$V 0.57 Developing

Notable posts

• @amitisinvesting neutral 1341 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. Nebius $NBIS reported Q2’26 revenue of $582.3M, beating estimates of $573M and up 454% YoY. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $236.2M versus $175M expected, compared to -$21M last year. AI Cloud revenue surged 514% YoY to $575M, operating cash flow reached $2.25B, and cash stood at $8.04B. Nebius reaffirmed FY26 guidance, now expects customer prepayments of more than $9B in 2026, and raised contracted capacity to 5 GW from prior guidance of more than 4 GW. Management said it could sell its entire 2027 capacity today, but is deliberately holding some back for higher-value immediate customer demand. $NBIS finished up 34% on the day. 2. July CPI came in cooler, with headline inflation rising just 0.1% MoM after falling 0.4% in June. Over the last 12 months, CPI rose 3.4%, down from 3.5% in June. Shelter increased 0.1% and accounted for roughly two-thirds of the monthly increase, while food also rose 0.1% and food away from home climbed 0.3%. Energy prices fell 1.5% on the month. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose 0.2% after being flat in June, while annual core inflation eased to 2.5% from 2.6%. Energy remains the biggest annual pressure point, up 14.7% YoY, while food is up 3.0% over the last year. 3. Bank of America $BAC plans to deploy $250B through mid-2027 across AI data centers, semiconductors, hardware, power generation, energy storage, and critical minerals, according to WSJ. The initiative will span lending, investing, capital markets, banking, and advisory work. BofA said equity investments are not the focus, but has not ruled them out for the right projects. The push also extends beyond AI infrastructure into transportation, natural gas, and water infrastructure. 4. Institutional investors are reducing U.S. tech exposure. Hedge funds, asset managers, and other large investors sold $21.6B of Nasdaq futures in the week ending August 4, the largest weekly sale on record, according to Goldman Sachs. Short sales drove the move, accounting for 72% of total selling. Hedge funds sold $11.9B, while asset managers sold $7.4B. As a result, combined institutional positioning in Nasdaq futures fell to -$5B, turning negative for the first time since May 2025 after reaching as high as +$54B in October 2025. 5. South Korea is tightening rules on single-stock leveraged ETFs again, requiring new investors to complete at least 5 days of mock trading totaling 5+ hours before buying these products. The rule takes effect August 19 and applies to investments both locally and abroad. The move follows a sharp retail wipeout in leveraged ETF products, after regulators already raised the minimum cash deposit requirement to 30M won or roughly $21,000, and extended mandatory online training for new investors to 3 hours. 6. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 3.6M contracts, $TSLA with 2.2M contracts, $SPCX with 1.7M contracts, $MU with 1.3M contracts, $AAPL with 1.2M contracts, $OWL with 908K contracts, $INTC with 903K contracts, $META with 796K contracts, $HTZ with 725K contracts, and $SMCI with 720K contracts. 7. OpenAI’s run-rate revenue from business customers grew 32% MoM in July, outpacing 20% growth in overall run-rate revenue, according to DealBook. The gap highlights how quickly enterprise demand is becoming a larger driver of OpenAI’s growth as companies scale paid usage across AI tools, APIs, and workflow integrations. 8. Nelson Peltz’s Trian Fund Management is reportedly preparing a potential take-private bid for Wendy’s $WEN, according to FT. Trian is Wendy’s largest shareholder with a 16% stake and is assembling a consortium that could include BlueFive Capital and major franchisee Flynn Group. A formal offer could come in the coming weeks, though talks could still change or fall apart. 9. Google $GOOGL unveiled the Pixel 11 lineup, including the Pixel 11, Pixel 11 Pro, Pixel 11 Pro XL, and Pixel 11 Pro Fold, while raising prices by $100 versus the prior generation due to a “severe” memory crunch. The lineup now starts at $899, while the foldable starts at $1,899. Google also introduced the Pixel Watch 5 at $399, adding insulin-resistance tracking, which it says is a first for the category. 10. Bill Ackman is back in Netflix $NFLX. He first bought the stock in 2022 around $350/share, investing roughly $1.1B, before selling a few months later for a 40% loss and taking a roughly $400M hit. He redeployed the capital into Google, which worked, but Netflix went on to rise about 650% from its lows. Now, with the stock down roughly 50%, Ackman is back in. His thesis is that Netflix can compound revenue at a double-digit rate, grow content costs more slowly than revenue, continue expanding margins, and use its buyback program to help drive earnings growth near 20% annually. Ackman says the current valuation is a substantial discount for a business with Netflix’s growth profile and dominant market position. He also added $V, $MA, $ICE, $ALC, and $SPGI to his portfolio. 11. The financial industry cut 14,000 jobs in July, bringing payrolls down to 9.09M, the lowest level since July 2022. This marks the sector’s 5th straight monthly decline, with total job losses of 59,000 over that stretch. Since May 2025, financial industry payrolls are down 121,000, the largest drawdown since the 2020 pandemic. Excluding the pandemic, this is the biggest contraction in financial-sector employment since the 2008 Financial Crisis, as firms accelerate AI adoption to boost productivity and reduce labor costs. 12. The S&P 500 has historically kept climbing after major breakouts to new all-time highs. Over the last 30 years, the index has risen in 13 of 17 similar instances, gaining an average of roughly 6.3% over the next 6 months. The only exceptions were 2000, 2007, 2018, and 2019, with 2000 and 2007 preceding major bear markets. Most recently, after a similar breakout in 2025, the S&P 500 gained 12.3% over the following six months. The index has now posted 26 all-time highs in 2026, following 39 record closes in 2025 and 57 in 2024. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @WOLF_Financial neutral 704 eng

  HERE ARE THE WORLD'S 50 MOST VALUABLE COMPANIES AS OF JUNE 2026 TECHNOLOGY (22 of the top 50): NVIDIA $NVDA: $4.8T Apple $AAPL: $4.3T Alphabet $GOOGL: $4.2T Microsoft $MSFT: $2.8T SpaceX $SPCX: $2.1T TSMC $TSM: $2.3T Broadcom $AVGO: $1.8T Samsung: $1.5T Meta $META: $1.4T SK Hynix: $1.2T Micron $MU: $1.2T AMD $AMD: $848B Intel $INTC: $665B ASML $ASML: $685B Arm $ARM: $391B Cisco $CSCO: $478B Oracle $ORCL: $476B Applied Materials $AMAT: $465B Lam Research $LRCX: $464B KLA $KLAC: $319B Tencent: $485B Kioxia: $313B CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY: Amazon $AMZN: $2.5T Tesla $TSLA: $1.4T Home Depot $HD: $324B ENERGY: Saudi Aramco: $1.7T ExxonMobil $XOM: $579B Chevron $CVX: $350B FINANCIALS: Berkshire Hathaway $BRK: $1.1T JPMorgan Chase $JPM: $895B Visa $V: $625B Mastercard $MA: $431B Bank of America $BAC: $411B Morgan Stanley $MS: $357B Goldman Sachs $GS: $323B China Construction Bank: $382B Agricultural Bank of China: $326B ICBC: $308B HSBC $HSBC: $328B CONSUMER STAPLES: Walmart $WMT: $950B Costco $COST: $425B Procter & Gamble $PG: $351B Coca-Cola $KO: $346B HEALTH CARE: Lilly $LLY: $987B Johnson & Johnson $JNJ: $576B AbbVie $ABBV: $415B UnitedHealth $UNH: $372B INDUSTRIALS: Caterpillar $CAT: $453B P&G $PG: $351B (also listed under consumer staples) GE $GE: $372B (Photo Credit: VisualCapitalist)

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 664 eng

  NEXT WEEKS EARNINGS ARE MASSIVE • Monday | $APLD, $NVTS, $CDNS, $AMKR • Tuesday | $BE, $KLAC, $PYPL, $V, $TER, $ENPH • Wednesday | $MSFT, $META, $HOOD, $ARM, $QCOM, $SOFI, $VRT, $LMND, $LRCX, $VKTX, $FTNT, $CVNA • Thursday | $AAPL, $AMZN, $COIN, $RBLX, $RDDT, $TEM, $RIVN, $FSLR, $MA, $PGY, $MSTR, $AXTI, $NXT • FRIDAY | $CVX, $XOM, $ABBV, $CCJ, $MRNA

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• @amitisinvesting mixed 610 eng

  Futures are up, bitcoin is up, and oil is down because of reports that the US and Iran have stopped strikes against each other for the time being. Trump was supposed to strike on Friday but ordered the military not to, and as a result Iran's retaliation was stopped because there wasn't anything to retaliate to. I am not sure if this is a sign of actual progress that can lead to something meaningful, but if there was ever a time for some type of ceasefire, it would be when... - The 10-yr passed 4.7% - Oil was up 25% in a month - The sector responsible for the majority of the S&P 500's earnings growth (SMH) was down 16% - Rate hike probabilities passed 75% for October - US national gas prices passed $4/gallon again Any escalation would just lead to more inflation and uncertainty for stocks which obviously wouldn't be the best for the broader economy. The big headline on Friday was that China talked to Trump and assured him they would never sell weapons to Iran while others reported that China is actually trying to secure a peace deal between Iran and the US. Maybe there is some truth to this given Trump responded to a reporter on Friday and said, "we are talking to them, maybe there won't be a tipping point, maybe there will be," implying that there might be more talks happening that are positive even though every set of talks recently has not resulted in anything closer to peace. Big earnings this week with $MSFT $META $HOOD $AAPL $AMZN $SOFI $RDDT $V $UPS $MA and more along with the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. It will be Kevin Warsh's second meeting as Fed Chair. Hoping we get some relief as more escalation would really just create an ugly environment for inflation, risk on assets, and the potential for rate cuts.

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• @StockSavvyShay bearish 424 eng

  Bill Gurley says $V & $MA are “heavily threatened” by stablecoins because there is “zero reason” digital payments should still cost 2% to 3%. USDC can move money in seconds for pennies while earning yield and stablecoins may modernize payments faster than the government can. https://t.co/3kl2TvH0sv

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• @TrendSpider neutral 410 eng

  BREAKING: President Trump's financial disclosure report for the most recent period was just released. Here is every stock / ETF he spent more than $1,000,000 buying in June: -Berkshire Hathaway $BRK.B -Cintas Corp $CTAS -Visa $V -Mastercard $MA -International Treasury Bond ETF $IGOV -Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF $COMT -Industrials ETF $XLI -S&P 500 $SPY -Tech ETF $XLK -U.S. Treasury Bond ETF $GOVT

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• @TrendSpider bullish 457 eng

  Golden cross on Visa $V for the first time since late 2024 👀 https://t.co/C5bAzPP7hC

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 351 eng

  $V is partnering with OpenAI to let ChatGPT agents make online purchases pushing AI commerce closer to real transactions. Visa also highlighted broader AI and stablecoin plans including ~$7B in annualized stablecoin settlement volume. https://t.co/mWnX3Omy6E

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