$WULF 0.49 Noisy

Notable posts

• @amitisinvesting bullish 2529 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. SpaceX $SPCX will be added to the Nasdaq 100 tomorrow before the market opens, creating forced buying from mutual funds and ETFs that track the index and collectively manage roughly $800B in AUM. SpaceX’s initial weighting will be about 1%, based on free-float market cap, which excludes insider and restricted shares. That weighting could grow over time as lockups lift, the public float expands, and Nasdaq rebalances the index in September and December. 2. Samsung Electronics prelim Q2 operating profit surged 19x YoY to roughly $58.4B, beating $55.3B consensus, driven by booming AI memory demand. Revenue came in slightly below expectations at about $111.8B vs. $113.1B consensus, but still rose 129% YoY. On an operating income basis, Samsung is now arguably the most profitable company in the world, generating more operating profit than Nvidia $NVDA did last quarter. 3. Robinhood $HOOD CEO Vlad Tenev says demand for Trump Accounts has been “tremendous,” with 6M kids signing up pre-launch to express interest and millions of accounts already invested. The accounts are now officially active and open for contributions, allowing parents, grandparents, family, friends, and employers to collectively contribute up to $5,000 annually for eligible American children. SpaceX $SPCX president Gwynne Shotwell and her husband are donating $320M of company stock to help fund Trump Accounts for more than 2M American children. 4. Broadcom $AVGO and Apple $AAPL expanded their long-standing technology partnership through 2031. Under the new multi-year agreements, Broadcom will develop and supply a range of custom ASIC silicon products for multiple generations of Apple devices. 5. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $TSLA with 4.4M contracts, $NVDA with 2.3M contracts, $AAPL with 1.5M contracts, $AMZN with 790K contracts, $SPCX with 727K contracts, $META with 668K contracts, $MSFT with 637K contracts, $INTC with 566K contracts, $MU with 530K contracts, and $SOFI with 421K contracts. 6. TeraWulf $WULF signed a 20-year lease with Anthropic for its Justified Data campus in Kentucky, representing roughly $19B of contracted revenue over the initial term. The campus is expected to support about 401MW of critical IT load, with initial capacity coming online in H2 2027 and full capacity by early 2028. Separately, TeraWulf is selling its 50.1% stake in the Abernathy JV to a Fluidstack-led investor group, monetizing an approximately $450M investment. 7. Retail is levering up into options. 0DTE options now account for a record 48% of total retail options volume, more than tripling over the past five years. They also represented a record 30% of total U.S. options volume in May, well above the 2022 high of roughly 18% and the five-year average of about 21%. As short-dated trading keeps growing, the average options contract now expires in under 3 days. 8. JPMorgan says Meta $META potentially monetizing excess AI compute through a cloud business could be positive for returns on AI infrastructure, but the firm would rather see Meta use that capacity inside its own products. The report notes Meta could charge developers for access to models hosted on its infrastructure or rent raw compute to third parties, with JPM estimating 1GW of capacity could generate around $20B in annual revenue and several dollars of EPS. Still, JPM argues the bigger upside is Meta using its compute, 4B+ users, and AI products across Family of Apps to drive internal inference demand, which would support continued heavy capex rather than implying a slowdown. 9. Michael Saylor’s Strategy $MSTR sold 3,588 BTC over the last two weeks for roughly $216M as part of its new Bitcoin Monetization Program, which allows up to $1.25B of BTC sales. The latest sale included 2,225 BTC at an average price of $60,773, following the prior week’s sale of 1,363 BTC at $59,256. Strategy still holds 843,775 BTC, with an average acquisition cost of $75,476 per BTC. 10. AI giants OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google are handing out free compute credits worth hundreds of thousands of dollars to win startup customers, per WSJ. The battle for startups is intensifying as top AI labs offer discounts and credits to lock in the next generation of enterprise users. The strategy is simple: subsidize usage now, drive early adoption, and turn today’s startup customers into durable long-term revenue streams. 11. Deutsche Bank says U.S. public debt is the clearest macro risk to American dominance. Federal deficits have stayed around 5%–6% of GDP since 2022 despite the economy being near full employment, while debt held by the public is set to surpass 100% of GDP this year. Interest payments now exceed defense spending and are the fastest-growing budget item, with the CBO projecting a $1.9T FY2026 deficit and public debt rising to 120% of GDP by 2036. 12. Leopold Aschenbrenner’s next investment target filed for Nasdaq this Friday. SK Hynix $SKHY is raising $28B, with Situational Awareness indicating interest in up to $7B of shares. SK Hynix has roughly 59% of the global HBM market, about 70% of Nvidia’s $NVDA HBM4 allocation, Nvidia alone represents 27% of revenue, and its entire 2026 chip lineup is already sold out. SK Hynix will be going public on the Nasdaq via ADRs and will be one of the largest foreign memory companies, now worth $1T. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @amitisinvesting neutral 1564 eng

  A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY. Here's a full recap: 1. June U.S. inflation came in much cooler than expected. Headline CPI was 3.5% YoY vs 3.8% expected, while CPI fell 0.4% MoM vs expectations for 0.0%. Core CPI was 2.6% YoY vs 2.9% expected, with Core CPI flat at 0.0% MoM vs 0.2% expected. This marks the first negative monthly inflation reading since 2020. 2. President Trump said he has decided to replace the proposed 20% United States Reimbursement Fee on cargo through the Strait of Hormuz with trade and investment deals from Gulf States into the U.S. He said those investments will be “massive” while also being “extraordinarily good” for the Gulf States and their future. 3. IBM $IBM went down 24% after preliminary Q2 results came in well below expectations. Revenue was $17.2B vs $17.86B expected, up just 1% YoY, with consulting revenue flat and infrastructure revenue down 7% YoY. CEO Arvind Krishna said that in the last few weeks of June, clients shifted quarterly capex toward servers, storage, and memory to secure supply-constrained infrastructure ahead of expected price increases, while cybersecurity concerns also distracted customers. IBM said it did not anticipate the magnitude of the capex reprioritization. The stock has lost roughly $65B in market cap. 4. Palantir $PLTR moved from $122 in the premarket to $135 as the market opened. The stock opened down on the $IBM news around software spend shifting toward capex spend and recovered into the open, closing up 3%. $MSFT Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella quoted Alex Karp yesterday in his piece about why the market needs to focus on true enterprise transformation, not just tokens, while Chamath said on CNBC today that Karp “deserves a medal” for being on the right side of history in calling out foundation model companies that take IP without delivering customer value. 5. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh today said in his congressional testimony that he is “doubling down” on the 2% inflation target and believes this Fed will deliver 2% inflation. He added that a broader price stability objective is still in the back of his mind and said the Fed will see if further reforms are needed. Warsh also said he is prepared to do everything he can to ensure the independent conduct of monetary policy. 6. New York is set to enact the first statewide data center moratorium in the U.S., per NYT. Gov. Kathy Hochul will pause approvals for new hyperscale data centers using 50MW+ of power for one year while the state studies energy, water, and environmental impacts. The order takes effect immediately, but does not impact projects that already have required permits. Hospitals, universities, and back-office financial services are not expected to be affected. 7. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVDA with 3.1M contracts, $TSLA with 1.4M contracts, $AAPL with 707K contracts, $PLTR with 646K contracts, $INTC with 562K contracts, $MU with 551K contracts, $IBM with 494K contracts, $AMZN with 492K contracts, $MSFT with 478K contracts, and $WULF with 420K contracts. 8. Nebius $NBIS agreed to sell $1B+ of AI compute to Reflection AI through 2029, giving the company access to Nvidia GB300 chips. Reflection AI, founded by two former Google DeepMind researchers, also signed a multibillion-dollar compute deal with SpaceX last month and has reportedly discussed raising $2.5B at a $25B valuation. Nebius already has compute agreements with Microsoft and Meta. 9. OpenAI is developing a screen-free, battery-powered smart speaker designed as a humanlike AI companion and a new home AI computer. The first consumer product is reportedly focused on voice interaction and ambient presence, giving users an AI assistant they can build a connection with. The device includes a camera and other sensors to understand surroundings and context, while tapping into ChatGPT for richer assistance than conventional smart speakers. It can control smart-home appliances, play media, answer questions, respond to messages, help with chores, assist with cooking, and play music as it moves around the home. 10. Aehr $AEHR reported a strong Q4 beat and guided well above the Street. Q4 EPS came in at $0.11 vs -$0.01 expected, while revenue was $18.8M vs $18.69M expected. The company also received $8M+ in new silicon carbide wafer-level burn-in orders as EV programs ramp, including a follow-on WaferPak order from its lead SiC production customer and a direct order from one of the world’s top two automakers to qualify SiC suppliers for next-gen EVs. Aehr said its lead customer indicated additional capacity needs this fiscal year. Most importantly, $AEHR guided FY27 revenue to $130M–$150M, far above the Street at $85M. 11. Big banks reported a very strong Q2, with Goldman Sachs $GS, Bank of America $BAC, JPMorgan $JPM, and Wells Fargo $WFC all beating expectations. Goldman was the standout, with revenue of $20.34B vs $16.35B expected and EPS of $20.98 vs $14.45, driven by a massive 53% YoY jump in Global Banking & Markets and a 72% YoY surge in Equities S&T. Bank of America beat on revenue and EPS, with trading revenue ex-DVA up 33% YoY. JPMorgan posted revenue of $58.02B vs $51.39B expected and EPS of $7.70 vs $5.72, though NII was roughly in line. Wells Fargo also beat, with revenue up 9% YoY, EPS up 25% YoY, and net loan charge-offs coming in better than expected. Overall, the quarter showed stronger trading, resilient credit, and better-than-expected earnings power across the big banks. 12. South Korea is seeing an unprecedented foreign investor pullback. Overseas investors have dumped $110B of Korean equities so far this year, already far beyond the prior 7-year full-year high of $22B in 2021. The selling intensified in June, when foreigners unloaded $31B, the biggest monthly outflow ever recorded. At the same time, local buyers have stepped in aggressively, with domestic retail investors purchasing $60B and institutions adding $15B since May began. The pressure is now spilling into leveraged retail accounts: as of July 13, 1.2M Korean margin accounts had triggered margin calls, with roughly 320K–360K accounts fully liquidated by brokers. WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

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• @StockSavvyShay bullish 1335 eng

  TOP 10 MOST EFFICIENT AI NEOCLOUDS This chart is a great way see which neoclouds are monetizing scarce AI power most efficiently and where the remaining upside still sits: 1. $IREN leads the group at ~$40M of contracted revenue per MW which shows how valuable its full-stack GPU cloud model can be once more of its secured power gets monetized. 2. $GLXY sits ~$29M per MW and still has meaningful approved capacity waiting on tenants which makes future contract conversion the main catalyst. 3. $CRWV generates ~$28M per MW and has already converted a large portion of its power footprint into contracted compute which shows how aggressively it has scaled demand. 4. $HUT also sits ~$28M per MW but has one of the largest remaining development pipelines which leaves substantial optionality if it can keep filling capacity. 5. $APLD monetizes ~$26M per MW with much of its remaining upside tied to capacity currently moving through construction and into contracted service. 6. $WULF sits ~$25M per MW which reflects a model that captures strong powered-shell economics but less value per watt than owning the compute layer. 7. $NBIS sits ~$23M per MW on long-term deals but is intentionally holding back capacity because short-term pricing has reached ~$50M per MW. 8. $CORZ generates ~$21M per MW largely driven by long-term infrastructure contracts rather than higher-value full-stack compute. 9. $CIFR sits ~$13M per MW which shows the tradeoff of powered-shell colocation where the customer owns the silicon and more of the margins sit upstream. 10. Crusoe doesn't disclose a clean revenue-per-MW figure but still has a large contracted footprint.

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 1276 eng

  Here are the current 2030 revenue estimates for companies capitalizing on compute capacity as the AI overflow layer • $CRWV ~$66.9B revenue w/ 68% EBITDA margins • $NBIS ~$39.7B revenue w/ 90% EBITDA margins • $IREN ~$10.9B revenue w/ 74% EBITDA margins • $WULF ~$4.3B revenue w/ 70% EBITDA margins • $DOCN ~$3.1B revenue w/ 63% EBITDA margins • $CIFR ~$1.5B revenue w/ 31% EBITDA margins • $APLD ~$521M revenue w/ 48% EBITDA margins

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• @StockSavvyShay bearish 1409 eng

  Neo-cloud names are moving lower after reports that $META is developing “Meta Compute” a cloud business to sell excess AI compute. The market is reading this as potential new hyperscaler supply in AI compute which could pressure standalone GPU cloud pricing. • $NBIS -10% • $CRWV -10% • $IREN -5% • $CIFR -5% • $WULF -5% • $APLD -4%

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• @StockSavvyShay neutral 1104 eng

  $NVDA CEO Jensen Huang says a 1 GW AI factory can cost ~$55B to build. He adds that “the rentals of that one gigawatt AI factory is about $50B per year” which helps explain why companies are racing to secure power and build AI infrastructure. $NBIS $IREN $CRWV $CIFR $WULF https://t.co/Pq5AnJfmTA

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• @StockSavvyShay bullish 1029 eng

  Morgan Stanley now sees a 33 GW U.S. data center power shortfall through 2028 as $NVDA Rubin Ultra pushes rack power toward 600 kW. That makes already energized sites much more valuable because every year saved waiting for power is worth ~$4.50/W. $NBIS, $CRWV, $IREN, $WULF, $CIFR, $APLD, $CORZ

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• @StockSavvyShay bullish 883 eng

  WHO GETS PAID TO TURN AI DATA CENTERS ON U.S. data centers above 100MW are set to explode this decade but power, interconnects and electrical infrastructure determine how much of that pipeline actually gets built: What gets the data center online • $GEV sits at one of hardest bottlenecks with a $176B backlog stretching into 2031 & equipment pricing already more than 20% above Q4 2025 • $VRT captures ~$3.8M per AI MW from grid to rack & is moving further upstream through UtilityInnovation Group adding behind the meter power that can bypass interconnection delays. • $BE attacks same problem differently with onsite fuel cells letting data centers generate power without waiting years for the grid. • $FPS sits between the substation & building through switchgear & transformers with utilization still around 30% against capacity being built to support as much as $5B of revenue. Who already owns the power • $IREN, $CIFR, $CORZ, $APLD & $WULF already control power and interconnects from their bitcoin infrastructure which is why IREN could go from 5MW of active AI capacity toward a 480MW target in roughly a year since the scarce asset is energized land. • $VST owns generation already connected to grid giving it direct exposure to rising data center power demand while others wait through interconnection queues. • $CEG pairs an already interconnected nuclear fleet with hyperscaler demand giving it one of cleanest ways to monetize 24/7 power scarcity through long term contracts. What gets paid inside the rack • $ON $NVTS become more important as AI moves toward 800V DC in 2028 since content per rack could rise from ~$15K toward ~$115K as more of the power conversion stack moves inside system. • $VICR is one of purest plays on converting and delivering power efficiently close to the processor as rack densities rise. The market can announce hundreds of new data centers but a ton of the value accrues to whoever controls the power, interconnects and electrical infrastructure required to make them operational.

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