$SOFI 0.54 Developing

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• @amitisinvesting neutral 4971 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. The U.S. reportedly offered Iran a deal to halt the siege and lift sanctions in exchange for reopening the Strait of Hormuz and ending proxy attacks, according to Al Arabiya. Axios also reports that Rubio told several foreign counterparts the U.S. does not plan new strikes on Iran for now, with pressure shifting toward the naval blockade and new sanctions campaign instead. Crude Oil fell 4% and the 10-year treasury bond fell from 4.72% to 4.62%. 2. Global physical gold-backed ETFs $GLD attracted $6.4B of inflows last week, their largest weekly intake since January and the 3rd-largest weekly inflow on record. North America led with $4.4B, followed by Europe at $1.7B and Asia at $300M. This marked the 7th straight week of inflows, with global gold ETFs pulling in $16.4B over that stretch. Total AUM in global gold ETFs rose by $33B last week to $615B, the highest level since the second week of May. 3. Intuit $INTU reported Q4’26 revenue of $4.4B, beating estimates of $4.27B and up 14% YoY. Adjusted EPS came in at $4.03 versus $3.58 expected. Global Business Solutions revenue rose 14% YoY to $3.4B, the Online Ecosystem grew 17% YoY to $2.6B, Consumer revenue increased 14% YoY to $930M, and Credit Karma revenue rose 16% YoY to $743M. For FY27, Intuit guided revenue to $23.3B–$23.5B versus $23.72B expected, while adjusted EPS guidance of $22.88–$23.12 came in well below the $27.32 estimate. The company also raised its dividend 15% YoY to $1.38/share, bought back $5.5B of stock, and has $7.9B remaining on its authorization. Management said its strategy is to win as an AI-driven expert platform while staying disciplined on investments and scaling its big bets. 4. President Trump said the U.S. Navy has removed and/or detonated all mines from international waters in the Strait of Hormuz. He said Iran has been notified that any ship or boat placing new mines will be “immediately and systematically destroyed.” Trump added that Space Force is monitoring every square inch of the Strait, along with Pickaxe Mountain and the three previously destroyed nuclear sites, and said a “Zero Tolerance” policy on mine placement is now in full effect. 5. Canada is responding to U.S. tariffs with new tariffs of its own. The country is raising steel tariffs to 50% from 25%, while roughly 700 products will face new tariff rates of 15%, 25%, and 50%. The measures are set to take effect on September 8, marking another escalation in the U.S.–Canada trade dispute. 6. Anthropic is expected to tell IPO investors its total addressable market exceeds $30T, topping SpaceX’s $28.5T estimate, according to WSJ. The figure represents the potential value of work Anthropic believes AI models could eventually perform, not a direct revenue forecast. Anthropic generated $11.6B in Q2 revenue and could seek to raise as much as $100B at roughly a $2T valuation. IPO documents are expected within weeks, potentially setting up a September or early October listing. 7. OpenAI’s data-center head Chris Malone left the company last week, according to WSJ. Malone joined in March 2025 shortly after Stargate was announced and played a key role overseeing OpenAI’s massive data-center buildout. He previously led data-center strategy at Meta and earlier worked on data-center technology at Google. The departure comes just weeks after OpenAI also replaced its chief revenue officer, adding another senior leadership change as the company races to scale infrastructure, revenue, and compute capacity. 8. ClickHouse has surpassed $350M in annual recurring revenue, up 40% since May, as AI agents drive demand for database and observability infrastructure. OpenAI’s usage has reportedly grown roughly 10x over the past year to more than 30 petabytes of data per day, or around 30T events daily. OpenAI has also shifted parts of its log-management workload from Datadog to ClickHouse over the past year. ClickHouse was valued at $15B in January and says gross margins currently range from 50%–70%. Earlier this year, the company acquired Langfuse to expand deeper into monitoring AI applications and agents. Nebius $NBIS owned a 28% stake in ClickHouse as of May 2025, though that stake has likely been diluted by subsequent fundraising. 9. JPMorgan reiterated its Overweight rating on SpaceX $SPCX with a $240 price target, saying the company’s AI ambitions are coming into sharper focus and that it is increasingly positive on Grok. The firm highlighted SpaceX’s completed acquisition of Cursor on 8/14 as an important step in building enterprise AI capabilities. Cursor brings roughly $4B of ARR as of June 2026, with about 75% coming from businesses, which JPMorgan says should help streamline go-to-market and provide valuable model-training data. The firm also said Cursor data is already showing up in Grok’s supplemental training, with tangible improvements in recent model performance. 10. OpenAI says its new Broadcom-built Jalapeno AI chip outperformed Nvidia $NVDA GB300 in both throughput per watt and response latency during internal testing, according to Bloomberg. The chip is built specifically for inference, not training, and runs at roughly 700 watts. OpenAI plans to begin deploying Jalapeno for its models later this year, saying the performance gap widened on larger workloads, including Moonshot’s Kimi model, and that the chip has also performed well on unreleased OpenAI models. The key caveat is that Jalapeno was tested against GB300, not Nvidia’s newer Vera Rubin generation. OpenAI says a second-generation chip is already nearing tape-out, while work on a third generation has begun. 11. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 1.8M contracts, $TSLA with 1.8M contracts, $AAPL with 636K contracts, $SPCX with 548K contracts, $INTC with 540K contracts, $AMZN with 498K contracts, $MU with 483K contracts, $AMD with 403K contracts, $PLTR with 361K contracts, and $SOFI with 359K contracts. 12. Raymond James raised its Nvidia $NVDA price target to $352 from $330 and reiterated a Strong Buy rating. The firm says Nvidia’s CPU opportunity is becoming more important, especially for agentic AI workloads, even though CPUs are only about 3% of sales today. Raymond James expects CPU revenue to reach roughly 5% of total revenue by CY28 and believes Nvidia could potentially become the world leader in CPU revenue within several years. The firm also argued the stock remains inexpensive, trading at less than 15x CY27 GAAP earnings, below the S&P 500 at 18.6x, despite sales and net income growth still expected to exceed 20% in CY28. Its new $352 target is based on a 22x multiple on CY28 estimates, which Raymond James views as conservative given Nvidia’s leadership, CUDA moat, GPU performance, free cash flow, and history of trading at much higher multiples. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @amitisinvesting bullish 2529 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. SpaceX $SPCX will be added to the Nasdaq 100 tomorrow before the market opens, creating forced buying from mutual funds and ETFs that track the index and collectively manage roughly $800B in AUM. SpaceX’s initial weighting will be about 1%, based on free-float market cap, which excludes insider and restricted shares. That weighting could grow over time as lockups lift, the public float expands, and Nasdaq rebalances the index in September and December. 2. Samsung Electronics prelim Q2 operating profit surged 19x YoY to roughly $58.4B, beating $55.3B consensus, driven by booming AI memory demand. Revenue came in slightly below expectations at about $111.8B vs. $113.1B consensus, but still rose 129% YoY. On an operating income basis, Samsung is now arguably the most profitable company in the world, generating more operating profit than Nvidia $NVDA did last quarter. 3. Robinhood $HOOD CEO Vlad Tenev says demand for Trump Accounts has been “tremendous,” with 6M kids signing up pre-launch to express interest and millions of accounts already invested. The accounts are now officially active and open for contributions, allowing parents, grandparents, family, friends, and employers to collectively contribute up to $5,000 annually for eligible American children. SpaceX $SPCX president Gwynne Shotwell and her husband are donating $320M of company stock to help fund Trump Accounts for more than 2M American children. 4. Broadcom $AVGO and Apple $AAPL expanded their long-standing technology partnership through 2031. Under the new multi-year agreements, Broadcom will develop and supply a range of custom ASIC silicon products for multiple generations of Apple devices. 5. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $TSLA with 4.4M contracts, $NVDA with 2.3M contracts, $AAPL with 1.5M contracts, $AMZN with 790K contracts, $SPCX with 727K contracts, $META with 668K contracts, $MSFT with 637K contracts, $INTC with 566K contracts, $MU with 530K contracts, and $SOFI with 421K contracts. 6. TeraWulf $WULF signed a 20-year lease with Anthropic for its Justified Data campus in Kentucky, representing roughly $19B of contracted revenue over the initial term. The campus is expected to support about 401MW of critical IT load, with initial capacity coming online in H2 2027 and full capacity by early 2028. Separately, TeraWulf is selling its 50.1% stake in the Abernathy JV to a Fluidstack-led investor group, monetizing an approximately $450M investment. 7. Retail is levering up into options. 0DTE options now account for a record 48% of total retail options volume, more than tripling over the past five years. They also represented a record 30% of total U.S. options volume in May, well above the 2022 high of roughly 18% and the five-year average of about 21%. As short-dated trading keeps growing, the average options contract now expires in under 3 days. 8. JPMorgan says Meta $META potentially monetizing excess AI compute through a cloud business could be positive for returns on AI infrastructure, but the firm would rather see Meta use that capacity inside its own products. The report notes Meta could charge developers for access to models hosted on its infrastructure or rent raw compute to third parties, with JPM estimating 1GW of capacity could generate around $20B in annual revenue and several dollars of EPS. Still, JPM argues the bigger upside is Meta using its compute, 4B+ users, and AI products across Family of Apps to drive internal inference demand, which would support continued heavy capex rather than implying a slowdown. 9. Michael Saylor’s Strategy $MSTR sold 3,588 BTC over the last two weeks for roughly $216M as part of its new Bitcoin Monetization Program, which allows up to $1.25B of BTC sales. The latest sale included 2,225 BTC at an average price of $60,773, following the prior week’s sale of 1,363 BTC at $59,256. Strategy still holds 843,775 BTC, with an average acquisition cost of $75,476 per BTC. 10. AI giants OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google are handing out free compute credits worth hundreds of thousands of dollars to win startup customers, per WSJ. The battle for startups is intensifying as top AI labs offer discounts and credits to lock in the next generation of enterprise users. The strategy is simple: subsidize usage now, drive early adoption, and turn today’s startup customers into durable long-term revenue streams. 11. Deutsche Bank says U.S. public debt is the clearest macro risk to American dominance. Federal deficits have stayed around 5%–6% of GDP since 2022 despite the economy being near full employment, while debt held by the public is set to surpass 100% of GDP this year. Interest payments now exceed defense spending and are the fastest-growing budget item, with the CBO projecting a $1.9T FY2026 deficit and public debt rising to 120% of GDP by 2036. 12. Leopold Aschenbrenner’s next investment target filed for Nasdaq this Friday. SK Hynix $SKHY is raising $28B, with Situational Awareness indicating interest in up to $7B of shares. SK Hynix has roughly 59% of the global HBM market, about 70% of Nvidia’s $NVDA HBM4 allocation, Nvidia alone represents 27% of revenue, and its entire 2026 chip lineup is already sold out. SK Hynix will be going public on the Nasdaq via ADRs and will be one of the largest foreign memory companies, now worth $1T. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @StockSavvyShay bullish 2116 eng

  10 stocks near 52-week lows where the stock is broken but the business isn’t: 1. $PLTR | Palantir 2. $MSFT | Microsoft 3. $META | Meta 4. $SOFI | SoFi 5. $MELI | MercadoLibre 6. $SE | Sea Limited 7. $UBER | Uber 8. $NFLX | Netflix 9. $MA | Mastercard 10. $GRAB | Grab

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 1812 eng

  $SOFI CEO Anthony Noto just bought another ~$250K of stock at $18/share. He has now purchased ~$2.3M worth of shares in 2026 across five separate buys. https://t.co/aqMwFzmmlZ

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• @amitisinvesting bullish 1705 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. Tomorrow’s FOMC meeting will be Kevin Warsh’s first as Fed Chair, and the market will be watching closely to see how he frames inflation, rates, and the path toward potential cuts. One major tailwind is that oil came down to $77 today, which helps ease inflation pressure and lowers the risk of another energy-driven CPI spike. If Warsh acknowledges that cooling oil prices are helping the inflation picture, it could give markets more confidence that the Fed has room to turn less restrictive over time. 2. The 2x SpaceX ETF had more than $3 billion in volume today versus about $1 billion yesterday. Nearly every product is already around $100 million or more in volume, while $SPCH led the pack with $1.3 billion traded, reportedly the highest Day Two volume ever recorded for an ETF, far above $IBIT’s roughly $500 million. SpaceX also officially announced plans to acquire Cursor parent company Anysphere for $60 billion. Ahead of the $SPCX IPO, Gwynne Shotwell described the relationship as a close AI collaboration, saying both companies were evaluating each other’s models and that Cursor’s training data was “excellent,” while SpaceX brings major compute capacity. 3. Wells Fargo raised its year-end 2026 $SPX S&P 500 target to 7,950, citing several supportive market factors. The firm pointed to a reset in investor sentiment following the Nasdaq 100 selloff, an improving setup for CTA buying, easing macro risk after the peace deal, continued supportive liquidity, and a higher 2026 EPS forecast of $340. 4. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $TSLA with 2.0M contracts, $NVDA with 1.8M contracts, $SPCX with 1.7M contracts, $AAPL with 881K contracts, $INTC with 648K contracts, $NFLX with 573K contracts, $MU with 559K contracts, $AMZN with 511K contracts, $MSFT with 486K contracts, and $SOFI with 477K contracts. Tesla led the market with more than 2.0M options contracts traded, followed by Nvidia at 1.8M and SpaceX at 1.7M. 5. $AAPL Apple reportedly plans to launch camera-equipped AirPods in late 2027, according to Bloomberg. The cameras are not expected to be used for taking photos or videos, but instead to help Siri understand the user’s surroundings and provide more visual context. The new AirPods could debut around the same time as Apple’s second-generation foldable iPhone and its 20th-anniversary iPhone. 6. Microsoft $MSFT is reportedly moving Copilot Cowork to a usage-based pricing model and may introduce a Microsoft-hosted DeepSeek model as a lower-cost AI option for enterprise customers, according to Bloomberg. The cheaper model is expected to roll out in the coming weeks as Microsoft looks to give businesses more flexible and affordable AI tools. 7. Foreign investors sold another $801 million worth of Kospi-listed shares on Monday, adding to the $10 billion in outflows seen last week. According to Goldman Sachs, foreign investors have now sold South Korean stocks every trading session over the past month, bringing year-to-date net sales to roughly $75 billion. Meanwhile, domestic retail and institutional investors have absorbed much of the selling, buying about $69 billion over the same period. 8. The Financial Times reports that the Trump administration is considering a deal framework that could include sanctions relief and a $300 billion private-sector reconstruction fund for Iran if Tehran agrees to a final nuclear agreement and maintains peace. The fund would reportedly depend on Iran’s compliance and be financed by companies rather than governments, with potential interest from businesses in Europe, Asia, and the U.S. because of Iran’s large population and energy resources. If accurate, the proposal would effectively act like an economic rebuilding package for Iran while also opening the door for U.S. and global companies to enter the Iranian market if sanctions are lifted. 9. Robinhood $HOOD plans to cut about 10% of its workforce, or roughly 290 roles, as the company looks to operate more efficiently and flatten management layers. CEO Vlad Tenev said Robinhood’s business “has never been stronger,” but emphasized that the company cannot operate as a heavily layered organization and needs to remain a lean, hyper-focused team. 10. SoFi CEO Anthony Noto purchased 13,888 shares of $SOFI at $18.06 per share, spending roughly $250,000 on the open-market buy. Following the purchase, Noto now owns 11,960,507 shares of SoFi, worth about $211.8 million. 11. Snap $SNAP launched standalone consumer AR glasses priced at $2,195, but the stock was down 10% on the day. The glasses do not require a phone, puck, or tether and feature a 51° field of view with transparent LCoS displays, up to four hours of mixed use plus four extra charges from the case, electrochromic lenses that tint outdoors, and a built-in AI assistant that can see what the user is looking at. Snap has spent 11 years and more than $3 billion trying to make AR glasses a mainstream product. 12. Amazon $AMZN plans to invest several billion dollars to build a new data center campus in Montgomery County, Missouri, creating more than 400 full-time data center jobs, thousands of construction roles, and funding upgrades to local road and water infrastructure. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @amitisinvesting bullish 1589 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. The Fed held rates steady, as expected, but the decision came with 3 dissents in favor of a 25 bps hike from Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan. Fed Chair Warsh said the move should not be viewed as a “pause,” arguing that markets have already made their judgment and the Fed now has 7–8 weeks of incoming data to assess. He said the June core CPI print did not materially change the decision, with the broader inflation trend now mattering more. Warsh also said the Fed is doing well on the employment mandate, though the AI-driven capex surge makes it harder to judge aggregate supply and demand. 2. Meta $META reported Q2 2026 revenue of $60.8B, up 28% YoY, with advertising revenue rising 27% YoY to $59.4B. EPS fell 13% YoY to $6.18, while Reality Labs posted an operating loss of $4.62B. Daily active people increased 3% YoY to 3.60B, and Meta guided Q3 revenue to $61B–$64B. The stock is under pressure as investors focus on the EPS miss and continued AI infrastructure spending, with FY26 capex now expected at $130B–$145B. CEO Mark Zuckerberg said AI is already accelerating Meta’s core business, powering new products, and opening up new enterprise opportunities. 3. Robinhood $HOOD delivered an exceptional Q2 2026, with revenue up 32% YoY to $1.31B, net income up 48% YoY to $573M, and adjusted EBITDA up 35% YoY to $741M. Transaction-based revenue grew 44% YoY to $776M, while total platform assets rose 32% YoY to $369B. Net deposits hit an all-time high of $21.7B, with $3B already in Robinhood Banking. Gold subscribers increased 39% YoY to 4.8M, with a record 17% attach rate, while ARPU rose 24% YoY to $187. Robinhood also bought back 4.4M shares in the quarter, lowered expense guidance, now has 13 business lines doing $100M+ ARR, and its Gold Card has reached 1M holders with $17B of annualized spend. 4. Retail investors sold a net $243M of single stocks yesterday, marking the largest one-day outflow since the COVID crash, according to Vanda Research. 5. Microsoft $MSFT reported Q2 2026 revenue of $90.0B, adjusted EPS of $4.74, and operating income of $40.6B. Azure and other cloud revenue grew 43% YoY, while Microsoft Cloud revenue reached $59.3B and Intelligent Cloud revenue came in at $39.3B. Capex was $35.8B, reflecting continued AI infrastructure investment. CEO Satya Nadella said Azure revenue surpassed $100B for the first time this year, while Microsoft 365 Copilot reached more than 30M paid seats, showing growing enterprise adoption of Microsoft’s AI stack. 6. OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar and board chair Bret Taylor reportedly addressed employees in an internal meeting on Wednesday, with Friar telling staff that July annualized recurring revenue was already higher than the entire Q2 level. The update appears aimed at reassuring employees that OpenAI’s business remains healthy as competition intensifies from Anthropic and a growing wave of open-source AI players. 7. SpaceX $SPCX is reportedly weighing acquisitions or a bid in the FCC’s July 2027 Upper C-band auction to secure terrestrial spectrum, per Semafor. The company is looking for airwaves that perform better in cities and dense areas, which could help Starlink compete more directly with $T AT&T, $VZ Verizon, and $TMUS T-Mobile. SpaceX has already bought $17B of EchoStar spectrum licenses, though its latest spectrum strategy remains fluid. 8. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 3.8M contracts, $TSLA with 2.3M contracts, $AAPL with 1.7M contracts, $MU with 1.2M contracts, $INTC with 905K contracts, $SOFI with 802K contracts, $AMD with 654K contracts, $AMZN with 631K contracts, $SPCX with 615K contracts, and $GOOGL with 582K contracts. 9. JPMorgan says Korea’s equity market has gone through an intense deleveraging phase since mid-June, with the KOSPI now down nearly 40% from its June 22 peak. The firm says the selloff was amplified by leveraged ETF flows and hedge fund positioning unwind, but now believes the leveraged ETF unwind is complete and hedge funds are roughly 90% done deleveraging. While some residual selling may continue and investors remain cautious ahead of the FOMC and hyperscaler earnings, JPMorgan says Korea’s positioning setup now looks attractive on balance, supported by cheap valuations and earnings momentum. 10. U.S. senators are warning Apple $AAPL against using Chinese memory chips from CXMT or YMTC, even for devices sold only in China. Lawmakers led by Jim Banks and Chuck Schumer urged Apple to abandon the talks, noting both chipmakers are on a Pentagon list of Chinese military companies, while YMTC is also on the Commerce Department’s Entity List. Senators warned that Apple qualifying the chips could pave the way for broader use later, and asked Apple to commit by August 21 not to use them while disclosing any technical information already shared. The pressure comes as the global memory market remains tight, with potential read-throughs for $MU, $SNDK, and $SKHY. 11. Meta $META is not giving specific 2027 CapEx guidance, saying infrastructure planning remains highly dynamic as it builds for maximum capacity in 2026 and 2027, while keeping room to expand in 2028 and beyond. On AI, Meta said it is optimistic about meaningful growth across its AI businesses and expects to share more soon. The company also said it has received multiple offers to monetize its compute at a meaningful premium to cost, but believes selling intelligence will carry significantly higher margins than selling compute directly. 12. Korea’s government announced an emergency market meeting after the recent equity-market selloff, with the finance ministry also launching a 24-hour market monitoring system. The measures include new restrictions on leveraged ETF trading and caps on retail exposure to these products. Korean stocks have bounced on the news as policymakers move to stabilize markets. I know it's very ugly out there. We all are going through it. It is the greatest show on earth for the reason: you just don't know what's going to happen next. Earnings are amazing so the selloff feels more structural and rooted in deleveraging/bad sentiment around AI vs the entire AI trade itself not being real or having strong fundamentals. Some valuations really got aggressive and the unwind has taken everything down along with the war being a really ugly headwind for the entire market. Stay strong, make sure you aren't too levered, and remember that the broader markets have seen worse and will persist through this. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @amitisinvesting neutral 1505 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. The Fed did not cut rates at this week’s meeting, and Kevin Warsh said there was “rigorous debate” among policymakers over the direction of monetary policy. Warsh argued that markets perform best when they react to incoming data instead of trying to guess how the Federal Reserve will respond. He also said financial market prices are one of the most important sources of information for central bankers. Warsh emphasized that inflation is primarily driven by monetary policy and said the Fed’s long-held 2% inflation goal should not be revisited until that target is actually achieved. He also announced new task forces focused on Fed communications, the balance sheet, existing data sources, productivity and jobs, and the inflation framework. 2. Bernstein raised its price target on AMD $AMD to $600 from $525 while maintaining an Outperform rating on the stock. The firm says AMD should benefit from stronger server demand, with its existing model already reflecting a healthier server CPU environment. Bernstein said its estimates are only moving marginally, but the higher target reflects continued confidence in AMD’s growth opportunity. 3. Robinhood $HOOD was up 10% today after the company said June volumes are tracking at the highest levels in its history month-to-date. Argus says Robinhood should remain in high-growth mode over the next few years as it continues adding brokerage customers and building products around trading trends popular with younger investors. The firm also sees Robinhood’s 10% workforce cut as a move that could reduce management layers, speed up decision-making, and support faster product development. 4. OpenAI generated $5.7 billion in revenue in Q1 2026, according to The Information, while burning $3.7 billion in cash during the quarter. Gross margin improved to 39%, up from 33% year-over-year, but the company also spent $8.6 billion on R&D and has roughly $665 billion in compute commitments through 2030. OpenAI ended the quarter with more than $73 billion in cash and securities, though it had previously projected cash burn of $25 billion this year and $57 billion next year. 5. Apple $AAPL is reportedly preparing to raise prices as the AI-driven memory shortage starts spilling into consumer hardware. Rising demand from AI servers is pushing DRAM and NAND costs higher, tightening supply across the market, and Tim Cook has warned that the pressure is becoming increasingly difficult to absorb. 6. Vanda Research says retail investors have bought as much SpaceX $SPCX over the last three trading days as they bought in $NVDA, $GOOGL, $META, $SPY, $QQQ, $AMZN, and $MSFT combined. The data highlights how intense retail demand has become for SpaceX exposure, with investors piling into $SPCX at a pace that rivals some of the biggest and most actively traded names in the market. 7. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $TSLA with 3.1M contracts, $NVDA with 3.0M contracts, $SPCX with 1.4M contracts, $AAPL with 1.3M contracts, $MSFT with 1.0M contracts, $HOOD with 1.0M contracts, $META with 927K contracts, $AMZN with 900K contracts, $SOFI with 700K contracts, and $MU with 679K contracts. Tesla led options activity with more than 3.1M contracts traded, followed closely by Nvidia at 3.0M, while SpaceX, Apple, Microsoft, and Robinhood all saw heavy volume above 1M contracts. 8. The U.S. has released the full text of its 14-point Memorandum of Understanding with Iran, outlining an immediate and permanent end to military operations, mutual respect for sovereignty, and a 60-day window to negotiate a final deal. The agreement includes steps to remove the U.S. naval blockade, ensure safe commercial passage through the Strait of Hormuz, issue waivers for Iranian oil and related financial services, and make frozen Iranian assets available for use. It also calls for a $300 billion reconstruction and economic development plan for Iran, a pathway toward ending sanctions, and IAEA supervision over Iran’s enriched material stockpile. Iran agrees not to pursue nuclear weapons and to maintain the current status of its nuclear program while negotiations continue. The final deal would be monitored through an executive compliance mechanism and ultimately endorsed by a binding UN Security Council resolution. 9. Bloomberg is reporting that Trump plans to ask U.S. defense companies to produce missiles and weapons under license in Europe and Ukraine. The discussions are tied to Ukraine’s urgent need for more air defense interceptors, as current production levels are not keeping up with battlefield demand. The move would be aimed at expanding weapons supply faster by shifting more production closer to the region. 10. $AMZN Amazon is reportedly seeing growing interest in its Trainium and Inferentia AI chips as companies look to diversify away from relying solely on Nvidia GPUs, according to The Information. The biggest selling point is cost, with some inference workloads reportedly running up to 80% cheaper compared to H100s. Amazon is also exploring ways to bring its AI chips closer to enterprise data centers, though Inferentia is reportedly not yet ready for AWS Outposts testing. 11. Bernie Sanders is proposing legislation that would impose a one-time 50% stock tax on major AI companies generating at least $200 million in annual AI revenue, according to AP. The shares would be placed into a sovereign wealth fund projected to be worth nearly $7 trillion, with the public receiving direct payments while the government holds voting shares that could influence company decisions. Importantly, this is only proposed legislation and has not become law. 12. ETF flows have already touched $1 trillion year-to-date, and it is still only June. While some of that is tied to S&P 500 rebalancing, the pace makes it look increasingly likely that last year’s $1.5 trillion record could be broken. One of the more surprising standouts is $DRAM, which is now among the top 10 overall for ETF flows. Even with SpaceX stealing most of the market’s attention, DRAM remains one of the biggest stories of the year. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 1436 eng

  KEY LEVELS TO WATCH FOR POPULAR STOCKS • Bullish: $AMD, $MU, $NBIS, $CIFR, $HIMS • Hold: $NVDA, $AVGO, $HOOD, $AEHR, $RKLB, $SOFI, $AAOI • Bearish: $TSLA, $PLTR, $ONDS, $OKLO, $ASTS, $IONQ, $OPEN, $IREN https://t.co/E8RqAVUbjD

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