$UBER 0.56 Developing

Notable posts

• @StockSavvyShay bullish 2116 eng

  10 stocks near 52-week lows where the stock is broken but the business isn’t: 1. $PLTR | Palantir 2. $MSFT | Microsoft 3. $META | Meta 4. $SOFI | SoFi 5. $MELI | MercadoLibre 6. $SE | Sea Limited 7. $UBER | Uber 8. $NFLX | Netflix 9. $MA | Mastercard 10. $GRAB | Grab

  view on X →
• @amitisinvesting neutral 1999 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. Palantir $PLTR named Nebius $NBIS its preferred sovereign AI infrastructure partner, announcing a strategic partnership to integrate Nebius compute and inference endpoints directly inside Palantir’s enterprise perimeter. The integration will allow eligible Palantir commercial customers to run open AI models on Nebius infrastructure, continuously adapt them using proprietary company data, and maintain control over their compute, models, and data. The companies also plan to bring new AI compute capacity online faster, including modular data-center deployments in locations where power is already available. Palantir CEO Alex Karp said, “Nebius’ compute infrastructure powers your ability to run your own AI models under conditions you control. Our ontology and their infrastructure will undergird the sovereignty our partners are demanding.” Nebius CEO Arkady Volozh added that the partnership will help commercial clients run optimized open models on trusted infrastructure while maintaining control over their data and models. 2. The EU and Canada are reportedly set to announce a major “all-encompassing” partnership spanning trade and security after President Trump’s latest tariffs, according to Bloomberg. The goal is to build a new alliance that helps offset global power politics dominated by the U.S. and China. The partnership is expected to be announced on September 16, with Canada and the EU reportedly aiming to get “as close as legally possible” short of EU membership. Canada has also become the first country outside the EU to join the bloc’s $175B military procurement fund, underscoring how quickly trade tensions are pushing allies toward deeper economic and defense cooperation. 3. BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF $IBIT has attracted $3.7B of inflows so far this quarter, putting it on pace for its largest quarterly intake since Q3 2025. The fund has already added $459.8M in September inflows, following $3.0B in August, its biggest monthly inflow since October 2025. As a result, $IBIT AUM has climbed to $62.6B, near its highest level since mid-May. Since the start of July, the fund’s AUM has increased by $19.6B, or 46%, showing renewed institutional and retail demand for Bitcoin exposure through ETFs. 4. OpenAI CFO said at the Goldman Sachs conference that the consumer business is accelerating, with July revenue up 20% MoM. The enterprise business grew even faster, with July revenue up 32% MoM. OpenAI’s revenue mix is now roughly 50/50 between enterprise and consumer, showing that growth is broadening beyond ChatGPT subscriptions and into business adoption. 5. Schwab retail activity in August shows investors selling the software rip and buying the semiconductor dip. The top retail buys were $SPCX, $MU, $NVDA, $INTC, and $GOOGL, while the top sells were $NOW, $ADBE, $MSFT, $PLTR, and $ORCL. The shift points to more active portfolio management from retail investors, with money rotating out of crowded software winners and into AI, chips, and compute-related names after pullbacks. 6. Copper prices on the LME have surged to a record $14,533/ton, now up 47% over the last 12 months. The move is being driven by tight supply and rising demand from data centers, renewable energy, and power grids. Expectations that President Trump could expand tariffs to refined copper imports have also pushed U.S. Comex prices above global prices, creating an incentive for traders to ship hundreds of thousands of tons of copper into the U.S. to capture the price spread. As a result, global stockpiles are becoming increasingly concentrated in the U.S., draining LME inventories to critically low levels and leaving less readily available copper for buyers elsewhere. 7. Meta $META launched Muse, a personal AI agent that can take actions across apps and the web, including sending emails, booking travel, filling out forms, and making purchases with user approval. Muse runs on Meta’s new Muse Secure VM, giving each user a dedicated cloud environment with a separate Sentinel agent that reviews actions before they reach the internet. The agent can continue working after the app is closed, remember user preferences, and proactively move longer-term tasks forward. Meta is also integrating Stripe Link for checkout, with Shop Pay and 1Password support coming later. 8. IREN $IREN said its 2 GW Sweetwater Hub has been conditionally included as base load in ERCOT Batch Zero. Sweetwater 1 accounts for 1.4 GW and Sweetwater 2 for 600 MW, both part of IREN’s broader 5 GW+ global data-center development pipeline. At Sweetwater 1, the high-voltage substation is already energized, with 300 MW of gross data-center capacity under construction and targeted for delivery in Q4 2027. IREN also said additional large-scale projects across its development pipeline have been included in Batch Zero, though ERCOT classifications remain conditional and subject to further approvals. 9. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $TSLA with 2.4M contracts, $NVDA with 2.2M contracts, $INTC with 1.3M contracts, $SPCX with 847K contracts, $AAPL with 689K contracts, $MU with 673K contracts, $AMD with 615K contracts, $META with 568K contracts, $AMZN with 524K contracts, and $CRWV with 477K contracts. 10. The U.S. government is backing Rigetti $RGTI and D-Wave $QBTS with up to $200M for quantum computing R&D. Rigetti signed a definitive $100M agreement with the U.S. Department of Commerce to address key scaling bottlenecks in superconducting quantum systems, including cryogenics, readout electronics, and high-connectivity chip fabrication. D-Wave separately finalized access to up to $100M to advance its annealing and gate-model platforms, including work on a 100,000-qubit annealing system and a 10,000-qubit gate-model system targeting 100 logical qubits. As part of the funding, the Commerce Department will receive minority, non-controlling equity stakes in both companies. 11. Uber $UBER President and COO Andrew Macdonald purchased 70,000 shares for roughly $5.3M. Macdonald is one of Uber’s longest-tenured executives, making the insider buy notable given his deep knowledge of the business, operations, and long-term strategy. 12. U.S. data center construction spending surged 57% YoY in July to a record annualized rate of $75B, following a 46% YoY increase in June and marking the fastest growth since mid-2025. Since the start of 2021, data center construction spending has soared by $66B, or 717%. Since the end of 2023 alone, spending has risen by $51B. Over that same period, all other private construction spending — including housing, shopping centers, and offices — has declined by $120B, showing how dramatically AI infrastructure is diverging from the rest of the construction market. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

  view on X →
• @amitisinvesting mixed 1983 eng

  The $UBER vs $TSLA debate happening right now across the board is fascinating in many respects. I’ve spent all day reading both sides. I even went to ChatGPT and had a conversation with Astra because of how fascinating this debate is to me. By the way, Astra is legit. Releasing that before Anthropic’s IPO was a chess move. The frontier lab wars are only getting more intense. I am long both in small quantities. A bit of Tesla I bought a year ago at $350 and haven’t added since and a small amount of Uber I added 2 weeks ago at $75 after taking a look at the numbers. Not short any of the names but also not meaningfully long any of them at this moment either. My conclusion so far is both sides are being ridiculously extreme in their conclusion. The extreme $UBER bulls are not seriously acknowledging the direct existisitential threat to its moat via CyberCab’s pure product experience and eventual scale. The extreme $TSLA bulls are not giving any merit to the 200M+ monthly users they have, how hard is it to scale a network, how self driving might be commoditized and Uber could simply become the largest marketplace for multiple vendors, and how much time unsupervised true autonomy will take to reach any meaningful level of Uber’s 42M daily rides. Honestly, I think both will do well. I don’t think it has to be as black or white as both sides are making it. However, it is an incredible thought experiment. Uber disrupted transportation forever with technology, and now Tesla is disrupting transportation forever with autonomy. I think Uber is undervalued. I think Tesla has the most exciting potential out of all the Mag 7 over the next decade. I just think both sides are writing off the other for no reason. The funniest outcome would be an eventual partnership even though I know it’s not that likely, but I do think this is going to not be one or the other.

  view on X →
• @amitisinvesting neutral 1736 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. Nvidia $NVDA is backing OpenAI’s Ohio AI campus with a $1.5B investment in SB Energy and support for an initial 4.25GW of AI infrastructure at the PORTS-Pike campus. The project includes an option to expand to the full 8GW. SB Energy will build and operate the site under a 20-year OpenAI lease, with capacity coming online in phases starting in 2028. SB Energy and SoftBank also plan at least 10GW of new power generation and $4.2B of regional grid investment tied to the buildout. 2. Anthropic’s revenue run rate has reportedly surged ahead of its IPO, rising to more than $65B in July 2026 from $47B in May and $9B at the end of 2025. The company also posted over $11.5B in preliminary revenue for its latest completed quarter, up from $787M a year ago, while generating positive adjusted operating income. Anthropic has confidentially filed to go public and could debut on Wall Street as soon as this fall. 3. U.S. interest expense on the national debt has reached a record $1.4 trillion over the last 12 months, with debt-servicing costs nearly tripling since 2020. If rates stay near current levels, interest payments are projected to rise to $1.7 trillion by November 2028, putting them on pace to overtake Social Security as the government’s largest expense for the first time. The move comes as the 30-year yield hits its highest level since 2007, while the 10-year Treasury yield has crossed 4.7%. 4. Evercore ISI’s Julian Emanuel says the $SPY S&P 500 could reach 9,000 over the next 12 months, while maintaining a 7,750 base-case target. He argues the usual bull-market killers — recession, sharply higher long-term yields, and extreme investor chasing — still have not shown up. At the same time, 121 S&P 500 stocks now have negative beta to the index, the highest number since the 2000–2001 dot-com unwind, highlighting how unusual market internals have become. 5. Fabrinet $FN reported Q4’26 revenue of $1.32B, beating estimates of $1.27B and up 45% YoY. Adjusted EPS came in at $4.10 versus $3.82 expected, up 55% YoY, while operating income was $134.25M and net income reached $139.3M. For Q1, Fabrinet guided revenue to $1.38B–$1.43B, ahead of estimates of $1.32B, with adjusted EPS of $4.10–$4.25 versus $3.96 expected. Management said the company delivered record quarterly revenue above its guidance range and remains optimistic about the strength of the business and durability of its growth trends. 6. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 2.8M contracts, $TSLA with 2.1M contracts, $MU with 1.3M contracts, $SPCX with 1.1M contracts, $AAPL with 1.0M contracts, $AMZN with 980K contracts, $META with 964K contracts, $MSFT with 849K contracts, $INTC with 751K contracts, and $AMD with 572K contracts. 7. AI video startup Higgsfield raised a $400M Series B at a $5.4B valuation, with investors including Goldman Sachs, Intel, and DST Global. The 2-year-old company’s annualized revenue reached $700M in August, up from just $20M a year ago, while its user base has grown to more than 30M across 238 countries and territories. Most revenue now comes from businesses using Higgsfield’s AI tools to create marketing content. 8. Tesla $TSLA is reportedly preparing to launch its purpose-built Cybercab in Austin as soon as this month, according to The Information. The two-seat robotaxi has no steering wheel or pedals, with Tesla planning to start with employee rides on public roads before adding Cybercabs to its Austin Robotaxi service days later. Tesla began Cybercab production in Texas last month and is continuing testing while training local first responders ahead of the rollout. 9. Uber $UBER is investing in Zipline as the companies expand drone delivery for Uber Eats. The goal is to reach 1M drone deliveries per day by the end of 2029, with Uber expecting drones to enable faster deliveries over longer distances. The company sees drone delivery becoming a meaningful growth driver for Eats as it pushes deeper into autonomous logistics. 10. China’s credit data weakened sharply in July, with net new loans falling by $50.4B, only the third monthly decline this century and more than 3x worse than expected. Lending to the real economy was even weaker, with net repayments of $87.5B, the largest monthly drop in records going back to 2002. While aggregate financing still rose by $207.7B, nearly all of the increase came from $192.9B in government bond issuance rather than private-sector borrowing, pointing to soft corporate investment, weak household demand, and continued pressure in property. 11. Morgan Stanley sees Amazon $AMZN with a bull-case path to $500/share by year-end 2027, driven by AWS potentially scaling toward $1T in annual revenue over the next 8–10 years. Analyst Brian Nowak says that scenario could support roughly $500B of company-wide EBIT, while the firm’s base-case price target remains $335. Morgan Stanley argues Amazon’s $1T AWS vision reinforces the size and ROIC of the AI infrastructure opportunity, with AWS currently around $170B annualized and management seeing AI margins and returns tracking similarly, or even slightly ahead, of where core AWS was at the same stage. The key constraint remains compute capacity, with Morgan Stanley estimating Amazon can bring on 6–8GW of compute capacity in 2026/2027 and potentially add around 8GW per year going forward if execution continues at pace. 12. UBS expects Nvidia $NVDA to beat FQ2 revenue estimates by roughly $3B–$4B, with revenue reaching around $94B–$95B. For FQ3, UBS sees guidance in the $107B–$108B range and believes revenue could ultimately exceed $110B. Analyst Timothy Arcuri says Blackwell demand remains stable, while Rubin units are starting to layer in ahead of a bigger FQ4 step-up as Rubin sell-in accelerates toward roughly 500,000 GPU units per month and Blackwell begins winding down. UBS argues the numbers matter more than the AI infrastructure narrative, and expects investors to gain more confidence in a path toward $15+ EPS in C2027 and $20 EPS in C2028. The firm also says memory-driven capex inflation means compute supply is still falling short of demand, which could support another major backlog step-up on the earnings call. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

  view on X →
• @amitisinvesting neutral 1444 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. Nvidia $NVDA and Palantir $PLTR expanded their AI partnership, building a new stack that combines Palantir’s sovereign AI platform with Nvidia’s custom Nemotron open models. The technology is being deployed first across Nvidia’s own supply chain, using AI to capture operational intelligence and accelerate the process from “wafer to first token.” Other companies will be able to deploy the same architecture across their own supply chains, either in the cloud or on-prem. The partnership, first announced in October 2025, has continued compounding into new verticals, use cases, and sovereign AI deployments built around one core idea: enterprises and governments want to own, control, and make sense of their own data. Palantir also hosted its 11th AIPCon today, where partners showcased how they are using Ontology, Foundry, AIP, and Sovereign AI to solve complex operational problems. 2. U.S. PPI came in slightly hotter than expected, rising 5.4% YoY versus 5.3% expected, while monthly PPI rose 0.4%, in line with estimates. Core PPI was 4.6% YoY, matching expectations, while core monthly PPI rose 0.2%, below the 0.3% estimate. Initial jobless claims came in at 206K versus 205K expected, showing labor-market claims remain broadly steady even as producer inflation stays elevated. 3. Microsoft $MSFT plans to triple its global data center capacity, expanding from roughly 12 GW today to more than 38 GW by 2032, according to Bloomberg. That would add about 26 GW of capacity, with AI-specific compute expected to grow from around 2 GW today to roughly one-third of total capacity by 2032, or about 13 GW. The target excludes compute rented from neoclouds like CoreWeave. The buildout comes after capacity shortages forced Microsoft to restrict some cloud subscriptions and turn away AI and cloud demand. Microsoft spent $145B in capex last fiscal year and has $329B in future data center lease commitments. 4. Oracle $ORCL delivered more than 300,000 GPUs to AI cloud customers since the end of Q4, nearly tripling the capacity delivered in Q4 FY26. The company’s RPO surged by $209B YoY to $664B after booking more than $30B of additional AI cloud contracts in Q1. Q1 revenue came in at $19.3B versus $19.14B expected, up 30% YoY, while adjusted EPS was $1.92 versus $1.74 expected, also up 30% YoY. Cloud revenue reached $11.6B, up 62% YoY, led by cloud infrastructure revenue of $7.4B, up 121% YoY. Oracle also guided FY revenue to at least $90B and adjusted EPS to $8.10, while disclosing $28.5B of capex, -$5.4B of free cash flow, and a $20B ATM equity program. 5. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $AAPL with 2.8M contracts, $NVDA with 2.3M contracts, $TSLA with 1.6M contracts, $SPCX with 1.2M contracts, $MU with 769K contracts, $META with 750K contracts, $ORCL with 733K contracts, $INTC with 628K contracts, $GOOGL with 475K contracts, and $AMZN with 409K contracts. 6. Adobe $ADBE reported Q3’26 revenue of $6.8B versus $6.69B expected, up 13% YoY, with adjusted EPS of $6.13 versus $6.09 expected, up 15% YoY. ARR reached $27.5B, while RPO came in at $22.2B and AI-first ARR growth was 150%+. Adobe also raised its FY26 guide, now expecting revenue of $26.58B-$26.63B and EPS of $24.45-$24.50, both ahead of estimates. Segment strength remained broad, with Customer Groups revenue at $6.6B, up 14% YoY, and Creative & Marketing Professionals revenue at $4.7B, up 13% YoY. The company also crossed 1B+ monthly active users, calling it a defining moment for Adobe. 7. Uber $UBER CEO Dara Khosrowshahi bought 141K shares for about $10M at an average price of $70.96. The purchase marks Dara’s first open-market buy of Uber stock since May 2022, when he bought 200K shares at roughly $26.73. A $10M insider buy from the CEO is a notable confidence signal as investors continue watching Uber’s growth, margin expansion, buybacks, and long-term autonomous vehicle strategy. 8. Nvidia $NVDA CEO Jensen Huang says cybersecurity is likely AI’s next major market, as AI-generated code accelerates both software development and the vulnerabilities that come with it. Huang said rapidly evolving threats should drive more demand for AI-powered security and automated defenses, creating another major growth vertical for the technology. He also pushed back on the idea that Nvidia’s AI financing is “circular,” saying, “We put a little bit of money in and a lot of money comes back. We put in 1 and 100 comes back in.” Huang added that the financing only happens because the off-take is already there: “That off-take is $100B. It’s lined-up contracts. It is real stuff.” He said Nvidia knows where the demand is coming from, understands the quality of that demand, and that its financing is only a “very small part” of these projects. 9. SpaceX $SPCX CFO Bret Johnsen said the company signed another AI compute hosting deal that will generate $1.11B of revenue per month, or $13.3B annually, starting December 1, 2026. “Earlier this month, we closed another hosting deal. By the end of this year, with annualizing our December number, we're on track to hit $100B of ARR,” Johnsen said at Goldman Sachs’ Communacopia and Technology Conference. The update highlights how quickly SpaceX’s AI compute business is scaling into one of the largest infrastructure revenue stories in the market. 10. GameStop $GME CEO and Chairman Ryan Cohen bought 1M shares at an average price of $20.38, a purchase worth roughly $20.4M. His Form 4 shows 39.35M shares directly owned, while a new 13D reports 43.1M shares beneficially owned, equal to an 8.5% stake. The buy adds another insider-confidence signal at a time when investors are watching how Cohen plans to deploy GameStop’s balance sheet and reshape the company’s long-term strategy. 11. Robinhood $HOOD ended August with 28.6M funded customers, up 7% YoY, while total platform assets reached $383.7B, up 8% MoM and 26% YoY. Net deposits were $4.0B. Trading activity stayed strong, with equities at $335.4B up 68% YoY, options at 292.5M contracts up 50% YoY, crypto at $17.5B up 61% MoM but down 38% YoY, and event contracts at 4.7B, down 23% MoM but up 15x YoY. Interest-earning assets also continued scaling, with margin balances at $21.5B up 72% YoY, cash and deposits at $19.6B up 37% YoY, and cash sweep at $31.2B up 7% MoM. Robinhood also expanded the platform with agentic options and crypto trading, Robinhood Earn, Smart Income, UK crypto trading, 190+ stock tokens on Robinhood Chain, and additional Cortex and IPO Access features for RIAs. 12. Saudi oil output fell to its lowest level since 1990, as Saudi Arabia told OPEC its production declined again. At the same time, OPEC cut its 2026 global oil-demand growth forecast to 380K bpd from 580K bpd, while raising its 2027 demand-growth outlook to 2.36M bpd from 2.16M bpd, signaling a potential rebound next year. OPEC+ crude production averaged 38.05M bpd in August, up roughly 300K bpd from July. The backdrop is getting more complicated for markets, with oil pushing past $100/barrel and the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.9%. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

  view on X →
• @amitisinvesting bullish 1343 eng

  I think $UBER looks compelling here. At ~$76, I think fair value is closer to $120. The numbers are pretty compelling: - Uber generated ~$9.8B of FCF in 2025, up 42% YoY - Consensus has FCF reaching ~$11B in 2026 and ~$13B in 2027 - Uber now has 200M+ monthly users and processes 40M+ trips per day - Uber trades around 12x projected 2027 FCF despite FCF still expected to grow ~18% that year The obvious reason for the discount is autonomous vehicles. The market is worried Waymo/Tesla eventually disintermediate Uber. I think the opposite outcome could be underpriced: Uber becomes the demand, distribution and payments layer connecting hundreds of millions of consumers with AV fleets. I am not fully sold on this thesis…but what if that’s how it plays out? Would Uber not be the most obvious name trading at an irrationally priced discount? Uber has 200M+ monthly users and enormous existing demand. An AV manufacturer has to build the cars, operate the fleet, maintain them, reposition them, and then somehow acquire millions of riders. That’s why I find the valuation interesting here. You aren’t paying 30x FCF and hoping Uber wins AV…you’re paying roughly 12x 2027 FCF for the existing business and getting the possibility that Uber becomes a major AV distribution layer. If AVs destroy Uber’s moat, the discount makes sense, the question is if that will actually happen. Using roughly $13B of 2027 FCF: Bear case: 17x FCF → $108 Base case: 19x FCF → $120/share Bull case: 22x FCF → $140/share No position yet but the risk/reward is compelling.

  view on X →
• @StockSavvyShay bullish 1275 eng

  10 stocks near YTD lows where the stock looks broken but the business isn’t: 1. $APP | AppLovin 2. $SOFI | SoFi 3. $MELI | MercadoLibre 4. $OKLO | Oklo 5. $UBER | Uber 6. $GRAB | Grab 7. $PL | Planet Labs 8. $ONDS | Ondas 9. $NFLX | Netflix 10. $KTOS | Kratos

  view on X →
• @StockSavvyShay bullish 1116 eng

  NEXT WEEK’S EARNINGS ARE MASSIVE FOR GROWTH • Monday | $PLTR, $CLPT, $ON, $GRAB, $SNAP, $WGS, $VOYG • Tuesday | $AMD, $SPCX, $CIFR, $ZETA, $ANET, $ALAB, $TMDX, $KTOS, $DOCN, $HUT, $OPEN, $PRCT • Wednesday | $SNDK, $APP, $IONQ, $MELI, $UBER, $SHOP, $EOSE, $OSS, $VPG, $DUOL, $FIG, $SYM, $RDW, $FLNC, $VIAV • Thursday | $CELH, $DDOG, $OSCR, $NET, $TTD, $U, $QBTS, $AAOI, $RCAT, $TEAM, $OUST, $SHAZ • Friday | $OKLO, $VST

  view on X →