operating margin, and 35% free cash flow margin. AI was the biggest highlight, with ServiceNow AI ACV crossing $1B in Q2 and agentic deployments increasing 9x in just nine months. RPO rose to $29B, customers above $5M in ACV grew 23% YoY to 658, and deals over $1M in ACV jumped roughly 40% YoY to 123. 9. Stripe generated $3.2B in free cash flow in 2025, up 52%, as revenue climbed roughly one-third to $6.8B, its fastest growth since 2021, according to The Information. The company also reached $2B of revenue in Q1 2026. Stripe’s momentum is being helped by AI customers, with the company processing subscription and usage-based payments for OpenAI, Anthropic, and other AI companies. Its billing, invoicing, and tax products are also tracking toward a $1B annual run rate this year. That level of cash generation gives Stripe more flexibility to keep expanding, following its acquisitions of Metronome and Bridge, plus the reported Stripe and Advent International offer of more than $53B for PayPal $PYPL. 10. Apple $AAPL is reportedly gearing up for a major Mac refresh cycle starting this fall and continuing through 2027, per Bloomberg. The first wave is expected to include an M6 14-inch MacBook Pro and updated iMacs, followed later by redesigned 14-inch and 16-inch MacBook Pros featuring OLED touchscreens. Apple is also working on new MacBook Air, MacBook Neo, Mac mini, and Mac Studio models, though some release timing may depend on memory-chip availability. 11. Baird reiterated Nebius $NBIS at Outperform with a $250 price target, arguing the company is well positioned as AI workloads shift from training toward inference. The firm’s bullish view is built around Nebius’ full-stack platform, strong software attach, expanding customer base, sector-leading growth, and experienced team from the Yandex carve-out. Baird also said Nebius is moving quickly to strengthen its stack through high-quality acquisitions, helping it compete in a fast-changing AI infrastructure market. 12. OpenAI is now reportedly forecasting roughly $750B of compute spending through 2030, up from about $600B earlier this year, as it continues locking down cloud and data center capacity, per WSJ. The company also announced a $20B initial investment in Project Camellia in Georgia, where OpenAI will serve as lead designer and developer for the first time, with 3.2GW of power contracted between 2028 and 2032. Other reported infrastructure commitments include 6GW with Oracle, $138B over eight years with AWS, and another $250B tied to Microsoft Azure. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @amitisinvesting bullish 2687 eng

  Woah. Nvidia $NVDA just created a new line of business for themselves. So, all those neoclouds like $CRWV $NBIS $IREN $APLD $SPCX that have been getting deals with hyperscalers worth billions? It’s because demand for compute, according to Jensen, is growing at a level that is beyond imagination. So, companies need to secure more compute. But, many of these neoclouds are struggling to finance large GPU deployments, even after securing long-term compute demand. So…Nvidia is going to help them out and share in the upside. “This new model enables AI clouds to procure NVIDIA infrastructure for AI-native, enterprise and ISV customers through economic alignment with a revenue-sharing and credit-support model. Through the partnership, AI clouds will sell NVIDIA-powered cloud services, with NVIDIA earning both standard product revenue and a share of the cloud revenue on the supported capacity. This structure accelerates adoption of NVIDIA platforms among the high-growth, high-conviction AI native sector, and provides NVIDIA with a recurring, usage-linked earnings stream.” Looks like Nvidia is going to make sure the best neoclouds don’t fail and this also shifts from a one-time GPU sale to a recurring, usage-based revenue stream…which just creates many more longer-term monetization opportunities.

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• @amitisinvesting bullish 2617 eng

  I bought $NBIS at $232.49. I *think* the market is wrong for selling the neo-clouds here and it feels like an overreaction to the META news. AWS just raised GPU rental prices by 20%. META is using their compute to monetize in a way that makes their overall business more diverse in terms of AI revenue streams. Given the backlog and senior management claiming that 4 customers are fighting for one GPU, it feels like a knee-jerk reaction to the META headline. Will buy more in low $200s if we see it, last time we got that price on $NBIS was 3 weeks ago on a market-wide drawdown so it feels like this might be an opportunity.

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 2037 eng

  $NBIS, $ALAB, $RKLB and $CRWV officially join the Nasdaq 100 on Monday. https://t.co/IKrTln1SEN

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• @amitisinvesting neutral 2010 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. Meta $META is reportedly developing a cloud business called Meta Compute to sell access to excess AI capacity, per Bloomberg. The company is considering offering AI model access hosted on Meta infrastructure, similar to AWS Bedrock, raw AI compute capacity closer to CoreWeave, and developer access to Meta’s data centers, chips, and models. The market was split on its views today of the situationL if Meta has enough excess compute to sell, it suggests parts of the market may not be as compute-constrained as believed, which could pressure neoclouds like $CRWV $NBIS $IREN and raise questions about future capex intensity for semis. All the neoclouds were down 7-10% today. However, if Meta realizes AI compute and cloud services can become a major business line, it may end up spending even more to compete with $AMZN, $MSFT, and $GOOGL, turning “idle compute” into the start of a much larger Meta Cloud buildout. $META was up 8% today. 2. Palantir CEO Alex Karp was on CNBC today and criticized frontier AI labs for overselling models, raising IP/trust concerns, and pushing costly token usage without enough real enterprise outcomes. His main argument came down to one point: critical infrastructure and enterprises cannot just plug in LLMs and hope they work. He argued that models need an application layer, Palantir’s ontology, to make AI safe, auditable, and operational. His broader message was that frontier labs are selling tokens, while Palantir is on the fontlines working with businesses to implement AI in a way that transforms their enterprise vs trying to increase token spend. 3. Micron $MU is committing $250M to Trump Accounts as America marks its 250th year, aiming to give 1M American children a financial head start. For U.S. employees, Micron will match up to $1,000 per child, while children in its communities across seven states will receive $250 seed contributions. The initiative comes alongside Micron’s more than $200B U.S. manufacturing investment, expected to create 90,000+ jobs. Micron also expanded its strategic partnership with General Motors $GM, giving GM long-term supply of LPDRAM, NOR, and UFS NAND for AI-enabled in-cabin experiences and advanced driver assistance systems. The agreement is backed by Micron’s $2B modernization of its Manassas, Virginia fab, which began production this year. 4. Robinhood $HOOD announced a massive slate of product updates at its World Is Flat event: 1M+ funded customers outside the U.S., Robinhood Crypto launching in the UK and Canada, a license to expand brokerage services in Singapore, maker orders for U.S. crypto customers, Agentic Trading for crypto, and the launch of Robinhood Chain with AI-native token swaps, liquidity pool discovery, and support for tokenized real-world assets. Robinhood is also rolling out EU perpetual futures for commodities, ETFs, and FX with up to 10x leverage, Robinhood Cortex for Gold subscribers, and Robinhood Earn, allowing eligible U.S. customers to lend USDG onchain through self-custody and target an estimated 7% APY. 5. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $TSLA with 3.1M contracts, $NVDA with 2.9M contracts, $META with 1.5M contracts, $AAPL with 1.2M contracts, $MSFT with 1.1M contracts, $MU with 899K contracts, $AMZN with 897K contracts, $PLTR with 860K contracts, $SPCX with 828K contracts, and $INTC with 679K contracts. 6. Nasdaq $NDAQ said companies listing on its exchange raised $129.3B in the first half of 2026, marking the strongest first half for listings in U.S. exchange history. 7. Japanese retail investors are ramping up leveraged stock bets as risk appetite heats up globally. Margin buying on the Tokyo Stock Exchange has climbed to about $40B, with levels recently hitting the highest since 1994. Japan’s margin ratio has risen to 6–8, well above the 10-year average of around 4, while individual names like Kioxia and Fujikura are showing extreme leverage. The trend mirrors rising margin debt across the U.S., Taiwan, South Korea, and Japan, raising concerns that stretched positioning could amplify volatility if markets reverse. 8. U.S. employers announced 45,849 job cuts in June, down 53% from May and the lowest monthly total since December 2025, per Challenger. AI was the top cited layoff reason for the fourth straight month, tied to 14K cuts in June and 101,743 cuts YTD. Hiring plans were up 10% in the first half of the year, though June hiring plans fell 44% from May. 9. Retail investors accounted for just 6% of total Magnificent 7 $META $GOOGL $AAPL $AMZN $MSFT $TSLA $NVDA trading volume over the five trading days ending Friday, the lowest level in 4 years. Retail participation was lower than on roughly 85% of trading days since 2022, a sharp reversal from periods in 2023 and 2024 when retail made up more than 20% of Mag 7 volume and stayed above 15% for much of 2025. The 5-day average of retail Mag 7 trading volume has fallen to about 25M shares, the lowest in at least 18 months and down 79% from the April 2025 peak of roughly 120M shares. 10. BYD is on track to retake the global fully electric vehicle sales lead from Tesla $TSLA in Q2. BYD delivered 557,090 BEVs during the quarter, while Tesla is expected to report around 396,500 deliveries next week. BYD’s June sales across all vehicle types rose 5.5% to 403,472 units, with overseas markets accounting for 43% of sales. Tesla Korea also raised Model 3 and Model Y prices by up to $4,500 one day after passing the government’s EV subsidy evaluation. 11. Wells Fargo says it is bullish into Q3 and expects a strong summer rally before potential midterm-driven volatility in September. The firm says positioning has reset, early July seasonality turns positive, earnings season should be strong, tariff refunds could support profits, AI infrastructure dips remain buyable, and “Trump Accounts” could add up to $20B of price-insensitive inflows in Q3. Its 8 tactical ideas include $AEIS for AI infrastructure and data center growth, $ARGX for its Vyvgart Phase 3 myositis readout, $CMI for prime power demand and EPA 2027 upside, $KDP for improving beverage trends, $MSCI for data and quant investing demand, $PANW for cybersecurity consolidation and AI exposure, $PLNT for better comps, and $URI for rental rate inflection and non-res construction recovery. 12. Global gold-backed ETFs saw 38.3 tonnes of outflows last week, the largest weekly decline since September 2022. In dollar terms, withdrawals hit a record $4.7B, led by North America at 23.6 tonnes, followed by Asia and Europe. The largest U.S. gold ETF, $GLD, saw $2B in outflows alone, bringing June withdrawals to $3.2B and putting it on pace for its second-worst month since February 2021. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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