$SNDK 0.57 Developing

Notable posts

• @amitisinvesting mixed 2706 eng

  Long post, but some thoughts on what happened in the market today… Today was a particularly weird storm of price action because the logic going into the open was as follows: - $MU crushed, saved the AI trade - AI stocks should go higher due to MU proving its not cyclical, this should help the broader market get a lift Instead, what we got right before the open… - $AAPL announces massive price hikes and effectively uses MU earnings to be like, “See! It’s not us, but if memory gets 86% margins, then we have to raise prices!” - This happens right after the hottest PCE in 3 years is reported, even with oil (the biggest proponent of inflation the past few months) still coming down - Microsoft then joins the party and raises prices across all XBOX products, once again citing memory costs Market then proceeds to take a nasty dip in every sector…except Memory. I think what is happening here will be studied for a long time. The hyperscalers, the companies that are RESPONSIBLE for $MU and $SNDK being multibaggers, are getting destroyed because…well they can’t buy back stock, they can’t get FCF positive, and they don’t have memory’s pricing power. In fact, this is what Melius Research came out today and said: “Why bother owning a hyperscaler who can't buy back stock any time soon? Micron can start buying over $25B/quarter in stock during CY27. Memory will go down as THE BOTTLENECK of ALL BOTTLENECKS for this AI era. MU said that current conditions last after calendar 2027, basically guaranteeing buybacks of epic proportions, especially next calendar year.” We are at the point where the sell-side is saying that owning the best companies in the world makes no sense when you can own the bottleneck of all bottlenecks. Here’s the thing: I don’t know if Melius is actually wrong. My gut tells me that 86% gross margins will not last forever, but as long as the hyperscalers are willing to pay, then the structural logic for market participants comes down to a simple question: why own the companies paying the capex over the companies benefiting from it? The problem is obvious: if memory inflation continues to be intense, it will affect every part of the market. From automotive to datacenters to PCs. $NVDA gets to have a tax because it’s building very IP-heavy products. Will the market allow something like memory, that is not IP-heavy, to force consumers globally to pay significantly more for the products? Also, do the memory makers even care because as long as they control supply, they can control pricing? I’d imagine the big tech companies either lower capex to stop paying the cost, keep paying the cost, or try to innovate. They likely won’t lower capex and will most likely continue paying the cost, so there probably are some elements of them trying to focus on innovating in this area…but if there won’t be any menaingful cutoff in capex, the memory story continues. The market fell today because higher inflation means more of a chance for rate hikes. I mean, NVDA went below 200 as MU hit all time highs. NVDA’s suppliers are more valuable than NVDA’s biggest customers. As a result, it’s creating a type of AI-flation that basically led the market to sell off everything else. Not sure how this plays out, retail continues to buy the dip and today’s red probably gets bought…especially as earnings continue to grow…but we are in a new paradigm for how this market gives a premium to a stock and if you have pricing power over a component that matters to build AI vs being a companies that actually uses AI, you get a premium.

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• @amitisinvesting bullish 2296 eng

  WHY ARE THE SEMIS UP THIS MORNING? Well…a hyperscaler called $META just reminded the market how much they are willing to spend on capex: - Meta plans to double its AI computing capacity to 14GW in 2027 and begin manufacturing its in-house Iris AI chip in September, according to Reuters citing an internal memo. - The Iris chip, part of Meta’s MTIA program, is designed with $AVGO Broadcom and manufactured by $TSM TSMC, with the goal of reducing reliance on $NVDA Nvidia and $AMD GPUs. - Meta has also secured long-term supply agreements with Samsung (memory), $SNDK SanDisk (flash storage), and Sumitomo Electric (fiber-optic equipment). Once again, the market remembers how much Big Tech is willing to spend and how serious they are about creating their own custom silicon. Trump saying that Iran wants a deal last night + META getting ready to spend even more on capex is likely why the semis are starting to recover.

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• @amitisinvesting bullish 2142 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here’s a full recap: $NVDA CEO Jensen Huang pushed back on the recent stock market selloff, saying NVIDIA is still at the beginning of the AI supercycle and that market weakness should be viewed as a buying opportunity. He said investors “should be very happy” because they can now buy at a discount, adding that everyone should be excited about where AI is heading. Jensen also said it is a “foregone conclusion” that AI will become global infrastructure, similar to how the internet became core infrastructure for the world. 2. Google and $NVDA are reportedly exploring $INTC as a backup chip manufacturing partner as TSMC capacity remains constrained, according to The Information. Google has reportedly already placed an order with Intel to manufacture more than 3 million TPUs in 2028 after testing Intel’s advanced packaging technology. Nvidia has not placed an order yet, but is reportedly testing Intel’s tech for its 2028 Feynman-series processor, which is expected to combine four graphics chips into a single unit. For Intel, the near-term opportunity appears to be in advanced packaging, with SK Hynix also testing whether its HBM can work reliably with Intel’s packaging technology. 3. $AAPL unveiled “Siri AI” at WWDC 2026, transforming Siri into a more conversational AI assistant with current world knowledge, on-device context, screen awareness, and its own dedicated Siri app. A beta version is expected later this year, with Apple planning deeper integration across iPhone, Mac, Apple Watch, and Vision Pro. 4. Global investors are selling South Korean stocks at a record pace, with foreign investors offloading -$801 million of Kospi-listed shares on Monday after pulling -$10 billion from the market last week. Foreign investors have now sold South Korean equities in every trading session over the past month, bringing year-to-date outflows to -$75 billion, according to Goldman Sachs. Meanwhile, domestic retail and institutional investors have been on the other side of the trade, buying roughly +$69 billion over the same period. 5. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $TSLA with 3.6M contracts, $NVDA with 3.2M contracts, $AAPL with 2.1M contracts, $MSFT with 831K contracts, $AMZN with 710K contracts, $INTC with 696K contracts, $MU with 601K contracts, $GOOGL with 587K contracts, $META with 568K contracts, and $NOK with 444K contracts. Tesla led the market with more than 3.6M options contracts traded, followed by Nvidia at 3.2M and Apple at 2.1M. 6. Robinhood’s Top 10 most-held investments were updated for June, and the list stayed largely the same with one major change: $AMD replaced $NFLX, which had been in the top 10 for the past few months. AMD has surged 118% YTD, becoming a major retail winner for investors who backed Lisa Su and the company’s AI/chip comeback story. The other most-held names on $HOOD remain major retail favorites: $META, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $MSFT, $NVDA, $PLTR, $F, $MSFT, and $TSLA. 7. OpenAI said it has confidentially submitted an S-1 to the SEC, giving the company the option to go public, though no IPO timing has been decided yet. The company said it announced the filing because it expected the news to leak, but noted that it “may be a while” before any public listing because there are still things it wants to do that may be easier as a private company. OpenAI added that the decision involves a complicated set of tradeoffs, but filing now gives it flexibility to move toward an IPO sooner if that becomes the best path. 8. $AAPL Apple is teaming up with $GOOGL Google and $NVDA NVIDIA to bring more compute power to Apple Intelligence. At WWDC, Apple said it worked with Google and NVIDIA to bring its Private Cloud Compute approach to Google Cloud infrastructure, with Apple’s largest AI model, AFM Cloud Pro, set to run on Google Cloud. Apple said many Apple Intelligence requests will still be handled on-device, while more complex requests will be routed through its own Private Cloud Compute platform, including a new world knowledge service built inside that system. Apple also emphasized that it is not using Google Search as the foundation of the product and said it is now on the third generation of Apple Foundation Models. 9. Margin debt in China is surging to record levels, with stock market margin debt now reaching roughly $431 billion, more than doubling over the past two years. That total is now 22% above the 2015 Chinese stock market bubble peak of about $354 billion. At the same time, margin trading activity has also accelerated sharply, with volume on the Shanghai Stock Exchange averaging around $22 billion per day over the last two weeks, near record highs. Margin trading volume has now tripled over the past 12 months and is back in line with the levels seen during the 2015 peak. 10. $AMZN $GLW Amazon announced a multibillion-dollar agreement with Corning to supply optical fiber, cable, and connectivity solutions for Amazon’s U.S. data center infrastructure. The deal is expected to create 1,000 advanced manufacturing jobs at Corning’s North Carolina facilities and support hundreds of additional construction jobs. Amazon said the agreement will help strengthen the U.S. fiber optics supply chain as demand for AI data centers continues to accelerate. 11. SpaceX’s IPO is reportedly seeing overwhelming demand, with the offering said to be well oversubscribed and institutional orders expected to close Wednesday at 4pm ET, according to Bloomberg. At a reported $135 per share, SpaceX would raise roughly $75 billion at an estimated $1.8 trillion valuation, which could make it the largest IPO in history. The deal is expected to price on June 11 and begin trading on June 12 under the ticker $SPCX. 12. Retail investors piled into semis and AI names in May, with the largest single-stock net inflows led by $MU at +$6.5B, followed by $NVDA at +$5.9B, $TSLA at +$4.9B, $SNDK at +$3.5B, and $AMD at +$1.9B. The data shows retail buyers aggressively adding exposure to the AI/chip trade, with memory, GPUs, EVs, and semiconductor names dominating the month’s biggest inflow leaders. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 1956 eng

  SEMICONDUCTOR STOCKS BY PEG RATIO PEG < 1 usually means mispriced growth PEG > 2 starts to push into the danger zone Here’s how they stack up: • $ALAB ~2.9x • $ARM ~2.4x • $INTC ~2.2x • $LRCX ~2.2x • $KLAC ~2.0x • $AMAT ~1.7x • $ASML ~1.7x • $ANET ~1.7x • $TSM ~1.2x • $LITE ~1.1x • $COHR ~1.0x • $CRDO ~0.9x • $NVDA ~0.8x • $AMD ~0.7x • $AAOI ~0.7x • $MRVL ~0.6x • $ON ~0.6x • $AVGO ~0.6x • $SNDK ~0.4x • $MU ~0.4x

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• @amitisinvesting bullish 1779 eng

  Did a stock draft with some friends and these are the 12 picks I have to hold until June 2027… 1. $NVDA 2. $AMD 3. $GEV 4. $TXN 5. $RKLB 6. $RDDT 7. $GOOGL 8. $FIX 9. $AAPL 10. $GLXY 11. $SNDK 12. $BE Am I cooked?

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• @amitisinvesting neutral 1734 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. SanDisk $SNDK laid out its investor day targets, guiding for mid-to-high teens revenue growth, roughly 80% non-GAAP gross margins, and about 50% adjusted free cash flow margins. The company also expects to return 100% of excess cash to shareholders. SanDisk highlighted its HBF technology as a potential major efficiency unlock for AI inference, saying internal testing showed 1 HBF GPU could run the same model that required 8 HBM GPUs, implying 8x CapEx efficiency, while 4 HBF GPUs matched the token output of 8 HBM GPUs, implying 2x GPU efficiency. $SNDK was up 14%. 2. U.S. PPI came in slightly cooler on the headline number, rising 4.7% YoY versus 4.9% expected and 0.0% MoM versus 0.2% expected. Core PPI was mixed, rising 4.2% YoY versus 4.1% expected, but only 0.2% MoM versus 0.3% expected. Initial jobless claims came in at 209K versus 202K expected, while continued claims were 1.777M versus 1.794M expected. 3. Norway’s $2.3T sovereign wealth fund, the world’s largest, generated a record $184.3B profit in H1 2026. The fund returned 9.4% over the period, with its 72.1% equity allocation up 13.0%. In Q2 alone, the portfolio gained 11.5%, its strongest quarter since Q2 2020, led by equities returning 16.0% as AI-related names drove performance. Nvidia $NVDA remained the fund’s largest holding at the end of H1, followed by Microsoft $MSFT and Apple $AAPL. Norway’s fund now owns roughly 1.5% of all publicly listed companies globally and has become one of the world’s largest institutional investors in AI-related stocks. 4. OpenAI’s annualized revenue has reportedly topped $40B, roughly doubling its run rate from the end of 2025, according to Bloomberg. July run-rate revenue rose more than 20% MoM, driven by strength in Codex, subscriptions, and early ad sales, highlighting how quickly OpenAI’s monetization is scaling across both consumer and business lines. 5. Reddit $RDDT is set to join the S&P 500 before the open on August 18, replacing AvalonBay Communities $AVB. AvalonBay is being acquired by Equity Residential $EQR, with the combined company expected to remain in the index under the new name Vivmark Residential $VMRK. S&P Dow Jones Indices also announced that Sun Communities $SUI will join the S&P MidCap 400 before the open on August 20, replacing Webster Financial $WBS, which is being acquired by Banco Santander $SAN. 6. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 2.4M contracts, $TSLA with 2.0M contracts, $SPCX with 1.2M contracts, $MU with 1.0M contracts, $AAPL with 881K contracts, $INTC with 863K contracts, $SMCI with 843K contracts, $NFLX with 681K contracts, $PLTR with 625K contracts, and $AMZN with 600K contracts. 7. Ondas $ONDS reported Q2’26 revenue of $83.8M, beating estimates of $68M and up 67% QoQ. Adjusted gross margin came in at 50.4%, while adjusted EBITDA was -$50.6M versus -$32M expected. Backlog reached $613M, or $757M pro forma including DZYNE and Cyberhawk, with $175M of new orders in Q2 and another $105M already in Q3 to date. Ondas raised FY26 revenue guidance to $525M–$550M versus $509M expected and guided Q3 revenue to $140M–$155M. The company also pulled forward its profitability timeline, now targeting platform-level adjusted EBITDA profitability by Q4 2026 and company-wide profitability by Q4 2027. Key wins included a $52.9M lethal unmanned strike order, more than $240M of captured orders under a $982M Army IDIQ program, and NASA raising its Stratollite IDIQ ceiling from $45M to $395M. 8. Nu Holdings $NU reported Q2’26 revenue of $5.51B, beating estimates of $5.23B, up 50.3% YoY. Diluted EPS came in at $0.216 versus $0.20 expected, while net income rose 66.8% YoY to $1.06B. Gross profit increased 51.6% YoY to $2.35B, total assets grew 31.9% YoY to $82.75B, and total interest income and gains reached $4.76B, up 52.1% YoY. On the balance sheet, deposits rose 23.7% YoY to $45.33B, credit card receivables increased 42.1% YoY to $21.49B, loans to customers grew 43.8% YoY to $11.32B, and total equity reached $13.25B. 9. Elon Musk disclosed ownership of 6,418,547,515 SpaceX $SPCX shares in a new SEC filing, representing a 48.4% stake in the company. Based on the filing, Musk’s stake is valued at roughly $908.35B. 10. Nebius $NBIS is facing permitting-related delays at its Vineland data center after Hunterbrook reported a second stop-construction order at the site. The first order, issued on August 6, paused LNG tank work, while the second, issued on August 10, paused Bloom Energy $BE fuel-cell work after the city said required approvals and permits had not been secured. Nebius said on August 12 that it does not expect a material impact to the project timeline and confirmed that Vineland capacity remains included in its 2026 connected power targets. The main building structure was completed earlier this summer, engineering fit-out is underway, and fuel-cell installation is expected to move quickly once the permitting issues are resolved. 11. OpenAI is replacing chief revenue officer Denise Dresser less than a year after she joined the company. Dresser is leaving to pursue other opportunities, while Dali Rajic, president and COO of Alphabet-owned Wiz, will take over the role. The move marks another major leadership change as OpenAI scales revenue across enterprise, subscriptions, APIs, and new monetization channels. 12. Hedge funds bought $6.8B of U.S. equities last week, the largest weekly purchase in 18 years. As a share of S&P 500 market cap, it ranked as the 9th-largest weekly buy since 2008. This follows $4.8B of purchases the week before, bringing total hedge fund buying to $11.6B over the last 2 weeks, the largest two-week purchase on record. The 4-week average of hedge fund purchases has now risen to $1.8B. Meanwhile, institutional investors sold $1.1B, their second straight weekly sale, while retail investors sold $4.1B, pushing their 4-week average selling to $500M. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 1698 eng

  Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness exited its entire public-equities book through a single-buyer transaction just as its former holdings are ripping today: • $BE +26% • $NBIS +25% • $SHAZ +26% • $IREN +25% • $SNDK +20% • $CRWV +20% • $TE +14% • $AMD +13% https://t.co/zxiMPBq2b9

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 1695 eng

  Leopold Aschenbrenner is up nearly 700% on $SNDK since disclosing a $12.9M stake. He first revealed the position in November 2025 at around $250/share. https://t.co/uLSfoL6VVH

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