$TSM 0.63 Developing

Notable posts

• @StockSavvyShay neutral 3410 eng

  UPDATED FIB LEVELS FOR POPULAR STOCKS AI Utilities • $IREN $51 • $NBIS $177 • $CIFR $17 • $CRWV $100 AI Power • $EOSE $7 • $BE $237 • $NVTS $22 • $VRT $282 AI Hardware • $NVDA $192 • $TSM $408 • $ASML $1,618 • $MU $730 AI Applications • $PLTR $129 • $NOW $109 • $CRWD $598 • $SNOW $181 AI Connectivity • $AVGO $377 • $ALAB $305 • $CRDO $195 • $MRVL $236 Space • $RKLB $106 • $ASTS $89 • $PL $31 • $BKSY $32 Quantum • $IONQ $52 • $RGTI $15 • $QBTS $20 • $INFQ $13 Drones • $ONDS $10 • $AVAV $175 • $KTOS $52 • $UMAC $24 Nuclear • $OKLO $50 • $UUUU $12 • $GEV $906 • $LEU $151 Photonics • $AAOI $164 • $LITE $698 • $COHR $283 • $AEHR $76 CPU Bottleneck • $AMD $383 • $INTC $91 • $ARM $299 • $AMKR $57 Physical AI • $TSLA $382 • $AMZN $230 • $GOOGL $357 • $ISRG $394

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• @amitisinvesting bullish 2296 eng

  WHY ARE THE SEMIS UP THIS MORNING? Well…a hyperscaler called $META just reminded the market how much they are willing to spend on capex: - Meta plans to double its AI computing capacity to 14GW in 2027 and begin manufacturing its in-house Iris AI chip in September, according to Reuters citing an internal memo. - The Iris chip, part of Meta’s MTIA program, is designed with $AVGO Broadcom and manufactured by $TSM TSMC, with the goal of reducing reliance on $NVDA Nvidia and $AMD GPUs. - Meta has also secured long-term supply agreements with Samsung (memory), $SNDK SanDisk (flash storage), and Sumitomo Electric (fiber-optic equipment). Once again, the market remembers how much Big Tech is willing to spend and how serious they are about creating their own custom silicon. Trump saying that Iran wants a deal last night + META getting ready to spend even more on capex is likely why the semis are starting to recover.

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 1956 eng

  SEMICONDUCTOR STOCKS BY PEG RATIO PEG < 1 usually means mispriced growth PEG > 2 starts to push into the danger zone Here’s how they stack up: • $ALAB ~2.9x • $ARM ~2.4x • $INTC ~2.2x • $LRCX ~2.2x • $KLAC ~2.0x • $AMAT ~1.7x • $ASML ~1.7x • $ANET ~1.7x • $TSM ~1.2x • $LITE ~1.1x • $COHR ~1.0x • $CRDO ~0.9x • $NVDA ~0.8x • $AMD ~0.7x • $AAOI ~0.7x • $MRVL ~0.6x • $ON ~0.6x • $AVGO ~0.6x • $SNDK ~0.4x • $MU ~0.4x

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• @amitisinvesting neutral 1582 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. Trump says the U.S. is reinstating the blockade and will now charge a 20% fee on all cargo passing through the Strait of Hormuz, effectively putting a tariff on one of the world’s most important shipping routes. He also said the U.S. is “probably just going to take over the Strait,” arguing America has guarded it for 50 years without being paid, while warning Iran that the U.S. is prepared to hit them “very hard” tonight and tomorrow. 2. Apple $AAPL is expected to launch a base M6 this fall, but reportedly skip the M6 Pro, M6 Max, and M6 Ultra, moving directly to M7. The M7 Ultra is designed to support up to 1.5TB of memory, roughly double the planned M5 Ultra capacity, and could help power Apple’s future AI server strategy. Apple is also already developing M8 chips with greater AI capabilities, including 2028 chips moving to a 1.4nm process. $AAPL Apple hit an all-time high today. 3. TSMC $TSM reported record Q2 revenue driven by AI demand. June revenue came in around $13.8B, up 6.2% MoM and 67.9% YoY. Q2 revenue was about $39.6B, up 36% YoY and above the roughly $39.4B estimate. First-half 2026 revenue reached about $75.0B. 4. Meta $META is expanding its Richland Parish, Louisiana data center to 5GW of compute capacity, raising the announced investment to over $50B from the original $10B plan. Bloomberg reports the total site cost could exceed $250B when including chips, though Meta has only publicly disclosed $50B. Meta also plans more than $1B in local infrastructure improvements and says the site will support 1,000+ roles once operational. 5. Newly disclosed court records show Apple $AAPL is suing OpenAI, alleging misappropriation of trade secrets likely stemming to a new consumer device. The Information reports OpenAI’s first consumer AI device could launch as early as February, though Apple’s lawsuit could disrupt the timeline. OpenAI has reportedly explored several hardware concepts, including a display-less smart speaker, smart glasses, a digital voice recorder, and a wearable pin. 6. Penguin Solutions $PENG announced a proposed $650M private offering of convertible senior notes due 2031. Proceeds are expected to fund capped call transactions, refinance existing notes, and repay $100M under its credit agreement as part of a broader capital structure move. 7. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 2.6M contracts, $TSLA with 2.0M contracts, $AAPL with 1.6M contracts, $AMZN with 676K contracts, $MSFT with 673K contracts, $MU with 609K contracts, $META with 560K contracts, $DRAM with 499K contracts, $INTC with 460K contracts, and $SPCX with 431K contracts. 8. Korea-focused leveraged ETF AUM peaked above $45B in June, but after the recent pullback has fallen to roughly $28B. Exposure remains heavily concentrated in a few key areas: $14B in SK Hynix-linked products, $6B in Samsung-linked products, and $8B in KOSPI 200-linked products. 9. Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated Rocket Lab $RKLB at Overweight with a $96 price target. Analyst Andres Sheppard highlighted Rocket Lab’s successful U.S. Space Force VICTUS HAZE mission, marking the first time a prime contractor completed an all-in-one Tactically Responsive Space mission covering the rocket, satellite, and on-orbit operations. The firm also called the Iridium acquisition transformative and said it further validates Rocket Lab’s move toward becoming a vertically integrated, end-to-end space company. 10. Intel $INTC is investing $5.7B to expand manufacturing at its Leixlip campus in Ireland. The project will upgrade existing fabs, install new leading-edge equipment, and expand capacity for Xeon 6 and next-gen Xeon processors built on the Intel 3 node. Intel says the investment supports AI and high-performance computing demand while strengthening Europe’s semiconductor supply chain. The Leixlip site employs 4,900 people, with Intel’s total investment in Ireland now above €30B since 1989. 11. Fluence $FLNC signed a contract with Avantus to supply a 200MW / 800MWh Smartstack battery system for the Rexford 2 solar-plus-storage project in Tulare County, California. Construction is expected to begin in 2027, with operations targeted for late 2028, and enough capacity to power roughly 84,000 homes. 12. Bernstein says “this time is different” for memory $SNDK $MU, arguing new long-term agreements offer much stronger downside protection than past semiconductor contracts. Unlike prior cycles where customers delayed orders or disputed obligations, Bernstein says today’s memory LTAs are backed by upfront collateral. The firm estimates $SNDK has $11B+ of guarantees supporting roughly $69B of remaining obligations, while $MU holds $18B of deposits plus $4B of letters of credit. Bernstein also says protection is back-end weighted, with collateral coverage rising toward 75%–100% in the outer years when downcycle risk is highest. The bigger shift: counterparties are now hyperscalers and large OEMs with stronger balance sheets, while demand is tied to multi-year AI infrastructure buildouts and rising HBM/DRAM/NAND intensity. Bottom line: LTAs do not eliminate memory cyclicality, but Bernstein believes they improve earnings visibility, pricing durability, and trough protection versus prior cycles. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 1430 eng

  UPDATED FIB LEVELS FOR POPULAR STOCKS AI Utilities • $IREN $31 • $NBIS $160 • $CIFR $17 • $CRWV $67 AI Power • $EOSE $3 • $BE $192 • $NVTS $8 • $VRT $245 AI Connectivity • $AVGO $368 • $ALAB $251 • $CRDO $183 • $MRVL $168 AI Hardware • $NVDA $190 • $TSM $377 • $ASML $1,713 • $MU $672 AI Applications • $PLTR $131 • $NOW $101 • $CRWD $196 • $SNOW $259 Physical AI • $TSLA $369 • $AMZN $245 • $GOOGL $335 • $VPG $84 Space • $RKLB $56 • $ASTS $47 • $PL $20 • $RDW $8 Quantum • $IONQ $26 • $RGTI $13 • $QBTS $16 • $INFQ $8 Drones • $ONDS $6 • $AVAV $99 • $KTOS $42 • $MRCY $92 Nuclear • $OKLO $33 • $UUUU $8 • $GEV $906 • $LEU $132 Photonics • $AAOI $87 • $LITE $636 • $COHR $311 • $AEHR $66 CPU Bottleneck • $AMD $467 • $INTC $88 • $ARM $242 • $AMKR $57

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• @StockSavvyShay bullish 1405 eng

  AI suppliers are on pace to generate massive profits over the next three years: • $NVDA ~$1.1T • Samsung ~$807B • SK Hynix ~$611B • $MU ~$356B • $TSM ~$354B • $AVGO ~$342B • $AMD ~$74B • $ASML ~$63B • $AMAT ~$42B • $QCOM ~$41B • $INTC ~$31B • $MRVL ~$21B

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 1400 eng

  UPDATED FIB LEVELS FOR POPULAR STOCKS Space • $RKLB $92 • $ASTS $90 • $PL $32 • $RDW $12 Quantum • $IONQ $55 • $RGTI $19 • $QBTS $20 • $INFQ $13 Drones • $ONDS $9 • $AVAV $169 • $KTOS $52 • $MRCY $104 Nuclear • $OKLO $50 • $UUUU $15 • $GEV $906 • $LEU $182 Photonics • $AAOI $160 • $LITE $825 • $COHR $369 • $AEHR $110 CPU Bottleneck • $AMD $512 • $INTC $125 • $ARM $420 • $AMKR $83 Physical AI • $TSLA $382 • $AMZN $230 • $GOOGL $357 • $ISRG $397 AI Utilities • $IREN $56 • $NBIS $206 • $CIFR $17 • $CRWV $111 AI Power • $EOSE $7 • $BE $265 • $NVTS $24 • $VRT $282 AI Hardware • $NVDA $192 • $TSM $437 • $ASML $1,732 • $MU $1,013 AI Applications • $PLTR $121 • $NOW $95 • $CRWD $624 • $SNOW $181 AI Connectivity • $AVGO $368 • $ALAB $372 • $CRDO $262 • $MRVL $292

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• @StockSavvyShay bearish 1296 eng

  “The market is in such a bubble.” Yet here are the 2027 earnings multiples for some of the largest companies in the world: • $ORCL ~26x • $AMZN ~25x • $GOOGL ~25x • $MSFT ~22x • $NOW ~22x • $AVGO ~20x • $TSM ~19x • $DELL ~19x • $NVDA ~16x • $META ~16x • $CRM ~12x • $SNDK ~9x • $MU ~8x

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